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Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

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Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#111
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most people don't want 'on demand' employment, they want stability. Because of outsourcing and automation, the economy doesn't need as many workers anymore. Uber's business model is entirely dependent on this phenomenon. Do you see this phenomenon going away anytime soon? My grandparents' generation worked at a single company for life. My parents switched companies maybe 3 times in their careers. I have worked for 9…

> Do you see this phenomenon going away anytime soon? The economic paradigm has to change. I think something will shift, eventually. Searching for 'john gatto livelihood' just now brought up this link: http://www.wtp.org/archive/transcripts/john_taylor_gatto.htm... - John Taylor Gatto (1991 New York State Teacher of the Year) Interview By Jerry Brown, March 25, 1997 It's probably worth reading the whole thing, but if…

And their grandparents were probably much more independent.

My grandparents' grandparents were slaves. On my dad's side in North Carolina, on my mom's side in the Caribbean. Not too much independence there.

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the same thing for practical purposes if it achieves the same aim.

Except that your execs are one pissed off DA away from defending RICO charges. Companies undervalue low-probability, high-risk events like that.

its not rico... https://www.popehat.com/2016/06/14/lawsplainer-its-not-rico-...

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#113
post #97
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The articles I have read have made it sound like a Catch-22. They cannot profit while they have to pay drivers, but self-driving cars will enable competition from both software companies and automakers, especially if an automaker reduces the need for capital by renting out self-driving cars. It's unclear how Uber will not be further commoditized by self-driving cars.

By beating people to market with self driving cars. That's the reason Uber is pushing it.

Is there any evidence that Uber is even on par with the self-driving technology of Google, Cruise, or Tesla?

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#114
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Relatedly, I booked an Uber last night from within the Google Maps app on my phone, and the entire experience was in-app -- route selection, driver pick-up tracking, in-ride tracking, and drop-off confirmation. That's a whole lot tighter integration than I've seen in the past. The rumor-monger in me wants to read all sorts of acquisition talks into that level of product integration. (Which is great for another reason…

You can book Lyft as well - both are pretty solid experiences.

No? That just links out to the Lyft app. Booking an Uber in Google Maps no longer leaves the app at all.

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Uber is footing an addiction to cheap transport nobody knows how to satiate. Just ride a bike. Not an option in the burbs, for sure, but taking an uber is not an efficiency gain the way public transit or bicycles are. IMHO low density communities will die. They cannot be saved.

Public transit isn't an option in the country. Neither is biking: you can't bike your father to the er when his hip breaks. Uber is, and it's displacing sustainable transit. What happens when they try to justify it? They're basing their world view on efficient economies, but they're getting there with a subsidized economy. The way this ends is either with a) starving drivers or b) unaffordable transport for those bel…

>The way this ends is either with a) starving drivers or b) unaffordable transport for those below average income.

It ends with Uber running out of money. Higher interest rates would end Uber very quickly, unless it has some very wealthy patróns that aren't actually interested in making money.

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#116

I'd like to see Uber get into mapping. Besides Uber's core business that everyone focuses on, they've got a self-driving cars program that's halfway off the ground and they do food deliver through UberEATS. In either case, they've got a vested interest in making sure high-quality mapping data is available—higher quality than what Google provides. Given their deals with tons of local businesses through UberEATS, they'…

They already hired quite a few people that ran specific projects such as MapMaker and Street View or even all of Geo (Brian McClendon).

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#117
post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"they've got a self-driving cars program that's halfway off the ground" In the sense that a working model airplane gives me a space program that's halfway off the ground. And why would they improve OSM at all? Actually collecting and cleaning mapping data is not cheap. There's no incentive in contributing to OSM, it doesn't build a moat, it doesn't further their access to markets,...

> And why would they improve OSM at all? It's in their business interests to make sure their fleet and their delivery drivers have accurate mapping info. Is there something unclear about the way I worded this in the comment you responded to?

There obviously is something unclear, yes. Having accurate mapping info and improving OSM are two separate things. I asked about the latter. If that data were actually crucial to Uber's business, what possible rationale could they have to share it for free?

But while we're on mapping data - I don't think "higher quality" data is in any way crucial to their business. (Owning the data so there's no dependency on third parties is another question). Uber's routing is accurate enough to work reliably.[1] What does higher quality buy them?

From where I stand, you're proposing that a company that's already bleeding money like it's going out of style should spend a ton of money, on building technology they have little experience with, to collect data that is of dubious value to them, to then give it away freely.

I get that you'd like OSM improved, but I really don't think Uber will be the one to do it.

[1] Based on purely anecdotal reports from my friends and my own experiences, the usual case for misrouting is Uber drivers not paying attention to the map, or thinking they know better than the map.

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think there are real economies of scale in ride service. Once you have enough customers your cars are better utilised and your costs are lower, this means that while Uber's cap table may be all fucked up by the time it happens, it will lose less money competing on price than new entrants. Depending on how large these economies of scale are, even the fact that a new entrants would be doing less volume (and therefore…

This analysis strongly suggests that there isn't economies of scale in ride service: http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2016/11/can-uber-ever-deliver...

I agree that there are no economies of scale that cause one operator to have an advantage expanding to other cities.

However, in a given city, I would expect there to be economies of scale as you optimize your cars better and decrease the amount of time they have no passengers. It's most clear to me in the case of UberPOOL where the more passengers you have in total, the more likely two of them will be going in the same direction. We may not have reached a cheap enough price point yet to hit these economies.

Depending on how much you trust anything Uber says, they say they are profitable in SF, and some other US metros, which the article you linked ignores.

I think people are right to be a little skeptical, given how loose Uber is with the truth, but I see a possibility for them to succeed and smart people keep giving them good money so I want to give them the benefit of the doubt on the issue of actually making money eventually.

Re: Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Except that your execs are one pissed off DA away from defending RICO charges. Companies undervalue low-probability, high-risk events like that.

its not rico... https://www.popehat.com/2016/06/14/lawsplainer-its-not-rico-...

My point was exactly that Uber can be construed as a criminal organization and their executives as the leaders of a large, international criminal organization who knowingly pay people to commit crimes on their behalf (that the bosses then profit from) and that their organization's primary business is the commission of such crimes.

Is it still not RICO?

Edit: Im pretty sure they could get money laundering related charges to stick well enough to charge (and settle or bring to trial, rather than dismissed), based on banking with money they know was earned in violation of various state and city laws. Money laundering law is bad (and so is RICO), and often can be applied in counter-intuitive ways by aggressive DAs.

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