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Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

oreilly.com

111–120 of 302 posts

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#111

There is no place like Silicon Valley where taking a career risk to quit a job and start a company is normalized, understood, and encouraged.

he says that the question is what kind of company one will build

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#112
post #100

This overlooks the cybercrime crisis, which in 2020 did ~4x more financial damage than weather & climate disasters. And it's expected to get much worse this year. https://twitter.com/mnmnotmail/status/1372201054213787660 Silicon Valley probably has a role to play in suppressing cybercrime. References: Cybercrime, $945B: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/12/07/cybersecu... Climate, $258B: https://yaleclimat…

That seems astonishing and hard to believe; the WaPo is paywalled, where are they getting that number from? Is it by any chance an organization trying to sell cybercrime solutions? SV has probably had just as much a role in enabling cybercrime as fighting it.

> The projection of $945 billion in losses, from a new report out today[0] from the Center for Strategic and International Studies and computer security company McAfee, is almost double the monetary loss from cybercrime than the $500 billion in 2018.

McAfee's report "The Hidden Costs of Cybercrime"[0] seems to be the source.

[0] https://www.mcafee.com/enterprise/en-us/assets/reports/rp-hi...

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#113
post #100

This overlooks the cybercrime crisis, which in 2020 did ~4x more financial damage than weather & climate disasters. And it's expected to get much worse this year. https://twitter.com/mnmnotmail/status/1372201054213787660 Silicon Valley probably has a role to play in suppressing cybercrime. References: Cybercrime, $945B: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/12/07/cybersecu... Climate, $258B: https://yaleclimat…

That seems astonishing and hard to believe; the WaPo is paywalled, where are they getting that number from? Is it by any chance an organization trying to sell cybercrime solutions? SV has probably had just as much a role in enabling cybercrime as fighting it.

I can read the WaPo article in a private/incognito browser window.

The IETF in particular has had a huge role in facilitating phishing via SMTP.

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#114

This overlooks the cybercrime crisis, which in 2020 did ~4x more financial damage than weather & climate disasters. And it's expected to get much worse this year. https://twitter.com/mnmnotmail/status/1372201054213787660 Silicon Valley probably has a role to play in suppressing cybercrime. References: Cybercrime, $945B: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/12/07/cybersecu... Climate, $258B: https://yaleclimat…

Comparing these two numbers doesn't make sense, because:

1) Cybercrime activity has an immediate impact, whereas the impact of climate-changing activity will be felt for many years, and

2) The impact of climate-changing activity results in actual destruction of value, whereas cybercrime results in only the transfer of value (from the victims to the perpetrators).

Of course, the threat of cybercrime results in other value-destroying activity, like the effort spent on cybersecurity ($200B/year according to Statista).

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#115
post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hi! Maybe you'd like to address the blatant abuse of the flagging system on this website? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26402532

You'd need to come up with better examples than nationalistic flamewar comments like that one and its parent, both of which were correctly flagged by users. The only problem I see with flags in that hellish thread is that there weren't enough of them. Would you mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html ? Between that case and this one, it seems like it would be good to calibrate your sense of wh…

I presented a coherent argument against an Antisemitic comment which you admit has no place here. At the time I posted my response, the Antisemitic comment was not flagged, in fact it was highly upvoted and visible.

My own comment got abusively flagged by the same brigade which upvoted the Antisemitic comment I was pointing out. And you are justifying this.

Now I made this comment, which is entirely innocent. Is there a rule against refuting the claim that Musk's career is in some sort of terminal decline? Are we only allowed to state that it is, like OP has done?

My innocent comment, the first one I made since that last discussion, gets an uncalled-for response by a mod. Seems I'm either being flag-abused again by the same brigade, or it's just your dislike for opposition to Antiemitic comments. Opposition which you condemn as "nationalistic".

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#116
post #24

Overall this is a really good piece. O'Reilly is wrong that the world was unprepared. South east Asia was prepared and handled it Amazingly. It's not just communist governments that did well, New Zealand and Australia did well too. However, the western world was unprepared and despite being rich, failed it's people... Especially the USA and UK. O'Reilly is right that we need to switch gears and solve climate change i…

Oceania's willingness to be bold may be a good omen for their future

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#117

Im so tired of random writers, even if it's O'Reilly himself, trying to predict that Silicon Valley is doomed. That's like saying Hollywood is doomed, or Wall Street is doomed. I've been around long enough to know that nothing will unseat Silicon Valley as the tech capital of the world. Silicon Valley has the critical mass of talent, VC money and greed that can't be replicated anywhere else in the world. There's a re…

> There's a reason why we have never seen a world leading tech company come out from anywhere except the US.

Young people might not remember but 10+ years ago, Nokia used to be the market leader in mobile phones.

https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Global-mobile-phone-mark...

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#118
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There's a reason why we have never seen a world leading tech company come out from anywhere except the US. A few examples: Nokia (the sleeping giant will awaken again :)) Nordic Semiconductor The Qt Company Unity Technologies I might be influenced by living in Scandinavia. :)

Wasn’t Opera, Nokia, and QT all within the same building too in Oslo? Maybe something’s in the water

Not Nokia, but yes I used to work for opera and trolltech was just a floor above us. We did a lot of work for Nokia device so maybe that’s what you were thinking of.

Nokia itself was a giant corporation with multiple buildings around Finland.

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#119

This overlooks the cybercrime crisis, which in 2020 did ~4x more financial damage than weather & climate disasters. And it's expected to get much worse this year. https://twitter.com/mnmnotmail/status/1372201054213787660 Silicon Valley probably has a role to play in suppressing cybercrime. References: Cybercrime, $945B: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/12/07/cybersecu... Climate, $258B: https://yaleclimat…

The difference is that cybercrime is self-solving: when companies start losing enough to really impact their bottom line, they'll finally have incentive to invest more in proper cybersecurity. Whereas with climate, any thing a single company or individual does has absolutely minimal impact on reducing their risks unless everyone else does it too. Most cybercrime isn't a result of really really clever cybercriminals,…

Cybercrime vs cybersecurity is an arms race, and arms race scenarios are not necessarily resolvable.

Re: Other challenges to SV’s preeminence are more fundamental than the tech diaspora

#120
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yet with the high rents and the lack of universal healthcare it takes a crazy person to take such a risk. I personally will start my startup from abroad when the time is right.

Yes, it’s still risky. But at least you’re still understood because of the pervasive startup culture in SV. Everyone in SV can relate to startups. I think what’s tough outside of SV is that people don’t relate to startups. People might think you’re just weird.

Who cares if your investors are from sv but you’re based elsewhere?
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