California's tax regime is really backward. I suspect Tesla's departure is just the tip of the iceberg and that the repeal of the SALT deduction in 2017 really hastened this trend. High earners pay an effective tax rate of > 50%. They are partially picking up the slack from Prop 13, which artificially distorts the housing market by allowing longtime homeowners to pay property taxes based on decades-old assessed value…
>High earners pay an effective tax rate of > 50%. Musk has not paid any tax because he hasn't cashed out any of his stock options yet. Some of his options will expire next year so he will pay tax then, but I am sure California will get the lion share of the tax revenue (as Musk lived in California up to 2021.)
Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
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Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#102Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There are homeless issues in Austin, just as there are in SF (though not as bad as SF, it's getting worse every year). - Homelessness in Texas has decreased by 55% since 2010. - Homelessness in California has increased by 35% since 2010. So, there is massive a 90% gap. California is obviously doing something wrong there. Source: United States Interagency Council on Homelessness.
They're talking about Austin in particular, not the entire state. I found this to be an interesting read: https://www.slowboring.com/p/homelessness-is-about-housing-n...
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#103What I'm really curious about is what happens to Austin (and to a lesser extent, Atlanta, Raleigh, Denver, SLC etc). Does Austin become the next Bay Area/next Seattle? Crazy high housing prices, and high homelessness/crime? If so, how long does that take, and what happens to native Austinites? If not, what prevents history from repeating itself?
Austin continues to become less and less affordable for people who aren't bringing in existing home equity from other high cost of living areas. My understanding is the bulk of offers for homes in the Austin area are from Texans and existing Austinites but the bulk of winning offers are from out of state.
You look at the skyline from when Dell was founded, and look at the skyline today. It's been non-stop residential housing development, and it's only accelerating. The current squeeze is sizable, yes, but the market forces are working.
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#104California's tax regime is really backward. I suspect Tesla's departure is just the tip of the iceberg and that the repeal of the SALT deduction in 2017 really hastened this trend. High earners pay an effective tax rate of > 50%. They are partially picking up the slack from Prop 13, which artificially distorts the housing market by allowing longtime homeowners to pay property taxes based on decades-old assessed value…
I think the exodus from California to Texas is overblown. The choice is between Earn above average salary and enjoy good weather, politics, and outdoors. Earn a median salary and enjoy okay weather and lower taxes.
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#105California's tax regime is really backward. I suspect Tesla's departure is just the tip of the iceberg and that the repeal of the SALT deduction in 2017 really hastened this trend. High earners pay an effective tax rate of > 50%. They are partially picking up the slack from Prop 13, which artificially distorts the housing market by allowing longtime homeowners to pay property taxes based on decades-old assessed value…
I’ve long suspected that the Democratic obsession with federal policy is to try to reduce the appeal of other states where companies may want to move. It’s often seemed like people in California would prefer that a manufacturing operations operate in Asia and come through their ports rather than operate in the middle/south US.
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#106Earlier quoted context omitted.
>High earners pay an effective tax rate of > 50%. Musk has not paid any tax because he hasn't cashed out any of his stock options yet. Some of his options will expire next year so he will pay tax then, but I am sure California will get the lion share of the tax revenue (as Musk lived in California up to 2021.)
I think OP meant Tesla's workforce being the overly-taxed. Maybe it's easier to recruit talent there?
Or California's housing market is just too fucked. I think this is more plausible than the income tax too high theory.
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#107I know this is charged but it's genuine question due to my ignorance - why are companies having or moving HQs to Texas? It feels that : 1. It's way out of temperate climate that one would live in when given full choice and all things equal (understanding they never are of course - I live in great white North :) 2. Politics are highly conservative and frequently invasive. now clearly half of Americans like it that way…
Can't launch rockets from California. Splitting time between SpaceX and Tesla is a lot harder when its half way across the country.
> Can't launch rockets from California
Nearly all of SpaceX's polar orbit launches were/are from Vandenberg Air force base, just north west of Los Angeles.
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#108Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#109When CEOs move, they often move their headquarters closer to where they live. Somehow Tesla managed to survive all the problems of California until shortly after Musk moved to Texas. Folks talking about the advantages and disadvantages of California vs Texas may be overthinking this.
https://mobile.twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/14462517624...
Re: Tesla’s headquarters will move to Austin
#110The official reason is because of housing: "To be clear we will be continuing to expand our activities in California," Musk said. "Our intention is to increase output from Fremont and Giga Nevada by 50%. If you go to our Fremont factory it's jammed." But, he added, "It's tough for people to afford houses, and people have to come in from far away....There's a limit to how big you can scale in the Bay Area." https://ww…