Live data from Hacker News

Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

blog.ledwards.com

111–119 of 119 posts

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#111
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If by "partially" you mean "entirely" I agree.

That is like saying, people who self-select to go to the physics department go there only to be with other physics students are and that it, "doesn't have anything to do with the teachers, [or] the curriculum." What is more likely, is the school does an excellent job affording students the opportunity found successful, venture-backed companies. Similar to the way the Physics professors and curriculum afford physicist…

no, it's called respecting the null hypothesis when making outrageous claims.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#112
If Olin's small numbers are skewed by a few founder types moreso than the large numbers of Stanford, and you wanted to be a founder type, wouldn't you stand a chance of learning more from your peers by going to Olin?

I don't see why people are arguing that selectivity and small size invalidate the better quality of Olin's education. I learned as much from my peers as from my teachers, not to mention the motivation of peer competition.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#113
Hey I'm Lee, the author of this article. I think there are a lot of fair callouts about controlling for major, sample size, selection bias, and others, so I collected my response to those concerns here: https://blog.ledwards.com/methods-for-determining-startup-de... and linked to this follow-up article at the top of the original. Really appreciate the comments and feedback, and happy to hear more.

I'm sure this won't satisfy everyone, but I wanted to do this analysis now instead of in 40 years, so I had to work with the data I do have. I think this is enough to show at least directionally that Olin is doing a reasonably good job at producing startup founders, though as I raise myself at the end of this article, we won't know for sure until we have some exits and long-term value creation in the future.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#114
I know someone attending Olin. She will graduate with $300,000 in student loans and a degree good for a median salary of $85K. In my mind this is financial slavery.

A small percentage of a small percentage of graduates might succeed in business. This does not mean they will be wealthy. Some? Maybe. All? Not likely. Which means most will face a lifetime of paying on outrageous student debt that might prevent them from such things as buying a home and saving for retirement. Thirty years of financial slavery isn't a good way to go through life.

I simply can't reconcile this reality with the article.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#115
Some things to consider from this article.

1. Olin gives free tuition or reduced tuition leading to almost no debt. There is probably a positive correlation with not having school debt and starting companies.

2. Olin has a very small population size. The best and the worst cases can always be found in small sample sizes.

3. Schools such as Stanford, Berkeley, MIT, etc. have a wide range of students with wide range of interests. Most people do not go to these schools with the sole purpose of being an entrepreneur. There are many people that become doctors, writers, researchers, etc. and benefit society in other ways. Measuring just one narrow dimension may be understating contribution in other places.

4. Olin seems like a great place. It's small enough and independent enough to take chances in how it educates its students. Most older and more prestigious are more conservative in their teaching methods. Since Olin is fully endowed by one person with an open vision, they are able to do things that other institutions cannot.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#116

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Olin alum here (and one of the listed founders). The bigger impact of the small graduating class size in this case, rather than extreme statistical outcomes is powerful network effects. You're more likely to think something a large percentage of your cohort (and people you closely know personally) goes and does is cool, doable and worthwhile. A chunk of your peers at Olin will go found meaningful companies (startups…

If you don't mind, can I ask a question about Olin? It looks like it's full of cool kids that make stuff and go on to make more stuff. My guess is that they only accept kids with a track record of making stuff, like the kids that are in the robotics club. I've got a sharp kid who I would like to turn into a maker kid but he's currently not that kid. He's a math guy, wants to try and get a PhD in math. I'd be happier…

Absolutely apply. We have a bunch of people that don't really care about physical stuff at all, and would rather just think about the problems.

That said, the classes aren't going to all be about math and only math, a lot of classes have physical projects. But the projects are tightly integrated with theory. I learned multivariable calculus by modeling a boat with some curves, and then building the boat out of foam to see if the calculated angle at which it tips was the same as reality.

If you kid can get excited about project-based learning, Olin is an awesome option.

I'd be happy to talk to you more if you have more questions.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#117

I know someone attending Olin. She will graduate with $300,000 in student loans and a degree good for a median salary of $85K. In my mind this is financial slavery. A small percentage of a small percentage of graduates might succeed in business. This does not mean they will be wealthy. Some? Maybe. All? Not likely. Which means most will face a lifetime of paying on outrageous student debt that might prevent them from…

Perhaps this is a different Olin school? (There are a number of universities with Olin schools or colleges on them.) The current cost of attending Olin before factoring in the half-tuition scholarship is $71,825 (see http://www.olin.edu/admission/costs/cost-of-attendance/). After including the half-tuition scholarship, which all students receive, costs drop to $47,525 per year. I'm not sure where an extra $100K in student loans would be coming from. Additionally, Olin provides need-based aid for those who qualify.

Re: Olin College Produces Founders at Five Times the Rate of Stanford

#118
post #117

I know someone attending Olin. She will graduate with $300,000 in student loans and a degree good for a median salary of $85K. In my mind this is financial slavery. A small percentage of a small percentage of graduates might succeed in business. This does not mean they will be wealthy. Some? Maybe. All? Not likely. Which means most will face a lifetime of paying on outrageous student debt that might prevent them from…

Perhaps this is a different Olin school? (There are a number of universities with Olin schools or colleges on them.) The current cost of attending Olin before factoring in the half-tuition scholarship is $71,825 (see http://www.olin.edu/admission/costs/cost-of-attendance/ ). After including the half-tuition scholarship, which all students receive, costs drop to $47,525 per year. I'm not sure where an extra $100K in s…

$50K for six years = You walk away with a $300K Masters which entitles you to a median salary of somewhere around $80K a year. Even if you go for a Bachelors (a mistake if you ask me) you'd walk away with $200K in debt, which is just as insane given the lower earning potential.

Payments are approximately as follows:

Pay it off in 20 years: $2,100 per month

Pay it off in 30 years: $1,800 per month

This means you'll pay somewhere around $504K to $648K.

If your gross pay is $100K per year that means that, in very rough terms, in California, your effective take-home pay is about $64K per year or $5,333 per month.

Out of that you need to take $2,000 every month for 20 to 30 years and pay your student loan.

That leaves you with $3,333/mo to live.

Median rent for a one bedroom apartment in Los Angeles is $2,000/mo.

You are down to $1,333.

It is nearly impossible to live without a car in a place like Los Angeles. Buy a crappy car and pay for car, gas and insurance. That will easily set you back $500 a month.

Now we are down to $833.

Food, say, about $400 a month.

Down to $433.

Utilities, well, let's say $250/mo to be kind.

Down to $183.

I am not accounting for buying clothes, toilet paper, toothpaste, furniture an occasional outing, etc.

Forget travel. Forget investing. Forget saving.

If you need health insurance you are screwed.

And that, right there, is a formula for financial slavery and pain for decades.

It also means you will almost never buy a house (in CA) unless you get married and your spouse does not come in with massive student loan debt like you. You might want to eliminate all your social interactions at Olin or risk marrying someone with $200K to $300K in debt, just like you.

Not zeroing in on Olin here. We have lots of universities that cost in the range of $40K to $60K a year. In Olin's case the article says that about 3% of the roughly 75 graduates every year become entrepreneurs (not necessarily successful). This means that fully 72 graduates do not. And they get out of there with what can only be described as massive unmanageable debt.

Certain degree programs, such as Mechanical Engineering, simply don't have high earning potential. Someone graduating with $300K in debt and one of these degrees in hand is starting life with a formula for suffering. There are plenty of reasonably priced schools that could cut the cost of these degrees in half and even less.

From my perspective, going to a place like Olin is a terrible mistake. It does not guarantee financial success. The only thing it guarantees is financial hardship. It's an example of how demented things have become due to just how easy it is to get student loans.

Post reply on HN