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We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

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Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#101
post #92

What's even more funny is that Binance make it look like they are a stable financial institution, and it's thanks to their high standards that they won't acquire FTX. Binance is most probably much more of a fraud than FTX. Binance doesn't even have physical headquarters in any country in this world - and the reason is that they are being actively investigated or banned almost everywhere.

I don't know about it, Binance has become a gold standard in crypto exchange business. Here on HN it was always about Coinbase likely because its an American company but for the rest of the world, it's all about Binance and the rest of the world is huge. How huge? About an order of magnitude to Coinbase. If Binance goes, crypto isn't coming back.

> Binance has become a gold standard in crypto exchange business

This was FTX and Alameda like a week ago.

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#102
post #65

Does anyone here think SBF will be prosecuted?

What crime was committed? I'm asking in a neutral way. Simply losing billions of dollars of other people's money isn't necessarily illegal.

Among other things, he perjured himself in front of Congress.

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What backs this? https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL Might of USA and all that? Yes I’ve heard all that before. Rome, France, England… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debasement https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assignat https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Debasement History is more on the side of it happening than not. “The root problem with conventional currency is all the trust that's required to make it work. T…

> History is more on the side of it happening than not. Is this true? Of all the years that various countries have used traditional fiat currency, has debasement happened more years than it hasn't? I don't think so but I'm not certain. Obviously, nobody can predict the future here, and history tells us that all empires come to an end at some point. But we're watching crypto speed-run through all of the issues that th…

>Is this true? Of all the years that various countries have used traditional fiat currency, has debasement happened more years than it hasn't? I don't think so but I'm not certain.

Do you know of any currency over the past 200 years that has suffered deflation throughout that period?

I don't mean "occasionally has one year with deflation", I mean, the real value of 1 unit of that currency 200 years ago was less than what it is today.

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#104
post #86

The silly thing is that FTX was a money printing machine. There was no reason to start gambling with user funds, aside from greed, hubris, and stupidity. Similarly, Sam's fund Alameda was delta-neutral until some time in 2021, which is something that also could have profitably continued in perpetuity, but they got greedy and started making directional bets with leverage.

There’s a Bloomberg article that goes over why this is a bit more nuanced than “gambling with customers funds”. In short, it’s either one or both of poor risk management ( margin traders can’t post collateral and the collateral they had was FTT which went to zero ) and black swan bank runs ( Binance CEO tweets about risky FTT causing bank run causing further drops ). In fact “gambling with customer funds” was by desi…

FWIW you can subscribe to Matt Levine’s column as email newsletter without being a Bloomberg subscriber. (That doesn’t help for reading already-published columns, but of course there are other ways around paywalls.)

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#105
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's exactly how it works. When you issue IOU, you issue your own currency. When a company issues stock, they are in fact issuing their own currency. All contracts are in fact a currency that can be sold, bought, invested and transacted. World debt is far far larger than actually currency in circulation. How does that happen? Because we make up "currency" all the time.

No, that's not the same thing at all. For every other example of currency besides the government's currency, there's a tangible thing backing that unit. Crypto still doesn't have that, and that matters. To what degree is up for debate, but it does matter. Only governments apparently can get away with the unbacked currency, because they otherwise back it with enforced societal rules (a.k.a. laws).

> No, that's not the same thing at all.

Per Mark Blyth

Money, to be useful is what Economists call three things; ♦ A Unit of Account ♦ A Unit of Exchange ♦ A Store of Value: A hedge against uncertainty Crypto is not money, so what is it? Is what the Chinese Central Bank characterized three years ago as Digital Gambling Asset

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#106

The funny thing is for six months I have been checking FTX for open developer positions. Thinking surely, the best place in crypto must be hiring good devs like me. And there have been no postings at all! And word on the street is their devs actually building the exchange made a middling salary with zero stock. I always found it odd, how could they not be hiring? even during the downturn? And now I know why, it was a…

It wasn't. They just ran with significantly less staff (iirc, less than 30). If they wanted you, they got in touch. FTX wasn't a scam either. Their business was a licence to print money but, as so often happens in finance, managed to spin shit from gold.

That's not what I have heard. Specifically know people who have gotten offers, mostly in the 150k range with zero stock. Alameda research is also just random devs that went to MIT with a few years experience. Impressive to go to that school, but clearly not experienced enough to run a real finance operation. Zero real finance people.

If they were serious they would have hired portfolio managers with decades of experience.

Its the same thing as three arrows capital, random people ending up with a bunch of capital, overestimating their intelligence due to a bull market run, and ending up with nothing

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Very different. LTCM was making massive, very risky bets while pretending they were safe. They were making insanely leveraged bets on real assets. FTX seems to me to much closer to Madoff. They were printing their own Monopoly money and pretending it was worth billions.

The core of the issue here was not ponzinomics, it was the exchange gambling directly with user funds, by way of unsecured loans to a hedge fund controlled by the founders. Fraud? Yes. But users weren’t buying into a ponzi, they were using a centralized exchange product with the understanding that reserves were whole, when in reality they were secretly fractional reserves.

SBF literally describes a magic ponzi box

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C6nAxiym9oc

Re: We will not pursue the potential acquisition of FTX

#108

What's even more funny is that Binance make it look like they are a stable financial institution, and it's thanks to their high standards that they won't acquire FTX. Binance is most probably much more of a fraud than FTX. Binance doesn't even have physical headquarters in any country in this world - and the reason is that they are being actively investigated or banned almost everywhere.

We could ask how long till Binance implodes.
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