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Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

economist.com

101–110 of 121 posts

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I guess you could say "batteries are not a grid scale solution" as long as you ignore ERCOT and CAISO...

Batteries are not a grid scale solution. What we see at grid scale are batteries being used for quick response power while other generators are being spun up. The thing is the grid very much doesn't like it when demand exceeds supply. Systems shut down to protect themselves and you either dump loads very quickly or suffer a cascade failure (see the 1965 blackout--and note that that only stopped growing when the opera…

... you started your comment with "batteries are not a grid scale solution" and then you described one of the primary reasons batteries are useful at grid scale.

I don't get it, did you put an extra "not" in your opening sentence?

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Batteries are not a grid scale solution. What we see at grid scale are batteries being used for quick response power while other generators are being spun up. The thing is the grid very much doesn't like it when demand exceeds supply. Systems shut down to protect themselves and you either dump loads very quickly or suffer a cascade failure (see the 1965 blackout--and note that that only stopped growing when the opera…

... you started your comment with "batteries are not a grid scale solution" and then you described one of the primary reasons batteries are useful at grid scale. I don't get it, did you put an extra "not" in your opening sentence?

[deleted]

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> As far as I understand it, you can’t have power generated by solar panels feeding loads in your grid-connected panel without backfeeding the grid, same deal as a generator backfeeding a grid-connected panel. You have to kill the MCB or service disconnect to prevent backfeeding. An inverter can limit its output, right? So measure current at a few different points in the system, do some math, and use that to set the…

Thanks for the explanation, that makes sense. Monitor some CTs and let the inverter only discharge enough power to satisfy the current demand without backfeeding the utility.

Or mine some crypto with the excess. I'm only half kidding. Having too much power is a good problem to have.

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#104
post #88
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The hubris in this article is unreal: it's posing that privately owned utilities are a good thing and that bypassing them is some crime that's done by ratepayers. I hope that business model dies in a fire. Instead the entire paradigm of centralized generation may need to be called into question and we should instead be focusing on a hybrid centralized baseline + local generation and storage. Places like China do fine…

I used to build microgrids and work closely with utilities - generation, transmission, and distribution. This was probably 15 years ago, but they talked about the 'solar death spiral' even back then. In my opinion, a lot had to do with how they set retail rates. The retail electric companies set different rate categories and tiers. Most residential customers don't realize that they're often subsidizing commercial and…

I thought industrial power consumers paid more because of inductive/capacitive phase shifting.

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#105
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I used to build microgrids and work closely with utilities - generation, transmission, and distribution. This was probably 15 years ago, but they talked about the 'solar death spiral' even back then. In my opinion, a lot had to do with how they set retail rates. The retail electric companies set different rate categories and tiers. Most residential customers don't realize that they're often subsidizing commercial and…

I thought industrial power consumers paid more because of inductive/capacitive phase shifting.

Maybe once, but today's industries will have a total power factor pretty damn close to 1.0

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#106
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I used to build microgrids and work closely with utilities - generation, transmission, and distribution. This was probably 15 years ago, but they talked about the 'solar death spiral' even back then. In my opinion, a lot had to do with how they set retail rates. The retail electric companies set different rate categories and tiers. Most residential customers don't realize that they're often subsidizing commercial and…

I thought industrial power consumers paid more because of inductive/capacitive phase shifting.

Industrial power consumers are billed differently - so it could be more or could be less. The bills are more complicated - industrial customers will generally pay for things like power factor, capacity, demand, time-of-use rates, tiered rates, etc. On a per kWh basis it would depend from customer to customer. If you had a factory that operated overnight for whatever reason, their electricity would be very cheap.

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#107
post #83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s even worse than that. We’re wasting all the energy of every star in the Universe every second we spend not building Dyson spheres around them.

No, Dyson spheres is short term thinking. What we really should be doing is breaking up the stars and storing they hydrogen for future use. Just allowing fusion to happen and radiating the energy away is inefficient and wasteful.

No need to break them up, just ship them to the universe's most efficient storage mechanism - a black hole!

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#108
post #21

> "lots of self-generated power will ultimately be wasted." This is sunlight falling on a roof. If you convert it into electricity but then don't use that electricity, is it really a waste? It's like saying that the overflow from my water tank that collects rain water off the roof is 'wasting' water. It could be argued that it's a waste in the sense that the generated electricity could have gone to someone else if th…

The hubris in this article is unreal: it's posing that privately owned utilities are a good thing and that bypassing them is some crime that's done by ratepayers. I hope that business model dies in a fire. Instead the entire paradigm of centralized generation may need to be called into question and we should instead be focusing on a hybrid centralized baseline + local generation and storage. Places like China do fine…

Rooftop solar with storage and a grid disconnect is fine. The problem comes about when people expect the grid to be there during the 5% event but otherwise be free (or even worse, that the utility be required to pay them for low-value power that overloads puny distribution systems during undesirable generation hours. It's a matter of economics - centralized generation, transmission, and distribution is expensive. Someone's got to pay for it if we want it to exist. A lot of people crow about their great solar setup and don't talk much about the power that they pull from the boring old grid.

If we're ok with everyone being an island or building a system capable of massively distributed generation, great. It will be massively more complex, less efficient, and more expensive to maintain. Let's just be honest about the nature of the problem.

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#109
I built a garage with a flat roof to accommodate a solar system. I assumed it would make sense. However between the city rules on setback and the extra cost of a grid-connected system, it didn't make sense. Since then I've been strongly considering an off-grid setup. I'd like to see those get more uptake because there are so many fewer dependencies and regulations.

Re: Cheap solar power is sending electrical grids into a death spiral

#110
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Unlike the economist I know something about accounting. If there is excess power at zero marginal cost someone cunning is already planning on making some coin off it. As it is utilities with excess solar and wind are rapidly adding battery storage. I think there are three stages of renewable development. The first stage renewables partly offset traditional suppliers. The second stage is you actually have excess part…

> If there is excess power at zero marginal cost someone cunning is already planning on making some coin off it. I'm not sure it's that simple as evidenced by the ever increasing hours of negative electricity prices. As far as I know, there are so far no good applications for short bursts of negative prices. Everything that would love those is so capital intensive/high fix costs that even 10 or 20% utilisation rates…

I look at California ISO's site

https://www.caiso.com/todays-outlook/supply

The difference between summer and winter for renewables is 20%. In California the difference is driven mostly by solar.

This is an interesting page.

http://www.statsmapsnpix.com/2021/11/world-population-by-lat...

Majority of the worlds population lives between 40 north and 10 degrees south. And also some places like Scotland had lots of wind.

Definitely winners and losers in the transition.

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