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The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

rain.aero

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Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#101
post #89

I really don't get why we haven't figured out how to do controlled burns properly, lots of indigenous cultures had been doing it successfully for at least hundreds of years. And they did it all without fancy technology. I think it might just come down to the arrogance of trying to exert control over a forest rather than work symbiotically with natural processes. I never thought about the liability angle, hopefully le…

They didn't build immovable homes inside the places to burn

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#102
post #53
post #39

The reason we have such terrible fires now is that we keep putting out fires when they're small. Nature builds up too much burnable matter over time. Small fires would burn it in small, localized areas. But if the small fires don't happen then we get the massive fires that destroy towns, cities, and cost lives. I am not impressed by a new way to put out small fires, because that just ensures bigger fires in the long…

Our past forest management practices are a part of it, but climate change is also a huge part: https://www.c2es.org/content/wildfires-and-climate-change/ >

I don't think it meshes well with Spanish wildfire stats [1]. I can't see any serious trend there, definitely nothing like California. The main difference is that they manage their forests and do prescribed burning.

[1]: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1265354/area-burned-by-w...

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#103
post #57
post #39

The reason we have such terrible fires now is that we keep putting out fires when they're small. Nature builds up too much burnable matter over time. Small fires would burn it in small, localized areas. But if the small fires don't happen then we get the massive fires that destroy towns, cities, and cost lives. I am not impressed by a new way to put out small fires, because that just ensures bigger fires in the long…

I read about this a few months back and it seems that a key issue with controlled burns is liability. No-one wants to be responsible if the wind blows in an unexpected direction and it gets out of control. They’re scared of the variables. And of course, the less you burn, the greater the risk when you do burn, so it’s a vicious cycle.

Sovereign immunity exists for this. It's a choice to let people sue for property damage due to burns.

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#104
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It looks like a practical use-case for drones even if the dropping of suppressive poke-balls probably needs improvement. Rough numbers: 3 million acres of forest in USA, one drone could ultimately cover 500 sq km (13 km radius) 6000ish drones call it 10k for redundancy Even at 10k per drone including base station that’s roughly $100M in hardware to cover the entirety of US forestland. PG&E is your first customer. edi…

Maybe they would just monitor the corridors along transmission lines. That would be a tiny fraction of the area.

And you could use inductive loops to keep the drones aloft indefinitely.

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#105

This is great! Sounds like they are solving the problem of detecting tiny fires in vast wilderness[0]. Detection seems like 80% of the problem. Immediate response would be a huge improvement over the current strategy. That's a win even if they don't solve the drone scaling/deployment/automation problems. [0] https://www.rain.aero/missions/software-engineer-realtime-fi...

It seems to me like they are solving the problem of detecting tiny fires in sections of 40 acres each [1]. Yosemite is about 700k acres.

[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/startups-working-to-fight-wi...

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#106
It looks like the explosive force of the Poké balls is actually spreading embers from the fire. And as they fly through the air the dusty / gaseous suppressant will be blown off, and the hard core of the solid glowing ember will continue flying to a new landing spot where it can spread the fire anew. Oops.

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#107

This is great! Sounds like they are solving the problem of detecting tiny fires in vast wilderness[0]. Detection seems like 80% of the problem. Immediate response would be a huge improvement over the current strategy. That's a win even if they don't solve the drone scaling/deployment/automation problems. [0] https://www.rain.aero/missions/software-engineer-realtime-fi...

Satellites are already used to detect hotspots. The Alert camera network [1] catches a lot too. On days where fire would be dangerous, there are already planes ready to go to get the fire before it gets large.

At best, this would provide more coverage more quickly by forward deploying drones. But planes are fast enough and you only need to use a smaller plane on a small fire, and we have plenty of them. Sure seems like techies had a bright idea who either failed to do the research or failed to give up after doing the research because it makes such a great presentation for investor storytime.

[1] https://www.alertwildfire.org

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#108

I'm very intrigued by the potential for new wildfire tech but as someone who lives in wildfire land in Montana i have my doubts about this video... detecting putting out a campfire is a pretty idealized case. Most fires in our area seem to be started (either by lightning or an improperly extinguished campfire) and then exist as an undetectable underground smolder for quite a while until hot, dry, windy conditions eme…

You have some good points and questions here. I spent 3 summers as a wildland fire fighter and have seen lightening strikes/small fires up to massive 100k acre affairs. I will speak from that experience, but keep in mind it was over a decade ago and it's been a while since I had to think about any of this.

As you point out, a tree struck by lightening can smolder for a long time. This can go on for weeks until it explodes on a hot, dry, windy day. To put out a lightening strike you pretty much have to cut down the tree, scrape out all the smoldery bits, and mix them with dirt and water. Then you put bare hands on every square inch of the trunk and branches to make sure you didn't miss a single hot spot. The idea that a few retardant bombs will do anything strikes me as naive.

You mention abandoned or improperly extinguished campfires as well. I would love to hear how a system like this is going to confirm that nobody is in the area before basically dropping small bombs in the area.

You point out the sophisticated systems of lightening strike detection, overflights, lookouts, etc. While not perfect, these systems are pretty good. Meanwhile the Business Insider article [1] linked from Rain's website says that a dedicated surveillance drone (doesn't carry retardant) covers a mere 40 acres! You say you live in MT... how big is 40 acres relative to your nearest wild land?

You suggest drones as a method for delivery of water. Again from experience: you can slow a fire or decrease its intensity by dropping water on it. If you want to put it out, it takes boots on the ground. To extinguish a small fire (like the one in the video), you pretty much have to mix the burning bits with mineral soil and water if you're lucky. Even though we have helicopters and air tankers, we still have hot shot, helitack, and smoke jumper crews.

Finally I am also very curious whether anyone on this team has any fire experience. They're hiring, but something tells me I wouldn't be a good fit.

Re: The Rain System “contains wildfires within 10 minutes of ignition”

#110
post #39

The reason we have such terrible fires now is that we keep putting out fires when they're small. Nature builds up too much burnable matter over time. Small fires would burn it in small, localized areas. But if the small fires don't happen then we get the massive fires that destroy towns, cities, and cost lives. I am not impressed by a new way to put out small fires, because that just ensures bigger fires in the long…

One of the biggest problems with managing bushfire in Australia is having the fire "jump the line". Where embers fly ahead of the main fire, starting spot fires that unless dealt with just extend the reach of the fire. Currently a lot of spot fire management is attempted using helicopters with water buckets, but this is both expensive and bloody dangerous. Being able to use semi disposable drones could assist dramati…

The Australian bush needs fire to germinate new plants and trees too.
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