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“Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

skyatnightmagazine.com

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Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#111

Firstly that is completely badass science. The idea that you can use observations to detect the chemical composition of an exoplanet millions of kilometres away is an absolute triumph of the work of thousands of people over hundreds of years. Really amazing and deeply humbling to me. Secondly, my prior was always that life existed outside of earth. It just seems so unlikely that we are somehow that special. If life d…

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Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#113
post #18

Firstly that is completely badass science. The idea that you can use observations to detect the chemical composition of an exoplanet millions of kilometres away is an absolute triumph of the work of thousands of people over hundreds of years. Really amazing and deeply humbling to me. Secondly, my prior was always that life existed outside of earth. It just seems so unlikely that we are somehow that special. If life d…

If life is very common in the universe, then that is probably bad news for us. It means that civilizations should exist that are millions of years more technologically advanced than us; and should be leaving telltale signatures across the sky that we'd likely have detected by now. And the absence of those signs would be relatively strong evidence that life, while common, isn't long-lived. Suggesting that our demise t…

Maybe they just don't feel the need to blast their emissions all over the sky like some sort of a caveman.

Our own technological signature is coming to form a very thin shell. Once we switch fully to fiber optics, lasers, and beamformers, there won't be any aliens learning English from listening in on our TV transmissions anymore. Radio broadcasting was cool, but also horribly wasteful.

It's probably incorrect to assume that more technologically advanced civilizations would be louder.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#114
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most of the sky is left unexplored. I think it’s premature to suggest we don’t see things. There are too many things to see in a single lifetime.

But if there was a Kardashev type III civilization in the Milky Way, they would have had full control of our entire galaxy in a mere 200 million years or so. And we can be pretty sure that such a civilization doesn't actually exist. Which suggests that either advanced life is rare, or dies off long before it ever reaches such technological breadth.

Considering the distances between stars, we might not see civilization spreading as coherent empires but more like humans spreading through the islands of the pacific archipelago. Certainly the same species but also culturally seperated to develop on their own.

Unless faster than light travel or communication becomes avaliable, it might not even make sense to travel through the galaxy.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#115
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>It means that civilizations should exist that are millions of years more technologically advanced than us; and should be leaving telltale signatures across the sky that we'd likely have detected by now. Or they've reached their technological plateau millions of years ago. Like we did 50 years ago. >And the absence of those signs would be relatively strong evidence that life, while common, isn't long-lived. We know f…

> Or they've reached their technological plateau millions of years ago. Like we did 50 years ago. What a bizarre thing to say, considering this very discovery leans on decades of science and engineering over the past 50 years!

None of those discoveries help with space travel whatsoever. Our most advanced space propulsion still works on the principle of throwing a lump of matter in the opposite direction. The rocket equation remains undefeated. Special relativity remains undefeated. This is the plateau that I'm talking about. And we have zero idea if anything can be done about it.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#116
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is quite plausible that life is abundant, but sentience is not. If we take Earth, it formed 4.5 billions years ago, conditions became suitable to support life like 4B years ago and first known signs of life are dated 3.7B years ago. Now, in just .5B years Earth would likely become uninhabitable due to Sun becoming a red giant. In other words, on Earth life spent 90% of its total available time before sentience eme…

The sun has about 5B years more to go before it turns into a red giant, not 0.5B years...

5B more years and we're here for max 100 years. Cruel joke. Life's too short.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#117
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If life is very common in the universe, then that is probably bad news for us. It means that civilizations should exist that are millions of years more technologically advanced than us; and should be leaving telltale signatures across the sky that we'd likely have detected by now. And the absence of those signs would be relatively strong evidence that life, while common, isn't long-lived. Suggesting that our demise t…

Dark forest hypothesis explains this in a “dark” way. They exist but are smart enough to hide from hostile hunter/predator life forms. Meanwhile our dumbasses are blasting radio signals into space like a little kid trying to talk to every stranger they see.

It's also largely bunk. More a story than a hypothesis, really. Game theory shows cooperation beats aggression on a long enough timescale. Politics shows alliances and MAD deters first strike. Even actual "dark forests" are full of animals that have bright colors and make loud noises.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#118
post #18

Firstly that is completely badass science. The idea that you can use observations to detect the chemical composition of an exoplanet millions of kilometres away is an absolute triumph of the work of thousands of people over hundreds of years. Really amazing and deeply humbling to me. Secondly, my prior was always that life existed outside of earth. It just seems so unlikely that we are somehow that special. If life d…

If life is very common in the universe, then that is probably bad news for us. It means that civilizations should exist that are millions of years more technologically advanced than us; and should be leaving telltale signatures across the sky that we'd likely have detected by now. And the absence of those signs would be relatively strong evidence that life, while common, isn't long-lived. Suggesting that our demise t…

Bostrom's trilemma and the notion of the Great Filter!

But in the grand scheme of things, even its "bad news" just ONE datapoint of life elsewhere is at least something to start working with.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#119
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While it has more time to become a red giant, it'll become more luminous over time and life on Earth will be impossible much earlier. I've seen estimates of 0.5B to 1.5B years.

lol 0.5B to 1.5B is a pretty big difference. Sounds like we really don’t know what we are talking about.

The lower end estimate depends on the specifics of the increase in brightness accelerating the weathering of silicates, leading to more CO2 absorbed out of the atmosphere until C3 photosynthesis isn't possible. Some plants use a different method which will continue to work (C4), but consequences of plant life as we know it dying off would be catastrophic for life on this planet - barring of course, whatever adaptations are made.

But it's certainly the mark of "the beginning of the end" for life on this planet - it's a major milestone that we (the species) do need to leave eventually if we want to continue.

Re: “Most promising signs yet” of alien life on a planet beyond our Solar System

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We'll put a giant sunshade in the Earth-Sun L1 Lagrange point.

We might need to do that by the end of this century. If we are able to harvest the solar system resources it would take by then. Trial run for the bigger “solar warming” event.

See, it all comes together! ^.^
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