Cruise CEO here. Some relevant context follows. Cruise AVs are being remotely assisted (RA) 2-4% of the time on average, in complex urban environments. This is low enough already that there isn’t a huge cost benefit to optimizing much further, especially given how useful it is to have humans review things in certain situations. The stat quoted by nyt is how frequently the AVs initiate an RA session. Of those, many ar…
Thanks for the clarifying! This makes a lot of sense. I think NYT did a really poor job of explaining the remote assistance bit.
GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
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Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#112Cruise CEO here. Some relevant context follows. Cruise AVs are being remotely assisted (RA) 2-4% of the time on average, in complex urban environments. This is low enough already that there isn’t a huge cost benefit to optimizing much further, especially given how useful it is to have humans review things in certain situations. The stat quoted by nyt is how frequently the AVs initiate an RA session. Of those, many ar…
What the answer glances over is that even with just 3% of the time requiring human assistance (2 minutes out of every hour) the term ‘autonomous vehicle’ is not really applicable anymore in the sense everybody is using/understanding that term. The idea behind that term assumed ‘full’ autonomy. Self driving cars. And there is no reason to assume that this is still in sight. The answer puts that ‘self-driving car’ on the shelf.
PS. Human assistent seems to me a difficult job, given the constant speed and concentration requirements.
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#113Earlier quoted context omitted.
So Waymo/Google winning here in your opinion?
Waymo will have challenges scaling rapidly, but they may be able to get some sort of favorable unit economics and expand more slowly. Tesla has the scale and for some reason regulators give them a pass. I wouldn't bet against Elon, but we aren't there yet...
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#114Cruise CEO here. Some relevant context follows. Cruise AVs are being remotely assisted (RA) 2-4% of the time on average, in complex urban environments. This is low enough already that there isn’t a huge cost benefit to optimizing much further, especially given how useful it is to have humans review things in certain situations. The stat quoted by nyt is how frequently the AVs initiate an RA session. Of those, many ar…
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#115Cruise CEO here. Some relevant context follows. Cruise AVs are being remotely assisted (RA) 2-4% of the time on average, in complex urban environments. This is low enough already that there isn’t a huge cost benefit to optimizing much further, especially given how useful it is to have humans review things in certain situations. The stat quoted by nyt is how frequently the AVs initiate an RA session. Of those, many ar…
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#116Earlier quoted context omitted.
In the US on average, there's a fatality every ~85 million miles driven, and that's an average that includes motorcyclists without helmets, old unsafe unmaintained cars, the worst roads, and adverse weather conditions. Cruise barely drove a few million miles with new modern cars, good weather, the ability to choose optimal roads and weather, and yet it already severely injured a pedestrian. We can argue about Cruise…
I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles (i.e. we have no idea how safe Cruise would be if there were no human drivers on the road) That's not even close to a fair comparison. We just have to admit that there isn't a fair comparison yet and everyone's just got an axe to grind.
Because it's not that everyone ignores road fatalities, it's just that cruise hasn't driven (in terms of miles amd conditions) nowhere near to what might result in a fatality with human drivers.
Even then, in an incident they've not initiated, they've unnecessariliy made an existing bad situation far far worse.
> (i.e. we have no idea how safe Cruise would be if there were no human drivers on the road)
Self-driving cars have to exist in a world with human drivers, pedestrians, and the rest of reality. No one cares how well Cruise does in a sterile environment.
They should not only not cause incidents, they should also not make existing incidents far worse because of terrible decisions.
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#117Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles (i.e. we have no idea how safe Cruise would be if there were no human drivers on the road) That's not even close to a fair comparison. We just have to admit that there isn't a fair comparison yet and everyone's just got an axe to grind.
> I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles Because it's not that everyone ignores road fatalities, it's just that cruise hasn't driven (in terms of miles amd conditions) nowhere near to what might result in a fatality with human drivers. Even then, in an incident they've not initiated, they've unnecessariliy made an existing bad situation far far worse. >…
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#118Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles (i.e. we have no idea how safe Cruise would be if there were no human drivers on the road) That's not even close to a fair comparison. We just have to admit that there isn't a fair comparison yet and everyone's just got an axe to grind.
> I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles Because it's not that everyone ignores road fatalities, it's just that cruise hasn't driven (in terms of miles amd conditions) nowhere near to what might result in a fatality with human drivers. Even then, in an incident they've not initiated, they've unnecessariliy made an existing bad situation far far worse. >…
Just FYI, it made this terrible decision because people were mad at cruise for stopping in the middle of the road to decide if it was safe to proceed. They were asked to change that behavior and pull over and they did, this time just dragging a human along.
So yes let’s set these absurdly high standards, while we leave children to fend for themselves against human drivers that have met non-existent standards on a continual basis.
But then let’s actually leave the autonomous cars on the road to test if they’re actually meeting them.
As you agreed, some statistic they figure out in a sterile or simulation environment doesn’t actually matter. Let’s put them back on the road..
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#119Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I'm not sure why you're comparing fatality miles vs no-fatality-accident-that-cruise-didn't-cause miles Because it's not that everyone ignores road fatalities, it's just that cruise hasn't driven (in terms of miles amd conditions) nowhere near to what might result in a fatality with human drivers. Even then, in an incident they've not initiated, they've unnecessariliy made an existing bad situation far far worse. >…
“ They should not only not cause incidents, they should also not make existing incidents far worse because of terrible decisions.” Just FYI, it made this terrible decision because people were mad at cruise for stopping in the middle of the road to decide if it was safe to proceed. They were asked to change that behavior and pull over and they did, this time just dragging a human along. So yes let’s set these absurdly…
Driving is infinitely complex. It's becoming increasingly clear that the current approach to AVs not up to the challenge.
Re: GM's Cruise alleged to rely on human operators to achieve "autonomous" driving
#120Earlier quoted context omitted.
> performative charade How is it performative? Is it not sad that a 4-year-old girl in a stroller got killed by a car? That it barely made the news? Or is that just not sad and is normal these days?
Lots of sad things happen. Why is a sophisticated public communicator taking the time to tell this very self-serving story, tear up about it, etc.? It's not incidental; he prepared it. Spare me your trolling.