Live data from Hacker News

Thunder Run to Seoul: Assessing North Korea’s War Plan

realcleardefense.com

121–124 of 124 posts

Re: Thunder Run to Seoul: Assessing North Korea’s War Plan

#121
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think one of the major reasons no one does anything about it, ignoring the buffer China enjoys from the US (via proxy), is the humanitarian crisis from the entire NK population after the war is over. Who is going to help them? China? SK?

South Korea already has plans in place for that. I can't find the article at the moment, but they feel super bad for and about North Korea and really want to help if they could

Not a very literate and informed reply I'm having here, but just from friendly conversations with a few South Koreans, what I'm getting is that the current generation, many of which haven't grown up in an active war situation, have a much smaller appetite for reunification than their elders may have had. And while they have plans in place (there's a Ministry of Unification) I doubt it that South Korea has money set aside for the real cost of unification (since those amounts would be so tremendous that it'd probably be economically and politically irresponsible to withdraw that much money from the active economy for this long). But then, I'm as little an economic expert as I am an expert on Korea's reunification...

Re: Thunder Run to Seoul: Assessing North Korea’s War Plan

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

South Korea already has plans in place for that. I can't find the article at the moment, but they feel super bad for and about North Korea and really want to help if they could

Not a very literate and informed reply I'm having here, but just from friendly conversations with a few South Koreans, what I'm getting is that the current generation, many of which haven't grown up in an active war situation, have a much smaller appetite for reunification than their elders may have had. And while they have plans in place (there's a Ministry of Unification) I doubt it that South Korea has money set a…

[deleted]

Re: Thunder Run to Seoul: Assessing North Korea’s War Plan

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If there's a war, Seoul gets clobbered in the first minutes. Alternatively, that artillery gets clobbered in the first minutes.

The artillery pieces aren't sitting around in the open waiting to be bombed; they're deeply dug in, inside fortifications the North has been building on its side of the border for decades. It would be very difficult to neutralize it from the air before it could do real damage without resort to something like nuclear weapons.

Remember that MOAB the other day? Who do you think that message was aimed at?

Re: Thunder Run to Seoul: Assessing North Korea’s War Plan

#124
post #104
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Indeed, all of those tanks will be pretty useless against an array of modern anti tank, see javelins https://youtu.be/wrhybKEzb-0 The primary concern is the use of artillery and multi barrel rocket launchers devastating any ROK ground forces. Russia demonstrated their long distance lethality in Ukraine. I'm also curious at the quality of DPRKs SAMs. The new S400 ones definitely pose a problem even for modern American…

Serbian S-125s were pretty effective against F117s during the war in Yugoslavia. They targeted the planes using long range radar. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1999_F-117A_shootdown

We may have different definitions for the word "effective".

I'm not disparaging what Colonel Dani was able to accomplish using outdated equipment, but it's important to note how little the Yugoslavian air defense was able to achieve as a whole.

Post reply on HN