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Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

cnn.com

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Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#101

The constant Russian interference, combined with the regular escalation from the jets patrolling, and the radar jamming, really needs to be dealt with. We're stuck between having to do timid actions and full NATO escalation. This feels like constant creep.

> We're stuck between having to do timid actions and full NATO escalation

If only there were someone applying pressure to Russia we could have fight for us!

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#102
post #90

So what's the solution ? Assign a surveillance UAV to every Russian ship parked "without a good reason" over a cable ? It would be expensive, but doable, and create a reserve of vehicles for wartime use.

The solution is to project strength and hit them where they don't expect. You are dealing with a thug, not a cost/benefit accountant, as Obama seemed to mistakenly believe. As long as they do things and we respond, nothing good will happen. They have already calculated the response and found it acceptable. Instead of this, go to the mattresses. Oh, your bridge has suddenly exploded? Shame.

"We" already screwed their pipeline, what's left? Provide Ukraine with the means to blow up the Kerch bridge maybe? They're the ones that could legitimately do that sort of escalation.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have read reams of rhetoric regarding relations with Russia rehashed as "don't poke the bear". No one ever seems to want to discuss what to do about the bear going around poking everyone else.

Those discussions are had all the time. One of downside of this bear is bear strapped with explosives that could kill us all if bear gets angry enough. Also, once you are 12 miles offshore, technically you are in international waters and thus cannot be stopped by any Navy except your own unless there is UN Sanctions. If NATO Countries decided to violate that, it obviously opens up massive can of worms that could impa…

> technically you are in international waters and thus cannot be stopped by any Navy except your own unless there is UN Sanctions

What? No? How do you think we arraign pirates?

> it obviously opens up massive can of worms that could impact worldwide trade

No? Why? Worst case it would be considered an act of war. Practically, they'd just be arrested.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#104

The constant Russian interference, combined with the regular escalation from the jets patrolling, and the radar jamming, really needs to be dealt with. We're stuck between having to do timid actions and full NATO escalation. This feels like constant creep.

I have read reams of rhetoric regarding relations with Russia rehashed as "don't poke the bear". No one ever seems to want to discuss what to do about the bear going around poking everyone else.

The bear metaphore is indeed nonsense. Russia is not a bear, you are dealing with a bunch of state level criminals.

   The state of Russia is essentially better understood as a criminal gang masquerading as a country.
Those stealing, money laundering, killing, trafficking an warring circles of oligarchs are heavily rooted in Intelligence Services, inside and abroad. Some of those oligarchs even have private militaries.

Those people primarily care for themselves. They know they can get away with a ton of insane and inhuman shit, as they calculate the other well-behaving party will back off. They however do not want to get nuclear consequences themselves, it is pure bluff.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia warned that they were going to do this last week. I think it's pretty reasonable to conclude that 1) this was sabotage and 2) it was Russia.

> Russia warned that they were going to do this last week Source?

first result: https://www.newsweek.com/russia-pipeline-gas-patrushev-putin...

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#106

The constant Russian interference, combined with the regular escalation from the jets patrolling, and the radar jamming, really needs to be dealt with. We're stuck between having to do timid actions and full NATO escalation. This feels like constant creep.

[flagged]

You seem confused about which country invaded another and kicked off a major war in Eastern Europe.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#107
post #82

> "it’s obvious this wasn’t an accidental anchor drop.” If it's "he who shall not be named", gotta admit, that's a clever strategy: ramp up sabotage and see how NATO/EU will feel about their "red lines", and how well does that article 5 really work in practice. Is it worth more than the paper it's printed on? Let's find out! People have been laughing at the West crossing multiple Russian "red lines" and the Russians…

Weak?

Macron is rallying for major support.

Poland is building an extremely strong army, and is having none of Russia's BS.

Rutte is head of NATO now, and he has peace as his nr. 1 goal.

There are so many ads for cybersecurity and military on tv here in the Netherlands.

Ukraine received ATACMS (long range missiles) a while ago. This is why they are able to invade Russia back.

We are "weak" because Putin has been destabilising our peaceful politics over the past 20 years.

Russia isn't a fucking bear, it's a drunk wasteland with plenty natural resources, but with fucked up leadership. The Russian oligarchy is desperate, and it's showing.

And yes, I _am_ mad. I am 100% going to protect the EU. What we have and what we had is beautiful, and my Russian friends and my Ukrainian friends deserve better.

I am picking up math, Nix, ML, geopolitics, nature, sports and more because of these idiots in Russia. And I'm exactly what they fear most. A transgender person.

I'm so, so done with Putin and Lukachenko's BS.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Russia warned that they were going to do this last week. I think it's pretty reasonable to conclude that 1) this was sabotage and 2) it was Russia.

> Russia warned that they were going to do this last week Source?

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-pipeline-gas-patrushev-putin...

I guess they warned in their own way, of "nice cables you've got there, it would be a shame if someone... sabotaged them".

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#109
post #91

The constant Russian interference, combined with the regular escalation from the jets patrolling, and the radar jamming, really needs to be dealt with. We're stuck between having to do timid actions and full NATO escalation. This feels like constant creep.

Best course of action at this time would be to properly arm Ukraine.

It's the right thing to do anyway, but especially as a way to respond to Russia.

Re: Two undersea cables in Baltic Sea disrupted

#110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

The only time NATO has actually gotten involved in a conflict was in Afghanistan after 911. So no, it is not only because of Russia.

> The only time NATO has actually gotten involved in a conflict was in Afghanistan after 911.

False. NATO Command led the bombing of Libya in 2011 (taking over from the French).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Unified_Protector

You can search for "NATO Libya Lessons" and get a ton of articles by analysts, many published in US military journals and/or written by US think tanks on the subject. For example, here's one from RAND:

https://www.rand.org/pubs/commentary/2014/11/natos-campaign-...

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