Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's a lot of words to say that you could sufficiently mangle an image that it could pass through all of Apple's algorithmic hurdles while not actually being CSAM. Of that I have no doubt. You could definitely generate a mangled image that fools multiple perceptual hash algorithms. Let's set aside the questions of where you got all these hashes to generate collisions with, how you got 30 of these mangled images int…
I think you missed the point of the first paragraph. The point is that you can now hide child porn by making its hash collide with innocent images. They won't ever make it to manual review. Ergo, NeuralHash is now useless.
1. Identify some innocuous pictures that many many people have (memes, Beyoncé, whatever).
2. Produce CSAM.
3. Mangle it such that it is still CSAM visually, but NeuralHash-collides with the innocuous pictures from step 1.
4. Distribute.
5. Wait until they are (via some other mechanism) a) identified as CSAM, b) added to the NCMEC database, c) added to the Apple on-device database of blinded hashes in some iOS update.
6. Millions of people are suddenly incorrectly flagged for exceeding the threshold by NeuralHash (since they have the innocuous pictures in their library), and the review teams are flooded and can't pick out the small number of actual CSAM holders.
That is not without a certain elegance. However, it seems to me that
A) it is predicated on the assumption that you can easily mangle pictures to NeuralHash-collide with a desired target picture (out of a set of widely circulating innocuous pictures) without deteriorating the visual content too much.
B) it would be quickly defeated by amending the 2nd tier algorithm (between NeuralHash and human review), though, as you highlight, that might be tricky given that the team working on this presumably only has access to the innocuous false positive collision image, not the (purposefully mangled) CSAM.