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The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

maximise.dk

101–110 of 252 posts

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We have: - Stocks - Derivatives of stocks - Natural resources (oil/gold) - Derivatives of natural resources - Bonds - State bonds - Real estate - Land (without a building) - Undervalued company that owns all your stuff and you own the company (put that one in there, since it's a usual and practical way of owning real estate and more) No, let me think. Let's just stick with people pensions. So much better.

My understanding is that securities (stocks, bonds, derivatives) are under your name so you maintain ownership of the securities even if the ibank that acted as your broker goes down. (This is why money management companies maintain separate accounts for each of their clients rather than have an aggregate pool) So the Cypress banks going bankrupt wouldn't have affected these securities. The deposits on the other hand…

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Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#102
post #71
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Please, you are not helping anybody. Nobody has ever paid back a loan with a bigger loan. It's just an excuse to take your money too and blame someone else for doing so.

So what do you propose? We sit back and do nothing?

They could have made the bank bond holders (rich foreign banks) take losses without affecting the normal depositors.

How can you think getting a bigger loan to pay current loan is a good strategy. It will work only if the economy improves. If the economy tanks, it is not going to work. It is only going to increase the losses for the lenders ultimately.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#103
post #102
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So what do you propose? We sit back and do nothing?

They could have made the bank bond holders (rich foreign banks) take losses without affecting the normal depositors. How can you think getting a bigger loan to pay current loan is a good strategy. It will work only if the economy improves. If the economy tanks, it is not going to work. It is only going to increase the losses for the lenders ultimately.

the lenders are - ultimately - the depositors.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#104
post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

sure because bitcoin value never went down overnight. Not even 10% like the cypriot savings. Oh wait, never mind. It went down 30% in a single day: http://www.dailytech.com/Digital+Black+Friday+First+Bitcoin+...

The Cypriot savings didn't lose value, they lost a part. It's not the same thing at all. The proof is that Bitcoin returned to its previous value (and then some) rather quickly, while the savings will never return.

They seem like exactly the same thing. Maybe the reason they don't seem that way to you is that you've decided a priori that Bitcoin will inevitably regain its 30% in value, while Cypriot assets will never gain 6% of value. That seems a little silly. If you bought gold in 1980, you'd still be waiting, 33 years later, for it to recover its value. Gold, silver, currency, and truncated SHA2 hashes can lose value and never fully regain it.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#105
post #102
post #71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So what do you propose? We sit back and do nothing?

They could have made the bank bond holders (rich foreign banks) take losses without affecting the normal depositors. How can you think getting a bigger loan to pay current loan is a good strategy. It will work only if the economy improves. If the economy tanks, it is not going to work. It is only going to increase the losses for the lenders ultimately.

the lenders are - ultimately - the depositors.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#106
post #45

This is THEFT. I leave my country if that happens to me. (I am from Poland, EU)

What about if the alternative is no bailout, the bank goes under, and you get almost nothing back at all? Like it or not, when you deposit 100 euros in a bank, you don't have 100 euros anymore - you instead now have an unsecured bank debt with a face value of 100 euros.

I'm not sure what kind of scenario you're imagining here. If 10% of all deposits and 0% of all bonds (which generally take haircuts before deposits) are sufficient to keep the bank afloat, the alternative is not 100% of all deposits and 100% of all bonds. The alternative is a larger portion of bonds and a smaller portion of deposits.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#107
post #51
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've been thinking about this lately, and, at the risk of sounding like a doomsday kook, this seems to make sense to me (perhaps in a milder sense) no matter where one lives. My plan is, if I ever get over $X in my account, where X is some reasonable buffer to pay bills, etc., that I'll just buy gold with the overage[1]. Back in the day you'd at least get reasonable interest by keeping money in a bank, but nowadays i…

This does depend on where you live. In some places, mortgages are offered with "offset accounts", where your positive balance in the account offsets your outstanding debt on the mortgage, and in doing so reduces the interest accruing on the loan. This means that your excess funds effectively earn the mortgage rate of interest (and since interest avoided isn't "income", this isn't taxed as deposit interest would be ei…

That sounds really interesting. Can you provide a link to an example or source of additional info.

Thanks

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#108
post #6

[deleted]

Actually, what's preventing someone from just putting their savings in bitcoin, waiting on the tax issues to pass, and moving it back?

You could avoid the risks associated with holding BTC by putting it in your mattress. Generally people say that this is a stupid idea, but it's doing 7-11% better than leaving it in a bank today.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#109
post #70

If I were in Greece, Italy, Spain, or Ireland, I think I would pull out all my bank deposits but the bare minimum cash needed to cover obligations.

But if everybody keeps thinking like that, in a few years time in the place of "Greece, Italy, Spain, or Ireland" you will read "Germany, France and UK". It's just a worldwide poker game, the banks are winning and the small guys are being forced out of the table.

just posted this in the other thread (the economist one):

BCG Study, September 2011: Back to Mesopotamia? The Looming Threat of Debt Restructuring http://www.scribd.com/doc/130778664/BCG-Back-to-Mesopotamia

The concepts and numbers are already there, Cyprus is a small test bed for this.

Re: The madness of the bailout in Cyprus

#110
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can't agree with your last sentence. We've all had the profits of having banks providing liquidity (common, all that Russian money into the Cyprian economy has been great for all of Cyprus). Now that system has failed and the big guys aka the banks are just as clueless as the little guys. Do we need to rethink how our economy works? Yes. Do we need to help Cyprus, Italy, Spain? Yes. Partially because it is in out b…

It's theft, plain and simple. The Cypriot people are not being asked if they want to sacrifice their savings - it is being taken from them by force!

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