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Acme Weather

acmeweather.com

111–120 of 157 posts

Re: Acme Weather

#112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The "feels like" metric is more closely tied to human stress and safety than raw temperature. In cold weather (wind chill), wind strips away the thin warm layer of air next to your skin, so you lose heat faster. Hence, "feels colder". In hot weather (heat index), humidity slows sweat evaporation, so your body can't cool itself as effectively. Hence, "feels hotter". So it's a lot more useful for decision-making (like…

Just to add further color: I’m a teacher, and at my school, we use the “feels like” temperature to decide whether to send kids outside for recess. Without that metric, we’d need to either ignore the wind chill, create our own formula, or leave it up to the judgement of the individual teacher running recess that day. Much better to have a number.

That makes sense, enough to do keeping them alive without the field heuristics

Re: Acme Weather

#113

This team really have been thinking about weather a lot , and it makes me very curious about what they’ve created this time. It’s that depth of thought and expertise that feels missing from most of the vibe-coded launches we’ve seen recently. I actually wouldn’t mind if Acme had vibe coded parts, but I bet they didn’t.

I'm almost shocked we don't have a large weather model instead of a language model. Seems right up the alley. Also I don't get what happened but I think it was AccuWeather or weather underground in the early 2000s where it was to the minute accurate and it seems like it's gotten worse since everywhere.

I think Google's weather models could be called LWMs. They're doing interesting research in this space.

Re: Acme Weather

#114
Did DarkSky ever make it out of the US? I know it was US only for a long time, as it seems this is.

Even recently Apple Weather was hilariously bad in Australia. I was always asking my partner for the weather because her Pixel weather app was reasonably reliable and Apple Weather was always wrong.

Weather forecasts are such a localised issue. I've never seen an app that does well globally.

Re: Acme Weather

#115
Anyone trying it out in NYC? Curious to know what it expects of tomorrow's potential blizzard.

Add me to the list of people not excited to pay a subscription to get Dark Sky back, but also bummed I can't yet try it on Android.

Re: Acme Weather

#116
> $25/year subscription

I don't get it, is there even a market ? People get free and quite accurate weather information from Google and others. I don't think that a few radar view and probability prediction are worth that amount of money.

But then, how much was dark sky ? And did it succeed ? Getting bought by apple is a kind of success but I mean success as in profitability.

Re: Acme Weather

#117

> $25/year subscription I don't get it, is there even a market ? People get free and quite accurate weather information from Google and others. I don't think that a few radar view and probability prediction are worth that amount of money. But then, how much was dark sky ? And did it succeed ? Getting bought by apple is a kind of success but I mean success as in profitability.

There's probably an initial "nostalgia for DarkSky" market. But beyond that? Nope.

Re: Acme Weather

#118

This team really have been thinking about weather a lot , and it makes me very curious about what they’ve created this time. It’s that depth of thought and expertise that feels missing from most of the vibe-coded launches we’ve seen recently. I actually wouldn’t mind if Acme had vibe coded parts, but I bet they didn’t.

I'm almost shocked we don't have a large weather model instead of a language model. Seems right up the alley. Also I don't get what happened but I think it was AccuWeather or weather underground in the early 2000s where it was to the minute accurate and it seems like it's gotten worse since everywhere.

> I'm almost shocked we don't have a large weather model instead of a language model. Seems right up the alley.

We do have such models. A bunch of them actually:

- Google DeepMind's "WeatherNext2" - Microsoft's Aurora - NVIDIA's FourCastNet-3 + Atlas + Climate-in-a-Bottle - ECMWF's AIFS ...

The list goes on. Plenty of small startups have repeated the recipe for building these types of models with their own architectural twist, too.

Re: Acme Weather

#119

> $25/year subscription I don't get it, is there even a market ? People get free and quite accurate weather information from Google and others. I don't think that a few radar view and probability prediction are worth that amount of money. But then, how much was dark sky ? And did it succeed ? Getting bought by apple is a kind of success but I mean success as in profitability.

"Quite accurate"

I've been hearing snow predictions for two months now. We have had one or two light dustings which didn't lie. I also find most predictions are mostly useless beyond three days.

Re: Acme Weather

#120

Anyone trying it out in NYC? Curious to know what it expects of tomorrow's potential blizzard. Add me to the list of people not excited to pay a subscription to get Dark Sky back, but also bummed I can't yet try it on Android.

It would just be regurgitating information from numerical forecast models.

If you're in the Northeast and have questions about the significant winter storm that is impending, please check out the National Weather Service's forecast and decision support materials for your community on www.weather.gov.

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