It’s time to admit quantum theory has reached a dead end

However, whenever I read the comments on any subject I happen to know something about, like physics, they are always completely nonsense from people who clearly have absolutely not even the smallest amount of experience in the area they are talking about. The worst part is, all these comments sound extremely authoritative, if I didn't know any better I would have believed they were experts.

This makes me very worried about the Gell-Mann Amnesia affect. I'm very worried that all the comments I've been reading on here about tech and computer topics are also just from larpers who are pretending to be experts but actually don't know anything.

Hawking espoused this idea he called “model dependent realism”. The idea is that every human understanding of reality is model-dependent, that is, it is not “reality” that we truly understand (we can’t) but rather in every case we have some model of reality that is useful in particular situations. For instance, we know that Newtonian physics are not “real” but they are perfectly accurate in certain situations. So they are not “wrong” when they are used in those situations, in fact, they are right.

The author of the article writes, “While Einstein won a Nobel Prize for proving that light is composed of particles that we call photons, Schrödinger’s equation characterizes light and indeed everything else as wave-like radiation. Can light and matter be both particle and wave? Or neither? We don’t know.”

In model dependent realism, we can ignore this apparent contradiction. In some situations the model of light as a particle is the most useful, and in others, the model where it is a wave is the most useful. We have to accept that it is not “really” either of these models, but that no matter what we do, any model we come up with for it will still just be a model.

Imagine, if you will, benchmarking some unknown CPU, and determining that the fused multiply-add operation takes, idk, 17 times as long to execute as an increment operation. We might postulate that there other CPUs out there where it takes a different amount of time — arbitrary amounts of time! Alternatively, we might gain knowledge of the underlying CPU architecture and understand that fused multiply-add is implemented with a certain set of transistors, and that it's fundamentally more complex, though there's room for some variability based on the specific implementation. In such a world this "free parameter" is set as it is for a very specific reason: a transistor arrangement.

We have limited visibility into what's actually happening "underneath" our laws of physics. Some of the values we see could be truly arbitrary. Some of them might actually be controlled by some other field and change over time (though we haven't seen evidence of that so it seems less likely). Some of them could be a deeper artifact of the way the universe works.

If you look at things like string theory, which do try to describe in more detail and dial down the free parameters to just one ("length of the fundamental string" more or less) we are left with something that's frustratingly nonspecific until you locate a more-specific solution within the broader string-theory solution space and call it "the laws of physics." That specific location might indeed seem quite arbitrary; the question might then become, what relation does this hundreds-of-dimensional solution space have with our concepts of physical reality? And can other areas of that landscape be probed in any way meaningful to our experience of physics?