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Abundant Intelligence

blog.samaltman.com

101–110 of 136 posts

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#101
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No worries once we have AGI we will ask it how to make up for all the emissions and solve climate change ...

AGI answer: "Individual people must change their habits"

Maybe it'll be "There is as yet insufficient data for a meaningful answer".

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#102
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No offense but your comment is basically HN parody. OpenAI created AI tech decades ahead of estimates. And they just signed a 100B deal with Nvidea. They are actually doing the things that are astonishing. Every engineer I see in coffee shops uses AI. All my coworkers use AI. I use AI. AI nearly solved protein folding. It is beginning to unlock personalized medicine. AI absolutely will be a fundamental driver of the…

> OpenAI created AI tech decades ahead of estimates. And they just signed a 100B deal with Nvidea. Definitely don't look into the financial details of that deal with Nvidia! > Every engineer I see in coffee shops uses AI. All my coworkers use AI. I use AI. Okay > AI nearly solved protein folding. FAH predates OpenAI by fifteen years and ChatGPT 3 by twenty. Do not fall for Altman's conflation of LLMs with every other…

> Definitely don't look into the financial details of that deal with Nvidia!

could you elaborate about what do you mean?..

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#103

> As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right. My product is going to be the fundamental driver of the economy. Even a human right! > Maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to cure cancer. How? > We are particularly excited to build a lot of this in the US; right now, other countries are building…

Yes, this post ironically makes me more bearish

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#104
I think reasonable people will agree that Bitcoin's energy consumption had huge impacts on costs of power with very little to show for, at least for the average user.

What are ways in which we can incentivize investments and place societal guardrails so that something similar doesn't happen with AI data centers.

Do governments need to invest in nuclear power?

Scale up energy generation in other ways through renewables?

Insulate or subsidize the average non-corporate electricity consumer through something like rent control?

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#105

Y2K errors in old COBOL code kick-started Indian IT sector, which then lead to immense economic progress and mass scale reduction in poverty. I hope LLMs pepper every thing they touch with many such errors, so that nations of Africa and poorer parts of Latin America (that can't do cheap manufacturing due to a lack of infrastructure and capital) can also begin their upwards economic journey by providing services to fi…

>(much of which was caused by colonialism) I found the 10%

Reading replies like this, I am left to wonder if maybe an AI apocalypse isn't such a bad idea.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>(much of which was caused by colonialism) I found the 10%

Reading replies like this, I am left to wonder if maybe an AI apocalypse isn't such a bad idea.

>it is the moral and ethical duty of the Global North

This is also a pretty good joke

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Reading replies like this, I am left to wonder if maybe an AI apocalypse isn't such a bad idea.

>it is the moral and ethical duty of the Global North This is also a pretty good joke

I know, I wrote it. Glad you liked it, not so glad that you then chose to go full mask off.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#108
post #95
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Somehow it never crossed my mind, but human civilization could plausibly end in the next 10 years. Many thought if then the cause would be a nuclear war, turns out it's more like the 90's movie 12 monkeys. I would love to be proven wrong, yet there is no international regulation on AI.

>I would love to be proven wrong, yet there is no international regulation on AI. What are the chances of advancing in AI regulation before any monumental fuck up that changes the public opinion to "yeah this thing is really dangerous". Like a Hiroshima or Chernobyl but for AI.

Zero. Too much skin in the game all around for the train to stop now.

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the most compelling arguments are: LLMs aren’t AI. These are language processing tools which are highly effective and it turns out language is a large component of intelligence but they aren’t AI alone. Intelligence isn’t the solution or bottleneck to solving the world’s most pressing problems. Famines are political. We know how to deploy clean energy. Now that doesn’t quite answer your question but I think i…

Right, but if you just replace AI with LLM in my comment, I'm not sure it really changes. "Real AI" might not be necessary to the two things I wrote. I agree that all of the predictions regarding AI are probably overblown if they're just LLMs. But that might not matter if we're just talking about geopolitics.

Yea that’s fair. And if there’s enough money behind something even if it’s not great it can still bend the whole world. I think with a lot of comments like yours people take them, at least I did, to be more slanted to actually be saying something like “what’s the argument against AI 2027”. Which isn’t fair and is why the hype can be so damaging to honest discourse.

So I cannot think of a good argument of a reason this isn’t going to change the world even if that does look more like the AI as a normal technology[0] argument or simply a slopapolocypse.

0: https://knightcolumbia.org/content/ai-as-normal-technology

Re: Abundant Intelligence

#110
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not a word or whisper about environmental impact, either. I mean at least do some hand waving or something. I feel like a habitable planet is a fundamental right.

Not to defend what Altman is saying, but is OpenAI actually using or going to use that much power? This Reuters source the US power budget will be 4,187 TWh in 2025: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-power-use-reach-r...

The US is the second most energy-hungry country on Earth (the first one being China, a country that accounts for almost 30% of the global manufacturing output), so I think it's better to compare it against the rest of the world:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electri...

Every country bellow the top 40 has a consumption lower than 87.6 TWh per year, that includes developed countries like Finland and Belgium, so yes, 10 gigawatts is a lot of power.

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