I'm pretty disappointed in the discussion that has gone here. There's been so much argument over things that don't matter much in the end, like whether or not optional semicolons and parenthesis are a good thing. These things are so superficial! It makes me believe that few people appreciate what actually makes a language good or bad. The fact that Xtend can be easily translated to Java source code is a big sign that…
I do not believe that there is any evidence for this statement.
Translating ARM assembly language into opcodes is orders of magnitudes easier than translating Xtend into Java, yet I would argue that even that had a dramatic impact on my productivity back when I was doing such things. If Xtend introduces proper closures just that right there will improve productivity.
However, if I were to accept your premise that easy translation implies little value added, then I would have to point out how wonderful it is that we live in a time where we regard writing a parser for a language like Xtend and the requisite bits of goo to spit out java is considered "easy".