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When will computer hardware match the human brain? (1998)

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Re: When will computer hardware match the human brain? (1998)

#101
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Moravec's plots (from 1998!) are looking more and more like prophecies: https://www.jetpress.org/volume1/power_075.jpg https://www.jetpress.org/volume1/All_things_075.jpg

What I find incredible about the progress of computing power is that there isn't anything that actually makes Moore's law a given. Engineers keep discovering advances in materials science and manufacturing that enable advancements on such a consistent pace. Is this a fluke? Luck? What enables this?

One thing driving Moore's law is the every generation of computers is used to design/simulate next generation. It's a positive feedback loop.
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