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A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

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Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> basic income is actually just a continuation of the same inflationary alchemy It's no such thing; not remotely. BI isn't new money, it's simply a redistribution of money from those with more to those with less. It won't increase the money supply and thus doesn't cause inflation.

Even if not implemented through monetary inflation, BI will cause price inflation. Housing asset prices are primarily constrained by the affordability of rent - either to a landlord or directly to the bank. If everybody can spend twice as much on rent then rent just doubles, and if interest rates remain the same then paper appraisals double. BI seems desirable because it addresses a glaring symptom of the inflationar…

> If everybody can spend twice as much on rent t

False presumption, BI will not enable everyone to spend twice as much on rent.

> BI will cause price inflation.

Unfounded.

> The sustainable answer is higher interest rates, so that frugal people can be rewarded for channeling discretionary spending towards paying off principle.

That doesn't remotely address the issue that BI attempts to solve, lack of available jobs for people due to the effects of automation.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Absolutely. If I can find some inside track that UBI is coming, I'll be buying a lot of low-end rental property, hopefully before it runs up.

It's like a game of Monopoly where everyone gets more money, including the people who already have Board Walk and Park Place, etc. #WWJD? Flip the board over. Jubilee.

> It's like a game of Monopoly where everyone gets more money,

No it isn't, not even remotely.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

BI won't increase average income, it'll simply redistribute income from the top down to the bottom so the average will stay the same. BI will reduce income for those at the top as their taxes will go up much more than they'll get back in BI. BI will increase income for those on the margin, not across the board, so the market rates simply can't go up across the board, BI isn't creating new money and thus won't cause g…

Ideally BI doesn't come from an inflated money supply, but if the money-holders refuse to pay taxes, where's it gonna come from? I have a feeling that unless the architects of BI can tack that point to the legislation, it's gonna be a glossed over in the dysfunctional halls of government. "The left" will take on more government debt out of necessity to keep society functioning, while dysfunctional elements of "the ri…

BI can't just come from inflating the money supply, it wouldn't function if it were implemented that way. BI has to be funded by taxes, and money-holders can't refuse to pay, taxes don't work that way.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Even if not implemented through monetary inflation, BI will cause price inflation. Housing asset prices are primarily constrained by the affordability of rent - either to a landlord or directly to the bank. If everybody can spend twice as much on rent then rent just doubles, and if interest rates remain the same then paper appraisals double. BI seems desirable because it addresses a glaring symptom of the inflationar…

> If everybody can spend twice as much on rent t False presumption, BI will not enable everyone to spend twice as much on rent. > BI will cause price inflation. Unfounded. > The sustainable answer is higher interest rates, so that frugal people can be rewarded for channeling discretionary spending towards paying off principle. That doesn't remotely address the issue that BI attempts to solve, lack of available jobs f…

>> If everybody can spend twice as much on rent

> False presumption

It wasn't a presumption about BI, but a hypothetical framing of an example situation. Please give opposing viewpoints their due interpretation rather than looking for phrases to pick on out of context.

> Unfounded

Once again, this is what we're arguing about. You can't simply quote my conclusion without my supporting arguments and say it's unfounded.

> That doesn't remotely address the issue that BI attempts to solve, lack of available jobs for people due to the effects of automation.

I didn't expand on it, but my view actually does address this. If working people had been able to save money, then they would have had more economic bargaining power to demand higher wages and fewer working hours, gradually over the past few decades. As it stands, we could fix much of the employment issue by redefining "full time" to be 15 hours per week, getting rid of the exempt loophole, and changing overtime to double or triple pay. But this is such a drastic change (because the issue has been building so long), it seems quite ridiculous. But it's important to understand how we got to this point in order to know how to proceed, lest we choose another "quick fix" that actually just makes the situation even worse.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If everybody can spend twice as much on rent t False presumption, BI will not enable everyone to spend twice as much on rent. > BI will cause price inflation. Unfounded. > The sustainable answer is higher interest rates, so that frugal people can be rewarded for channeling discretionary spending towards paying off principle. That doesn't remotely address the issue that BI attempts to solve, lack of available jobs f…

> > If everybody can spend twice as much on rent > False presumption It wasn't a presumption about BI, but a hypothetical framing of an example situation. Please give opposing viewpoints their due interpretation rather than looking for phrases to pick on out of context. > Unfounded Once again, this is what we're arguing about. You can't simply quote my conclusion without my supporting arguments and say it's unfounded…

I don't think redefining full time to be so few hours would work in this country, nor actually solve the problem, it'd just make most people broke and forced to seek out multiple jobs to survive. Yes, money distribution can affect particular markets where the redistribution increases spending but that's not inflation, inflation is a general rise is all prices, not a rise in a particular sector and BI is a far better longer term solution to the real issue, that life doesn't need to be and long term cannot be dependent on the selling of labor in an age of automation. We need to move beyond the puritan work ethic to something more appropriate for the world that's coming.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#126

This makes me think hard about universal basic income. If average incomes went up, how long would it take for those with monopolies on basic needs to raise the prices? Not long, I'm sure. Unless rentier capitalism is somehow cut out of the picture, if the government provided $10,000/yr, then $10,000/yr could very quickly become the new "poverty". If banks (via landlords' debts) are squeezing people now, whats stoppin…

In fact, basic income is actually just a continuation of the same inflationary alchemy that's been eroding the middle class for decades. This is why a seemingly revolutionary idea is getting so much press - because it actually isn't revolutionary at all, but a doubling down on the status quo!

> basic income is actually just a continuation of the same inflationary alchemy

This comes up in every BI thread, and I can't wrap my head around it. All the sensible proposals seem geared so that if you have income from a job, most of the BI amount will be recouped from your taxes. So, for most people their purchasing power would go up only slightly or not at all.

Think about the extremes: if you make a comfortable income (say, at least 2x the median) your taxes should increase to recoup most or all of the BI subsidy, so your purchasing power doesn't change. If you choose to leave your job and live off the BI, your purchasing power goes down (drastically!) and you won't be in a position to inflate prices on much of anything.

At the other end, if your income is zero and you receive BI, your purchasing power goes up, but you still won't have a huge amount of money to throw around. And in the developed economies, at any rate, we suffer from over-production of basic needs stuff, so I don't think demand would exceed supply for basic things like flour, rice, toiletries, etc.

Analyzing the middle few percentiles of the income distribution is tougher, but for any scheme that increases taxes along with BI it's hard to see how it could possibly cause inflation to increase by more than a point or two.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#127
A complaint against boomers is that they pulled up the ladder for upward mobility. That they benefited from cheap education, a booming economy, relatively cheap houses and stock market and fully funded social security and medicare. Whereas millennials have to face expensive education, stagnant economy and uncertain prospects for social security / medicare.

If that's the case, we should welcome parent->children transfer of wealth to balance out the situation of two generations, no? Some people might prefer government to do this, but that is just a different mechanism (with lots of political opposition) to achieve the same end goal - wealth transfer from boomers to millennials.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#128

A complaint against boomers is that they pulled up the ladder for upward mobility. That they benefited from cheap education, a booming economy, relatively cheap houses and stock market and fully funded social security and medicare. Whereas millennials have to face expensive education, stagnant economy and uncertain prospects for social security / medicare. If that's the case, we should welcome parent->children transf…

The problem with parental wealth transfer is when your parents may not be in the position to help you. Which is why this is most certainly not a good trend.

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#129
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To keep it polite and short, that's really not how the world works anymore. These days your (at least financial) success in life is very much correlated with the wealth of your parents. If you're from Sweden (as your username would indicate) you can take Stockholm as an example. My non-independent friend (and their parents) there are millionaires from housing appreciation and savings, while my independent friends are…

The world hasn't changed that much. The wealthy are wealthy. The famous are famous. The powerful are powerful. The happy are happy. Like the OP, I'm neither wealthy nor famous nor powerful. I'm not quite in my 50's, but pretty close. I live in a tiny rented flat in the countryside. I own exactly 2 pairs of trousers (much to the dismay of my wife). And I'm happy. SO much happier than my 20's that it defies description…

I want to put this delicately: your definition of happiness might not be shared by a lot of people in society today, and neither should it be. While I am glad that you have found happiness in your simple lifestyle, a lot of people would be thoroughly depressed with it (and I'm trying to say this in the nicest way possible, no judgement intended whatsoever on your choices).

Re: A secret of many urban 20-somethings: Their parents help with the rent

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> > If everybody can spend twice as much on rent > False presumption It wasn't a presumption about BI, but a hypothetical framing of an example situation. Please give opposing viewpoints their due interpretation rather than looking for phrases to pick on out of context. > Unfounded Once again, this is what we're arguing about. You can't simply quote my conclusion without my supporting arguments and say it's unfounded…

I don't think redefining full time to be so few hours would work in this country, nor actually solve the problem, it'd just make most people broke and forced to seek out multiple jobs to survive. Yes, money distribution can affect particular markets where the redistribution increases spending but that's not inflation, inflation is a general rise is all prices, not a rise in a particular sector and BI is a far better…

> it'd just make most people broke and forced to seek out multiple jobs to survive

So then change the full time number to be summed over all jobs. It's a cooperation problem where it is in nobody's individual interest to work less (since the marginal utility of surplus over your peer group is extreme), but yet everybody competing for this results in all the surplus thrown onto the bonfire of financialization.

And yes as I said, 15 hours is a drastic change from 40. Because the point is that this should have been happening gradually the whole time. I personally would have preferred it to happen through sane monetary policy rather than government diktat, but either way we should all be working much less.

> We need to move beyond the puritan work ethic to something more appropriate for the world that's coming.

I wholeheartedly agree on this point. But the implementation we're looking for is not BI.

The idea of BI deprecates the idea of having an economy (ie p2p transactions), and replaces it with widespread monthly funding from the government. This will necessarily come with strings attached, inevitably becoming a highly politicized way of dictating individuals' life choices. We already have something quite similar to BI, called welfare/medicaid, which brings no end to hassling its recipients. I believe that BI proponents would say that the aim of BI is to simplify these systems, but this is not a stable state. It is trying to reverse up the gradient of why politicians generate complexity (finding divisive bikeshed issues so people can be led).

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