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The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

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Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#111
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, you're right. However, the trend during the last months is very clear.

From January though February (the last month with complete data) the trend was up.

It you really want to model this correctly (more than just, it looks like it's going down) you would need to adjust for seasonal factors as well. At least in this data it looks like February postings are always higher than January, but this year they are not as much higher as they normally would be.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#113

We have an expected attrition rate at my company across all departments. We normally lose about 10 people per quarter. This quarter the number of people leaving - zero.

Any change in salary?

We have already announced there will be no bonuses for 12 months. However we are quite obviously not going to go out of business, and people have higher-end salaries, so I think people just want to stay where it's safe.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> everyone is exorbitantly indebted to everyone Nobody goes there any more, it’s too crowded? > At some point, someone has to put some reality back into the simulacrum because simulacrum does not feed your family Aren’t poverty, famine, and food scarcity at record lows?

>Aren’t poverty, famine, and food scarcity at record lows? They were temporarily alleviated thanks to technological advances.

Can you suggest reading to learn more about this viewpoint?

To me, the technological advances seem to be a product of the economic system. As long as the economic system can be sustained, then it is likely that human welfare will continue to improve.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#115

I wish the data would go a bit further back. Pretty sure 200-300 job posts was normal around 2017-2018, with the industry doing just fine. The 1000 jobs per post in 2021 were an abnormality.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34999048

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#116
Why does the data starts in 2021? Comparing with the situation before the pandemic is essential to make any conclusion...

EDIT: The second link provides more insights: https://rinzewind.org/blog-en/2021/percentage-of-hacker-news...

Most likely, there is just nothing to see, we are still in the process of being back to normal from the pandemic bubble.

This chart paints a very dishonest picture.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#118
post #76

I wonder if it correlates with a /general/ loss of traffic. Personally I find the comments section to be less accepting of more classes of opinions each year.

The number of comments per month continues to grow linearly, while the number of stories remains roughly constant for several years: https://sql.clickhouse.com/play?user=play#U0VMRUNUIHRvU3Rhcn...

Thanks for sharing this! Grouping by year, it looks like stories peaked in 2020 but comments continued to grow.

I am curious if the growth in comment count could be correlated with factors like more downvoted/hidden comments, more new comment-only reddit style users, more back and forth argument comments etc. or if it is genuinely healthy community growth.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#119
post #95
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think political statements like yours should be banned from HN. This is not what this site is about.

What is political about "categorically reject"?

Categorical rejection is an ideological overessentialization which seeks to create an other to function as a target of not only division and ridicule but to function normatively to buttress an existing predominant neoliberal self-narrative.

Re: The tech downturn seen through Hacker News comments

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Aren’t poverty, famine, and food scarcity at record lows? They were temporarily alleviated thanks to technological advances.

Can you suggest reading to learn more about this viewpoint? To me, the technological advances seem to be a product of the economic system. As long as the economic system can be sustained, then it is likely that human welfare will continue to improve.

It's no question that certain people having exorbitant amounts of wealth allows them to perform technological feats that would not be otherwise possible, but this does not mean it is otherwise sustainable as a system. Increasing debt can provide a short-term boost to industry, but long term there is no way to stop the financial sector from 'eating' the whole economy.

I would recommend picking up First Principles of Islamic Economics by Al-Mawdudi.

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