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The Last Invention of Man

nautil.us

121–122 of 122 posts

Re: The Last Invention of Man

#121
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah. Maciej wrote a pretty good piece rebutting AI alarmism and kind of alludes to that as one of several points. http://idlewords.com/talks/superintelligence.htm > With no way to define intelligence (except just pointing to ourselves), we don't even know if it's a quantity that can be maximized. For all we know, human-level intelligence could be a tradeoff. Maybe any entity significantly smarter than a human being…

> With no way to define intelligence (except just pointing to ourselves.. ..and anything else considered to be alive) Not to make an attempt at arguing whether or not machines can be intelligent but machines are not submerged in an environment that effects them, giving them no merit to be intelligent about anything; and even if they were they still have no ability to influence the environment. (Sensors for example) I…

> machines are not submerged in an environment that effects them, giving them no merit to be intelligent about anything

You're alluding to the problem of having to 'raise' a super-intelligence with a vested interest in the continuity of its physical existence. I think I agree with where you're going with that.

Our understanding of 'self' or 'self preservation' likely comes from a long history of suffering, pain, and failure brought on by trials at understanding the self from evolution's attempts at imbuing the information for longevity into cognition. Mother nature has had years of exponential growth with an inconceivable number of branches attempting to understand the 'self', that lead to failure, all necessary because the idea of 'self preservation' or 'grounding one's sense of ego into a concept of physical sensory data' is very obscure to precisely define, let along to define such that it can be TESTED between generations.

Based on how much of a headstart evolution has on that refining process, and how bad humans are at implementing that or even exposing sensory information about that that plug directly into concepts that necessarily affect an artificial's sense of self, I'm willing to bet that we are completely ill-equipped to grow any real intelligence that's truly grounded in the real world, until it can make all the same failed attempts at living longer or evolving + testing those attempts, with that exact same directional goal of 'self-preservation' which humans have.

Self-preservation is really the only thing you can evolve to, to guide a physical evolution. I'm not aware of any other physical goals that could lead to the same human-like intelligence or human-like neural models.

Most creatures seem to hit the exact same point. An agent-based survival of the fittest with generational physical trials that punish poor understandings of the self's physical manifestation, trying to optimize for its longevity.

Anything that doesn't hit that kind of model is strictly not aware of the manifestation of its ego, as we know it (e.g. plants, bacteria, etc), and I don't think the physical sense of self can evolve into grounded concepts without allowing for generational failure on the understanding of self, due to incorrect concepts of 'physical self' between competing generations.

TL;DR - The concept of physical self is an evolved trait only if there is a goal tied to it, it cannot arrive without the concept of 'self existence' being threatened or when not allowed to fail.

Re: The Last Invention of Man

#122

"And then, for no reason anyone ever understood, Omega created a bunch of factories that produced an unstoppable army of robots who rounded up all the humans and turned them into paperclips."

Yes, I was waiting for that sort of ending too. Not that it is inevitable -- just that is seems likely given what makes humans human has a lot more to do with emotions than intelligence (see the book "Descartes' Error" on how emotion underlies all thinking). If you create a creature without human emotions (including feelings for other humans), don't be surprised when it behaves in other-than-human ways. Of course, si…

Thank you for that very detailed reply (to a comment which was mostly made in jest). I'd feel bad leaving it with merely an upvote and no response. I know next-to-nothing about AI, but I do know something about humans (having had decades of experience in both being one and dealing with them. Hit me up, potential xeno-employers!):

Humans always have more ability than insight, more skill than wisdom. We developed agriculture (as one theory goes, so we could brew more alcohol) and did not (could not) foresee the planet-changing (both to climate and ecology) consequences of that. We invented combustion engines, and could not foresee the planet-changing consequences of that. The same pattern appears again and again in (technological) history. It's forgivable; after all, you never know the full consequences of your actions until well afterward (or never at all). In short, our technical abilities always outrun our understanding of the impact of those abilities. Like adults with the minds of toddlers.

I am apprehensive of any development of (true) AI (though I also have strong doubts on how far we'll get in actually creating one in my lifetime), but, just like the invention of the atom bomb, it is inevitable. Natural intelligence exists, and therefore artificial intelligence is possible. And if it's not invented by an Omega-group (who mean well for all mankind) it might be invented by groups with less altruistic intentions. Either way, it's going to happen (assuming no civilization collapse before), but I doubt it will be as good as we hope it will be; or as bad as we fear, for that matter. I don't think we can foresee the results at all (barring of course writing tens of thousands of futurism stories, there's bound to be one close enough).

I consider AI-stories like this one (along with stories about the Singularity) to be just a secular techno-eschatology, the belief that technology will save humans from themselves, or as you have said, the creation of God, "Deus est machina."

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