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Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

monbiot.com

121–130 of 180 posts

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have to believe that somewhere in the parameter space of human diplomacy and relationships there is the possibility for expansion and coexistence without utter annihilation of one side. We appear to be doing it on some scales in the modern age, certainly much better than we've done before, though not perfectly. Still, homo sapiens largely wiped out neanderthal populations many eons ago. They had a similar to larger…

I have to believe that somewhere in the parameter space of human diplomacy and relationships there is the possibility for expansion and coexistence without utter annihilation of one side. I always thought that the Romans empire expanded solely out of greed and power lust. One day I was reading about one of their very, very early battles. Turns out the population of Rome and of the neighboring city had expanded to the…

Thanks for the book recommendation. I will read it. As I'm sure you appreciate, I've been thinking a lot about it.

In my current thinking, it seems that there must be a new moral code. The powers of individual people, or even small groups, are too great. A million dollar act can cause billions of dollars of damage (e.g. 9/11) causing a many trillion dollar response (our current wars) and we haven't even seen the first real acts of biological terrorism. And what would become of a human population consisting of one group willing to take responsibility for the finiteness of our world, and one group unwilling to do so, intent on expansion, growth, greed and reproduction. There must be some moral code, some mode of thinking, some sociological structure, to deal with this.

(PS: Are you really that keen on thorium? People can still make dirty bombs and I'm not sure about how secure it is in terms of preventing enrichment, and as far as I can tell it's more expensive in terms of amortized cost than uranium reactors, which are more expensive than coal, which in some cases is more expensive than wind and, possibly soon, solar. So plan A for me seems to be using the nuclear reactor that we've already got: the one floating in the sky.)

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Also, thorium isn't enough. It's just one in a long list of limitations in terms of the planet's resources. We fix more nitrogen than all of other life in the planet combined. Human beings have reshaped one third of the Earth's surface. About one billion people on Earth now enjoy an 'american' standard of living, and thusly an american standard of consumption. In 20 years it will be 3 billion. We don't really have room for another factor of three, even just looking at the amount of food that we'll need. At the currently level of technology, for example, it is not even remotely possible for south and south east asia to switch from a largely vegetarian diet to one which consumes half as much meat as the average american.

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I highly recommend the article "A Sober Optimist’s Guide to Sustainability"

http://sloanreview.mit.edu/beyond-green/a-sober-optimists-gu...

"The guiding principle of more: It’s interesting to imagine what it would take to change that principle, even by degree. Because making that change seems so fundamental to what you’re saying we’re going to have to do.

I think this is the most difficult issue. And it’s not one you can tell people about. But you can show them. One of the simulation models we use is a model of the overall interactions between population, resources, pollution, technology, and the environment. We’ll run the model live in class. We’ll say, “Okay, here is the simulation, and some very unpleasant things may happen yet in this century. But everything in the model is uncertain. Let’s assume there’s a whole lot more cheap oil and gas available. The marginal cost doesn’t rise so quickly as we pump more out of the ground.” Then you just slide a lever in the model and instantly see the result.

What happens, of course, is that by relaxing the constraint that’s limiting economic growth by lowering the availability and raising the price of energy, the economy grows even more, for an even longer time, until it hits some other constraint. So if you relax the constraint on the availability of fossil fuels, then you hit another constraint, which might be climate change. And if you go in and you relax that constraint, even magically assuming we can solve the climate problem right now, and for free, the economy grows even further until you hit another constraint, such as soil fertility or fresh water, and you see agricultural productivity fall. Relax that constraint, and you’ll grow until you hit some other one.

Pretty quickly people discover for themselves that as long as everybody in the world wants more—as long as everyone in the world wants to be as rich as we are, and we all want to be richer than we are today, there’s no solution.

What makes it particularly hard is that this is a conversation that’s not permissible in our society. Even the English language doesn’t allow it! There are words for not having enough—shortage—but there’s no word for excess demand. There’s no such word as a “longage” of demand."

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Americans have no goods that are as valuable to them as oil.

Ok, well let's compare that with a real life situation. Right now there are thousands of people dying from easily preventable diseases every day in Africa, which could be cured for a few cents each. American pharmaceutical companies have this medicine, and they are operating in one of the most profitable industries that have ever existed. Africans have no goods that are as valuable to them as medicine. Should African…

No, because the invasion would fail. A good leader does not lead his troops on suicidal missions.

But the oil example actually did happen in real life. You're the ruler of Japan in 1941. The U.S. has just cut off your oil supply. You have months left before your population faces severe hunger and deprivation. Do you invade Indonesia to take their oil? I think if I was ruler I would. How about you?

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let's try a similar, more realistic question. It's 2050. The U.S. has run out of oil, it only has enough to run farm equipment and food shipment trucks for another year. There is hope of converting everything to nuclear/electric power, but that will take a decade. In the meantime, the entire population, including your friends and family, face hunger or starvation. Nigeria and Venezuela have oil, but refuse to sell it…

Why dont they want to sell it? And how does that scenario compare to the invasion of the United States in the 1500s? It wasnt invaded to save the population of Europe.

Probably about a third of the population of England at the time faced constant poverty and hunger due to there simply not being enough land to support the population. To the west is this wide open, un-farmed continent, with enough land to support everyone. Do you allow your subjects to settle this land?

The point of these questions is that it is always easy to moralize when you don't have to make personal tradeoffs. And in real life, there are often hard tradeoffs to make. So I'm trying to figure out under what conditions, if any, you would make the choice to invade. So far, you've moralized, but you've still evaded the hard questions. What would you do in any of these scenarios?

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Holy crap, I can't believe this. Let me say this for the record: The slaughter of Native Americans by the Conquistadors was a terrible thing. Awful. Tragic. An abomination. Also, and completely not taking anything away from the awful abominableness of that terrible tragedy, the Native Americans had lots of other problems with their culture, and were in many ways, quite savage. The Conquistadors had really good food,…

Fine, I understand where you're coming from. Consider though that by very fact the conquistadors received funding from the crown, must in some way, shape, or form, have reflected prevailing attitudes at the time in Spain and within the Catholic church. After all, one of the goals of the expeditions was to "Christianize" the godless heathens, as well as "find" material wealth. So in this sense, yes, some of the attitu…

The problem is that you are actually understanding that conflict less, by painting 16th century Spain as how you'd like it to have been. For example, the Spanish crown formally accepted the natives, since the return of Columbus, as citizens of the crown subject to the same protections a native spaniard had back then. Very liberal for the century. It's just that the landlords (caciques) were much more seduced by the idea of free labour, and there was no government oversight on the vast, new-found lands. Similarly, the Company of Jesus were a religious order which instructed the natives, built schools, advocated for the end of all slavery, and protected natives from exploitation at hands of ruthless Europeans. Hardly crusaders or templars. But sure, if blind prejudice derived by generalization makes you feel superior...

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ok, well let's compare that with a real life situation. Right now there are thousands of people dying from easily preventable diseases every day in Africa, which could be cured for a few cents each. American pharmaceutical companies have this medicine, and they are operating in one of the most profitable industries that have ever existed. Africans have no goods that are as valuable to them as medicine. Should African…

No, because the invasion would fail. A good leader does not lead his troops on suicidal missions. But the oil example actually did happen in real life. You're the ruler of Japan in 1941. The U.S. has just cut off your oil supply. You have months left before your population faces severe hunger and deprivation. Do you invade Indonesia to take their oil? I think if I was ruler I would. How about you?

I dont know, but I think we should apply the same moral standards to ourselves that we appply to others.

These questions echo the age-old maxim of Thucydides that "The strong do as they can, while the weak suffer what they must" but that doesnt mean that the actions on either side are just.

There are fundamental questions to be answered here about the legitimacy of the nation-state, and what right one group has to natural resources over another simply because of their location on Earth, when the results of this unfairness are the strengthing of one group and the weakening of another.

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I used to think the same thing, but I now believe that is wishful thinking. The Europeans had 10,000 of cultural and genetic adaptation to high density, agricultural based living. The natives lived a fundamentally different way of life that required far less population density. Like the Navi in Avatar, most natives would rather fight and die than give up their ancestral ways. And even if they had wanted to assimilate…

I think you may have a rather stereotypical view of the natives. Not all natives were Sioux. A lot of the natives (probably the majority) were farmers themselves. And a most of them were rather friendly towards the early colonists and eager to trade with them and intermingle. If the Europeans simply taught the natives their higher efficiency farming methods, there would not be a conflict for land either, because Amer…

I agree. If you look at the history of contact in northeast N.A., you'll find that the Europeans were relatively few at first. The natives in the area were notably not fond of each other and regularly used Europeans to acquire the means to slaughter their enemies.

Before the arrival of the Europeans, relations between the Huron and the Iroquois consisted of constant, low-level warfare (which could be brutal, and involved post facto ritual torture).

So in the early-mid 17th century, the French traders were generally allied to the Huron, while the Iroquois were allies of the Dutch, then English. Both sides sought trade monopolies with the Europeans, but the Iroquois, the Mohawk in particular, acquired heavy armaments first. They then used those armaments to slaughter, and in fact, pretty much eliminate the Huron. (I'm glossing over a lot of detail. See Francis Jennings' many books on this period.)

Now the Iroquois weren't tricked into doing it. They did it because they didn't like the Huron and wanted what they had. The Dutch and English supplied guns and "monetary" incentives, but the Iroquois were morally responsible.

I think that pattern is most obvious in the example I'm trying to describe, but it was hardly unique. There's a tendency to romanticize the Natives (coughAvatarcough) but they could be as filled with hatred and lust as any of the Europeans. Not all of them, of course, but neither were the Europeans all alike.

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#127
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sou you think being all but exterminated was for the better of the native Americans? Maybe you are trying to argue for something good, but dead people are dead. They don't benefit from a civilization that emerged a couple of decades later.

And they would be dead now even if no one had killed them back then. And those that killed them are all dead now. And no doubt more Amerindians were killed by other Amerindians over the centuries than ever had any contact at all with Europeans. This is like all the whining about slavery. Slavery has been one of the most widespread practices in the world. Europeans were the ones who have come closest to putting a stop…

So essentially you are calling for anarchy?

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#128
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And they would be dead now even if no one had killed them back then. And those that killed them are all dead now. And no doubt more Amerindians were killed by other Amerindians over the centuries than ever had any contact at all with Europeans. This is like all the whining about slavery. Slavery has been one of the most widespread practices in the world. Europeans were the ones who have come closest to putting a stop…

So essentially you are calling for anarchy?

Anarchy is the only logical and natural state of being, every other attempt to bring order to chaos is unnatural. Imho.

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Holy crap, I can't believe this. Let me say this for the record: The slaughter of Native Americans by the Conquistadors was a terrible thing. Awful. Tragic. An abomination. Also, and completely not taking anything away from the awful abominableness of that terrible tragedy, the Native Americans had lots of other problems with their culture, and were in many ways, quite savage. The Conquistadors had really good food,…

Fine, I understand where you're coming from. Consider though that by very fact the conquistadors received funding from the crown, must in some way, shape, or form, have reflected prevailing attitudes at the time in Spain and within the Catholic church. After all, one of the goals of the expeditions was to "Christianize" the godless heathens, as well as "find" material wealth. So in this sense, yes, some of the attitu…

Yes, some idea require a certain nuanced approach to fully comprehend, others however, do not. This is not one of them. I guess you can throw up you up your hand and cry "I can't decide, these waters are too ethically difficult to navigate, argh!" and forever cop out. It's easier.

That is not what he is saying though. He is arguing for a more rational and more balanced view than that advocated by the original article, which was quite "all-or-nothing". This does not mean that genocide is not bad, it certainly is. But because they committed genocide does not mean they did not have other good qualities and achievements as well.

Re: Avatar: The Holocaust We Will Not See

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have to believe that somewhere in the parameter space of human diplomacy and relationships there is the possibility for expansion and coexistence without utter annihilation of one side. I always thought that the Romans empire expanded solely out of greed and power lust. One day I was reading about one of their very, very early battles. Turns out the population of Rome and of the neighboring city had expanded to the…

Thanks for the book recommendation. I will read it. As I'm sure you appreciate, I've been thinking a lot about it. In my current thinking, it seems that there must be a new moral code. The powers of individual people, or even small groups, are too great. A million dollar act can cause billions of dollars of damage (e.g. 9/11) causing a many trillion dollar response (our current wars) and we haven't even seen the firs…

A very interesting and very long post.

Am I understanding you are advocating a limit on the human population? How would you suggest actually achieving that?

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