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Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

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Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#101

Post by 0des »

hereforphone wrote: post #74

- Donald Knuth will die - Joe Biden will become unable to maintain office (due to age / health related issues) and his VP will become president; many will theorize this was the plan all along - People will settle down about COVID regardless of what happens. There will be more backlash as we continue to learn more about the vaccines (and require boosters at some currently undetermined interval) - $SPY will lose 100+ p…

> Donald Knuth will die

You shut your whore mouth and say you're sorry right this instant.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#102

Post by hereforphone »

0des wrote: post #101
hereforphone wrote: post #74

- Donald Knuth will die - Joe Biden will become unable to maintain office (due to age / health related issues) and his VP will become president; many will theorize this was the plan all along - People will settle down about COVID regardless of what happens. There will be more backlash as we continue to learn more about the vaccines (and require boosters at some currently undetermined interval) - $SPY will lose 100+ p…

> Donald Knuth will die You shut your whore mouth and say you're sorry right this instant.

Donald Knuth will die..... BUT his brain will live on in a jar in a Stanford subbasement

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#103

Post by jmnicolas »

qwertox wrote: post #78
jmnicolas wrote: post #56

I know nobody care but in 2022 I will lose my job because France will mandate vaccination at work.

Just out of curiosity, what is the reasoning behind you not getting vaccinated?

Basically I got COVID in January and I don't trust the safety of the vaccines.

If they're so safe, why big pharma and my government aren't liable?

Why all the censorship about adverse effects?

I know one man with thrombosis and another one with Guillain Barré syndrome. My sister lost conscientiousness after the second shot. One of my cousin has extraordinary abundant periods. A colleague told me that his running times were much lower than before, he feels always tired since he got vaccinated.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#104

Post by duderific »

krapp wrote: post #69

previously (compiled by csomar here[0]): [0]2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988 2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767 2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723 2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370 2012: https://…

Going back a few years, it seems like people were taking their predictions more seriously. Now, most commenters are just making silly joke predictions. I wonder what that says about our times. Maybe people feel less and less confident about their ability to predict the future.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#105

Post by tonyedgecombe »

nodejs_rulez_1 wrote: post #90
AstroDogCatcher wrote: post #43

In the UK: Covid will dimish in importance enough for people to disentangle the negative consequences of Brexit, leading to widespread use of the Pikachu shocked face meme. Scottish independence will take a step forward, with a new referendum scheduled for 2023. At least one company (probably Apple) will exceed $4T market cap, current >$1T companies will all pass at least one more trillion milestone. No new companies…

> In the UK: Covid will dimish in importance enough for people to disentangle the negative consequences of Brexit, leading to widespread use of the Pikachu shocked face meme. Scottish independence will take a step forward, with a new referendum scheduled for 2023. Very interesting, transfer of such a financial liability as Scotland from UK to EU may even offset at least some of the Brexit damage! Followed by more Pik…

Yes, in many ways Brexit makes Scottish independence more difficult. Previously trade and people would have been able to flow across the border but that isn't a given now.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#107

Post by jmnicolas »

desine wrote: post #91
jmnicolas wrote: post #56

I know nobody care but in 2022 I will lose my job because France will mandate vaccination at work.

I lost mine for the same reason last month. USA. Stay strong, friend.

Thanks, I hope you will be able to find another job somewhere else. I thought the mandate had been repelled?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#108

Post by 0des »

jmnicolas wrote: post #103
qwertox wrote: post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just out of curiosity, what is the reasoning behind you not getting vaccinated?

Basically I got COVID in January and I don't trust the safety of the vaccines. If they're so safe, why big pharma and my government aren't liable? Why all the censorship about adverse effects? I know one man with thrombosis and another one with Guillain Barré syndrome. My sister lost conscientiousness after the second shot. One of my cousin has extraordinary abundant periods. A colleague told me that his running time…

I get the tired thing a lot.

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#109

Post by 300bps »

amalcon wrote: post #95
300bps wrote: post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you have any idea how much money a trillion dollars is? If you paid $1 per second, it would take you: 12 days to spend $1 million 32 years to spend $1 billion 32,000 years to spend $1 trillion Imagine spending $1 every second for 32,000 years. It's ridiculous! Yet we throw that number around like it "isn't that dramatic". We will never be able to pay off that borrowed money! And it will work until it doesn't. And…

The population of the United States was around 331 million per the 2020 census, so $1T is a little over $3000 per resident. The GDP of the United States was approximately 21 trillion in 2020 (a pandemic year) per World Bank, so a $1T loan is about 5% of gross annual income. It's not that hard for an individual or business with good credit history to get such a loan. Comparing things on the scale of the national budge…

so a $1T loan is about 5% of gross annual income

No, this is not right at all. The total income of the United States government is $4 trillion per year. So a $1 trillion loan is 25% of gross annual income. The $3 trillion being added to the debt is 75% of gross annual income.

GDP is not the income of the United States government. But this new debt will be debt of the United States government.

The reality is that we are $29 trillion in debt now and adding to it rapidly. That is 7.25 years of gross income in debt. What would you say to someone that made $100,000 per year and was in debt $725,000?

Re: Ask HN: What are your 2022 predictions?

#110

Post by desine »

jmnicolas wrote: post #107
desine wrote: post #91

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I lost mine for the same reason last month. USA. Stay strong, friend.

Thanks, I hope you will be able to find another job somewhere else. I thought the mandate had been repelled?

Employer mandate, non-governmental :-/
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