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I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

jackogrady.me

111–120 of 143 posts

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#111
post #52

If you know the lat/lon of the panel (they don’t move right?) and the current clock time, just point it at the current Sun position if it’s daytime? Wouldn’t that be as optimal as possible?

The article states that it works for suboptimal situations with shade and reflections and whatnot.

Which is cool and all, but it's not like you don't know the exact environment before you install solar panels...

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#113
post #86

I used to be like OP. (have a similar background and have similar interests in tech for the planet) Then I realised couple of things, an humbling experience: 1) given any position on earth, you can compute exactly what's the optimal inclination at any given point in time for a PV to maximize the energy production. Sure, there are reflection and secondary irradiation conditions (eg.: there is a lake close to it), but…

On a large scale motorized sun tracking photovoltaics is very costly. The systems that can take the wind loading of six 1.65 x 1.00 meter size 60-cell panels on a pole cost more than the panels. Needs like a 6" OD sch80 pipe set into a concrete foundation. Commodity fixed angle ground mount photovoltaics arrays are low cost. If you do the dollar and kWh produced in year calculation for spending $40,000 on fixed mount…

Heliostat installations used to be common when panels were so expensive that spacing them out wide enough to keep them from shadowing each other when angled for dusk/dawn made sense. Now heliostats are only done in exceptional situations, for example I've seen some that didn't seem to be particularly old on rugged terrain were the quantity approach would be costly as well and easy foundation opportunities are sufficiently far from each other to prevent peer shadowing anyways.

But I do wonder if heliostats might see quite a revival in agrovoltaics: there, you want a certain distance between panels anyways, and perhaps the plants won't mind if you steal a little more light off-noon in exchange for less shadowing at noon. Electricity supply/demand would certainly applaud this bias, in a market with lots of photovoltaics a Wh at noon is certainly worth less than those closer the the periphery of the daily sun cycle.

And if you do agrovoltaics right, the structure will be expensive anyways (making the markup for heliostat insignificant) because imho it's still just an unfinished prototype if the structures for holding the panels aren't designed to double as an overhead rail system for farming powertools that could become a considerable efficiency gain over the century-old game of tractor vs mud.

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#114
post #86

I used to be like OP. (have a similar background and have similar interests in tech for the planet) Then I realised couple of things, an humbling experience: 1) given any position on earth, you can compute exactly what's the optimal inclination at any given point in time for a PV to maximize the energy production. Sure, there are reflection and secondary irradiation conditions (eg.: there is a lake close to it), but…

I went on a solar power course at the Centre for Alternative Technology in Wales (~10 years ago, so perhaps this into may be somewhat out of date) and they'd calculated that the extra energy generated by moving a panel to the optimal direction during the day was less than the energy it took to move the panel, let along the extra costs of the mechanics. Bear in mind that in Wales there's plenty of cloudy weather durin…

Can you make a purely mechanical solution to the tracking problem, at least along a single axis? If you put a water container on the left and the right side of the solar panels, the one in the sun will get hotter, expand, and that can move the solar panel. It's moving parts and extra cost, but no energy consumption.

I'm no engineer, so I can't determine whether it would work, but on the surface it looks like it should?

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#115
post #108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On a large scale motorized sun tracking photovoltaics is very costly. The systems that can take the wind loading of six 1.65 x 1.00 meter size 60-cell panels on a pole cost more than the panels. Needs like a 6" OD sch80 pipe set into a concrete foundation. Commodity fixed angle ground mount photovoltaics arrays are low cost. If you do the dollar and kWh produced in year calculation for spending $40,000 on fixed mount…

Gotta admire the effortless mix up of metric and imperial units.

the US is a metric country that's in denial

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#116
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On a large scale motorized sun tracking photovoltaics is very costly. The systems that can take the wind loading of six 1.65 x 1.00 meter size 60-cell panels on a pole cost more than the panels. Needs like a 6" OD sch80 pipe set into a concrete foundation. Commodity fixed angle ground mount photovoltaics arrays are low cost. If you do the dollar and kWh produced in year calculation for spending $40,000 on fixed mount…

Yeah, exactly. Tracking photovoltaics used to be worth it back when photovoltaics were $5 per watt. The price has dropped so much that even for fixed angle ground mounts, the mounting frames and labour to install them costs far more than the panels themselves. Sun-tracking is just not economical compared with cheap static panels. (I spent quite a lot of time on an idea for rooftop solar thermal power and was trying t…

Thermal for heating/hot shower or thermal for some adventure in driving a generator?

For heating, photovoltaics supplying a heat pump is starting to give direct thermal a run for the money (well, not actually for the money yet, direct thermal is still cheaper, but at least in terms of how much you could harvest from a given roof area)

If money isn't an objection at all, e.g. if you strive for that sense of achievement of a good setup, there are hybrid modules that pick up the 20% or so photovoltaics achieves and still funnel the remaining energy into heating a liquid medium.

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#117
post #116
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, exactly. Tracking photovoltaics used to be worth it back when photovoltaics were $5 per watt. The price has dropped so much that even for fixed angle ground mounts, the mounting frames and labour to install them costs far more than the panels themselves. Sun-tracking is just not economical compared with cheap static panels. (I spent quite a lot of time on an idea for rooftop solar thermal power and was trying t…

Thermal for heating/hot shower or thermal for some adventure in driving a generator? For heating, photovoltaics supplying a heat pump is starting to give direct thermal a run for the money (well, not actually for the money yet, direct thermal is still cheaper, but at least in terms of how much you could harvest from a given roof area) If money isn't an objection at all, e.g. if you strive for that sense of achievemen…

This idea was a flat "panel" of parabolic reflectors focused on heat exchanger tubes, driving a heat engine. The new bit was that the heat engine was going to be open loop (basically Brayton cycle with the compression stroke pushing air into the heat exchanger and expansion stroke driven by heated air from the exchanger) so its power density would have been much higher and cost lower than the usual Stirling cycle engines which cost a ridiculous amount for what they are.

I had all the thermodynamics worked out and it would have been something like 5x as cost effective as photovoltaic. Then the cost of photovoltaic panels dropped 10x in a year. C'est la vie, at least my roof is covered in PV now. I've thought of running some tubing under the panels to pre-heat water for our solar hot water system but these days it's scarcely worth the bother (at least where I live which is pretty much perfect for solar power.)

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#118
Optimisation has moved beyond the individual panel onto things like vertical bifacial panels in West/east orientation aiming to complement the fixed south facing output of other panels (and so get paid/avoid higher costs) or roof tile integrated to skip an install step and reduce transmission peaks.

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#119
post #86

I used to be like OP. (have a similar background and have similar interests in tech for the planet) Then I realised couple of things, an humbling experience: 1) given any position on earth, you can compute exactly what's the optimal inclination at any given point in time for a PV to maximize the energy production. Sure, there are reflection and secondary irradiation conditions (eg.: there is a lake close to it), but…

The new long life high quality solar panels have 40 year warrantees. I doubt you could get a 40 year warrantee on a solar panel with moving parts.

Re: I built an open-source, AI-powered solar panel that's 95% optimal

#120
post #108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On a large scale motorized sun tracking photovoltaics is very costly. The systems that can take the wind loading of six 1.65 x 1.00 meter size 60-cell panels on a pole cost more than the panels. Needs like a 6" OD sch80 pipe set into a concrete foundation. Commodity fixed angle ground mount photovoltaics arrays are low cost. If you do the dollar and kWh produced in year calculation for spending $40,000 on fixed mount…

Gotta admire the effortless mix up of metric and imperial units.

1885 - invention of process for seamless steel pipes from bar stock, Development History of Seamless Steel Pipe, https://www.supplychainquarterly.com/articles/3787-the-devel...

1954 - first practical silicon solar cell, Timeline of Solar Cells, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_solar_cells

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