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YC Bio

blog.ycombinator.com

121–130 of 155 posts

Re: YC Bio

#121

Timing is perfect on this. We are fortunate enough to be witnessing Year One in the Age of Crispr ;) For those brainstorming startup ideas some relatively recently funded companies include: eGenesis - Dr. George Church's company that uses edited porcine stem lines for human xenotransplantation Twist Bio - synthetic bio for applications ranging from novel materials to data storage Denali - focus on age related neurode…

And here’s my take on how this will play out... Tech investors are almost totally unequiped to do the necessary DD. They either therefore go for plays that are easy to understand, largely computational exercises or in the rare cases they do go for something higher risk, they back something crazy (e.g. Theranos) because they don’t do good DD. Getting an “expert” to vet the play rarely works. Because tech VCs don’t kno…

So, I came of age right in the middle of the first dot-com boom. My observation is that back then, no one with money knew what they hell they were doing.

My observation during this dot-com boom is that a lot of the people who did well last round are now part of the VC infrastructure, like our own Paul Graham. My impression is that this time around, money is a lot more competent because of this.

Because this made such a huge impact on my life, I kinda want to extend it: perhaps the first round of any new technology is going to be littered with bad ideas. Perhaps that is necessary. Then perhaps those with experience can look backwards and do better next time.

I personally still think we are headed towards a second dot-com bust, but I've been saying that so long that at this point, I'm just wrong. Unquestionably, the business and money people did their jobs much more skillfully this time around than they did in the '90s.

Re: YC Bio

#122
post #34

Awesome! We've been supporting start up bio companies by offering them a fair pricing on equipment, supplies and chemicals. I think we've sold to every YC bio company except Ginkgo (doh!). There's a huge problem in non-transparent pricing for products. For those outside the industry it's like buying used cars, dealing with sales reps and everything is a quote. Researchers are at a huge informational disadvantage when…

Buying datacenter bandwidth is that way. 3-5x variance and sometimes 10x between the first quote and what you pay.

Interestingly, servers seem to be only 1.5x, and if you buy your servers in parts, the variance is even smaller.

Re: YC Bio

#123
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And here’s my take on how this will play out... Tech investors are almost totally unequiped to do the necessary DD. They either therefore go for plays that are easy to understand, largely computational exercises or in the rare cases they do go for something higher risk, they back something crazy (e.g. Theranos) because they don’t do good DD. Getting an “expert” to vet the play rarely works. Because tech VCs don’t kno…

So, I came of age right in the middle of the first dot-com boom. My observation is that back then, no one with money knew what they hell they were doing. My observation during this dot-com boom is that a lot of the people who did well last round are now part of the VC infrastructure, like our own Paul Graham. My impression is that this time around, money is a lot more competent because of this. Because this made such…

> I personally still think we are headed towards a second dot-com bust, but I’ve been saying that for so long that at this point, I’m just wrong.

As a wise man once said[1], “the market can remain irrational a lot longer than you can remain solvent”. At some point, the tech boom will end, and probably for many of the reasons that you have been telling anyone who will listen. The hard part is forecasting precisely when it will end with any range and precision.

[1]https://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/08/09/remain-solvent/

Re: YC Bio

#124

Timing is perfect on this. We are fortunate enough to be witnessing Year One in the Age of Crispr ;) For those brainstorming startup ideas some relatively recently funded companies include: eGenesis - Dr. George Church's company that uses edited porcine stem lines for human xenotransplantation Twist Bio - synthetic bio for applications ranging from novel materials to data storage Denali - focus on age related neurode…

And here’s my take on how this will play out... Tech investors are almost totally unequiped to do the necessary DD. They either therefore go for plays that are easy to understand, largely computational exercises or in the rare cases they do go for something higher risk, they back something crazy (e.g. Theranos) because they don’t do good DD. Getting an “expert” to vet the play rarely works. Because tech VCs don’t kno…

They're not going to diligence the technology. They're going to vet the founders. That's what they've always done.

Re: YC Bio

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Correlation does not prove causation. Other possible explanations include: You need a certain baseline of health for both parents to successfully pursue careers. Older siblings actively help care for younger siblings. Wealthier families are likely to be generally better educated and better cared for. Your position was openly hostile from the start. You posit that I am talking about a hermetically sealed bubble and no…

From my perspective it’s somewhat the opposite. I’ve tried to be calm and measured and friendly while you (a) assumed I was trying to attack you (I have no idea why), (b) assumed I have a strongly held opposition to the general idea of kids staying at home (I am not planning to keep my kids at home – I would rather have them out exploring the city – but am not going to judge other parents for whatever beliefs/practic…

You started with:

kids who live in a hermetically sealed bubble, never share toys, and only ever interact with a couple of adults.

You now assume that I am suggesting kids never go to a park or grocery store etc. I see no means to find common ground here. Your assumptions about me are so extreme that it is impossible to engage you effectively. And there is zero reason for you to assume I am talking about such an extremely isolating lifestyle choice.

I go to public places, usually daily. I am not a hermit. I cannot fathom where you are getting this from.

Re: YC Bio

#126

Curious how the healthcare industry will try to monetize fasting i.e. this free, unlimited thing that anyone can do that has proven time and time again to not only increase lifespan but increase the number of healthy years in the last years of life.

making it less painful to start would get my cash

Re: YC Bio

#127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I meant that in context of your entire comment tree; e.g. things like: > Things that are actually health promoting, like having a full-time parent to care for the kids and primary breadwinner, eating right, exercise etc are boring and don't make VCs rich. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I see you implying something like "why do medicine, if we could eat less 'junk food', work less and smile more instead". > curing Ricke…

That's indeed the domain of medicine. Which will tell you, "you need more nutrient $X in your diet" as a solution to the problem, instead of "eat healthier" (for values of 'healthier' determined by current fitness fashion). That sounds just really arbitrarily personally hostile towards me. I have gone through multiple blogs in which I have tried to lay out specific nutritional recommendations for people with CF. The…

> But this arbitrary validation of nutrition as medicine, unless I am doing it and then it is somehow hokum, is just one of the craziest things I have ever seen on HN.

Yeah, nutrition as in "you need more vitamin C, or else scurvy", not as in "eat salads, drink no coffee, consume only 'natural', no processed".

Anyway, you're talking it personally way beyond what was intended. Nobody is discounting your opinions because you're you, or because you're a woman (in fact, people were probably positively biased towards them by the virtue of your karma score on the previous HN account, before you ditched it). You started your subthread here with, "Color me skeptical", towards the outcome of sponsoring biomedical R&D, based on your experience with one form of one disease that (you think) you figured out how to manage with healthy lifestyle. But there are plenty other forms of that disease, and plenty other diseases, and you can't cure them all by healthy lifestyle - and most importantly, people are not living healthy lifestyles for some reasons - reasons that are fully orthogonal to what medical research is doing.

Anyway, I'm going to drop it, as I'm no wordsmith, and 'dokein happened to make the same point I want to make much better than I ever could.

Re: YC Bio

#128

as a former biologist: please, please, please, please, please, please, please ensure that at YC the people with money do not try to interpret laboratory data and stay far away from making any kind of project-level decisions. it's something they (VCs) love to do, in my experience. incorrectly. and it's a massive waste of scientists' time, to have to correct the moneymen's misunderstandings of rudimentary things. then…

Ah yes the old “the business man thinks he knows how to science and the scientist thinks he knows how to do business” problem.

Re: YC Bio

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And here’s my take on how this will play out... Tech investors are almost totally unequiped to do the necessary DD. They either therefore go for plays that are easy to understand, largely computational exercises or in the rare cases they do go for something higher risk, they back something crazy (e.g. Theranos) because they don’t do good DD. Getting an “expert” to vet the play rarely works. Because tech VCs don’t kno…

They're not going to diligence the technology. They're going to vet the founders. That's what they've always done.

Nope, that’s not what they do in my experience. When a VC says they “invest in the team” what they generally mean is has the team already had a successful venture. Either that or, we’re they referred by a friend, or did they went to a university they like.

They rarely dig into how the background of the team and their ability to deal with unforeseen problems. That is, in my experience.

Re: YC Bio

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's indeed the domain of medicine. Which will tell you, "you need more nutrient $X in your diet" as a solution to the problem, instead of "eat healthier" (for values of 'healthier' determined by current fitness fashion). That sounds just really arbitrarily personally hostile towards me. I have gone through multiple blogs in which I have tried to lay out specific nutritional recommendations for people with CF. The…

> But this arbitrary validation of nutrition as medicine, unless I am doing it and then it is somehow hokum, is just one of the craziest things I have ever seen on HN. Yeah, nutrition as in "you need more vitamin C, or else scurvy", not as in "eat salads, drink no coffee, consume only 'natural', no processed". Anyway, you're talking it personally way beyond what was intended. Nobody is discounting your opinions becau…

You are going to drop it, but not until after you take a few more personal swipes.

One thing I highly recommend for people with CF is the right kind of high quality salt. This is very much like taking vitamin D for Rickets or vitamin C for Scurvy.

But you just assume that I have nothing that specific to say and facts be damned.

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