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Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

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Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#111
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hate this writing as well. Is not about technology and finance? The reporter writes as if it is a novel.

The sheer number of em dashes in the text suggest to me that the reporter didn't write anything, ChatGPT did.

The other day I read some old blog posts of mine (~2016) and they contain "em dashes". According to you they were all written by AI.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are 100% going to force the issue. It will likely be a naval plus air blockade to force a political solution to avoid the messiness of an invasion, but time is on China's side there.

Is time on their side? Long term: demographics are worsening for China relative to now or 5 years ago. Short term: China doesn’t yet have viable homegrown replacements for ASML, TSMC, etc. Really short term: China blockading Taiwan and suffering the economic fallout would be much more painful than US blockading Cuba/Venezuela/etc. A decisive kinetic action or a very soft political action, rather than a blockade seems…

There's some intersection point between long term decreasing in China's ability (demographic collapse) and long term increase in China's ability (their current build up of military hardware in air, land, and sea that is currently outpacing America's). Maybe somewhere in 10-20 years where their regional military power is much higher than America can project across the Atlantic but they still have a lot of military aged men.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that I've heard. I searched and I see nothing. Where has Intel said they are winding down chip fabrication?

I'm thinking back to over the summer, they were reducing their work force and changing the previous CEO's direction. https://www.manufacturingdive.com/news/intel-layoffs-25-perc...

In some areas they may be shifting resources. But a lot has happened since last summer. They have received some cash infusions and 18a is in full production with yields, apparently, at acceptable levels. Rumors are Apple has already signed on.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#115
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I would think that if they were serious they would commit to cofinancing new foundries or signing long term minimum purchasing agreements. That would ruin TSMC and others' independence. Nvidia already did buy Intel shares so it is a thing. Nvidia did discuss with TSMC for more capacity many times. It's not about financing or minimum purchasing agreements. TSMC played along during COVID and got hit.

How do you figure? Demand for electronics skyrocketed when everyone working from home bought new laptops webcams, tablets. There was a fire on a TSMC manufacturing line that caused a shortage early on but capacity recovered, demand stayed strong throughout and there was a massive spike at the end when car manufacturers needed to ramp back up to handle all the paused orders. As far as I know there was never a demand d…

> there was a massive spike at the end when car manufacturers

Which barely impacts TSMC. Most of their revenue and focus is on the advanced nodes - not the mature 1s.

> As far as I know there was never a demand dip at any point in there.

When did I imply there was a demand dip? I said they built out too much capacity.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#116
post #16

I dislike this dramatization in reporting of mundane facts. So report the facts but sentences like "What Wei probably didn’t tell Cook is that Apple may no longer be his largest client" make it personal, they make you take sides, feel sorry for somebody, feel schadenfreude... (as you can observe in the comments)

The most important signal is actually that demand is far exceeding supply and there is no AI Bubble

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#117
post #92

This article repeatedly cites revenue growth numbers as an indicator of Nvidia and Apple’s relative health, which is a very particular way of looking at things. By way of another one, Apple had $416Bn in revenue, which was a 6% increase from the prior year, or about $25Bn, or about all of Nvidia’s revenue in 2023. Apple’s had slow growth in the last 4 years following a big bump during the early pandemic; their 5 year…

US tech companies aren’t built to be like 3M is/was and able to have their hands in infinite pies.

The giant conglomerates in Asia seem more able to do it.

Google has somewhat tried but then famously kills most everything even things that could be successful if smaller businesses.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#118
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hate this writing as well. Is not about technology and finance? The reporter writes as if it is a novel.

The sheer number of em dashes in the text suggest to me that the reporter didn't write anything, ChatGPT did.

If we give up every bit of punctuation that ChatGPT uses, written language will become much worse.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#119

I find that my cell phone which is 4 generations old and my desktop computer which is 2 generations old are totally adequate for everything I need to do, and I do not need faster processing

You are anecdote, not data.

Data is saying demand >>>>> supply.

Re: Apple is fighting for TSMC capacity as Nvidia takes center stage

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that I've heard. I searched and I see nothing. Where has Intel said they are winding down chip fabrication?

I'm thinking back to over the summer, they were reducing their work force and changing the previous CEO's direction. https://www.manufacturingdive.com/news/intel-layoffs-25-perc...

New CEO said he'll continue with Foundry provided he gets significant customers to justify the cost. In a recent comment/press release, Intel said they are continuing production on 14A. Ergo, they have external customers (or Trump is bullying him into it, but I suspect it's mostly the former).
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