X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
101–110 of 123 posts
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#102The Swiss Weather Office official app has a crowdsourced photo gallery: https://www.meteosuisse.admin.ch/services-et-publications/ap... Look at the pictures from 3AM onwards on the 12 of November: you'll have a nice overview of how the aurora looked like from Switzerland (it's a time sensitive app and they certainly don't keep the pictures forever).
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#103You can see the real time magnetic field change when it hits: https://dasi.barlow.cpi.com/dashboard
This seems to be a distinct but similar magnetometer network, with global reach, https://intermagnet.org/data_download.html Example data, (Neumayer Station III in Antarctica) https://imag-data.bgs.ac.uk/GIN_V1/GINForms2?observatoryIaga... I wonder why there doesn't seem to be any website with a map view of all of the planet's magnetometers. Looks like there should be more than enough data to make an interesting livem…
Another project for the queue...
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#104Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#105The Swiss Weather Office official app has a crowdsourced photo gallery: https://www.meteosuisse.admin.ch/services-et-publications/ap... Look at the pictures from 3AM onwards on the 12 of November: you'll have a nice overview of how the aurora looked like from Switzerland (it's a time sensitive app and they certainly don't keep the pictures forever).
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#106Is there a way to connect the Alert/Warnings/Watches from SWPC to specific events? It seems like there are at least three different solar events and it's hard for me to understand if they've all passed or if we're expecting more.
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusia...
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#107Is there a way to connect the Alert/Warnings/Watches from SWPC to specific events? It seems like there are at least three different solar events and it's hard for me to understand if they've all passed or if we're expecting more.
The CME from the X5.1 flare has not arrived yet. Here are the websites I use: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusia... https://www.spaceweather.com/ https://space.umd.edu/pm/
Here is the SWPC forecast [0]
Time_UTC,Nov_12,Nov_13,Nov_14
00-03UT,8.67 (G4),6.67 (G3),4.67 (G1)
03-06UT,8.33 (G4),6.33 (G2),4.00
06-09UT,7.00 (G3),6.00 (G2),3.33
09-12UT,7.00 (G3),4.67 (G1),3.67
12-15UT,6.00 (G2),4.00,3.33
15-18UT,5.67 (G2),3.33,3.00
18-21UT,7.67 (G4),4.33,3.00
21-00UT,6.00 (G2),4.67 (G1),3.33
So I guess 18-21UTC today it'll get around 7.7kP, but that's lower than what hit this morning, when I'd expect X5.1 to be larger? Is that how I should interpret this?
[0] https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusia...
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#108Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#109Earlier quoted context omitted.
The CME from the X5.1 flare has not arrived yet. Here are the websites I use: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/communities/space-weather-enthusia... https://www.spaceweather.com/ https://space.umd.edu/pm/
That's what I'm most curious about -- how do you see that it hasn't arrived yet when you're looking at SWPC? Here is the SWPC forecast [0] Time_UTC,Nov_12,Nov_13,Nov_14 00-03UT,8.67 (G4),6.67 (G3),4.67 (G1) 03-06UT,8.33 (G4),6.33 (G2),4.00 06-09UT,7.00 (G3),6.00 (G2),3.33 09-12UT,7.00 (G3),4.67 (G1),3.67 12-15UT,6.00 (G2),4.00,3.33 15-18UT,5.67 (G2),3.33,3.00 18-21UT,7.67 (G4),4.33,3.00 21-00UT,6.00 (G2),4.67 (G1),3.…
However, predicting the effects of solar flares is very difficult. Not only does the particle stream have to hit the Earth, it has to couple with the magnetic field.
Large flares can cause small events on Earth and vice versa.
Re: X5.1 solar flare, G4 geomagnetic storm watch
#110Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's what I'm most curious about -- how do you see that it hasn't arrived yet when you're looking at SWPC? Here is the SWPC forecast [0] Time_UTC,Nov_12,Nov_13,Nov_14 00-03UT,8.67 (G4),6.67 (G3),4.67 (G1) 03-06UT,8.33 (G4),6.33 (G2),4.00 06-09UT,7.00 (G3),6.00 (G2),3.33 09-12UT,7.00 (G3),4.67 (G1),3.67 12-15UT,6.00 (G2),4.00,3.33 15-18UT,5.67 (G2),3.33,3.00 18-21UT,7.67 (G4),4.33,3.00 21-00UT,6.00 (G2),4.67 (G1),3.…
Yes, you have it correct. However, predicting the effects of solar flares is very difficult. Not only does the particle stream have to hit the Earth, it has to couple with the magnetic field. Large flares can cause small events on Earth and vice versa.