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SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

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Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#101
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you need energy for this to happen

To be fair, carbon capture for night time energy usage is a plausible path for us to solve the mismatch between when we use energy and when solar produces it. If we go that route as a society, turning a tiny percentage of that into rocket fuel is NBD, and probably better than burning kerosene which we currently cannot make via carbon capture.

i don't know any carbon capture technology that can be scaled sufficiently, in the proper time scales, that can do that in a way that is quick enough to do any significant dent to global warming.

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#102
post #99
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Generating rocket fuels with renewables will only be carbon neutral when we have an excess of renewable energy. Until then, either the solar panels would be better used to replace fossil fuel generation on the grid, or the synthesised methane would be better used to replace a more necessary use of fossil methane. It's hard to argue that a method of transport so incredibly energy inefficient will be a good thing until…

> Generating rocket fuels with renewables will only be carbon neutral when we have an excess of renewable energy Absolutely wrong. It is not a zero sum game. In terms of raw money and capability, we could have gone carbon neutral in the developed world at least decades ago. We could be aiming for that universally right now, the US alone has dumped trillions and trillions into war and pandemic response over just the l…

can you explain me how spacex/tesla are carbone neutral?

i agree they had plans to develop solar panels, but AFAIK, the company just collapsed and musk is being presently trialed for bailing out solarcity in an illegal way.

silly morality? can you further explain the morality of sending rich tourists in orbit when people are dying now out of climate change?

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To be fair, carbon capture for night time energy usage is a plausible path for us to solve the mismatch between when we use energy and when solar produces it. If we go that route as a society, turning a tiny percentage of that into rocket fuel is NBD, and probably better than burning kerosene which we currently cannot make via carbon capture.

i don't know any carbon capture technology that can be scaled sufficiently, in the proper time scales, that can do that in a way that is quick enough to do any significant dent to global warming.

No single tech is gonna be the solution here. It’s going to a mix of lowered consumption, more efficient tech, time shifting of demand (EVs selectively charging based on the sun), and a wide variety of energy storage tech.

Carbon capture is attractive because it can be used in places where energy density is a critical factor.

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

i don't know any carbon capture technology that can be scaled sufficiently, in the proper time scales, that can do that in a way that is quick enough to do any significant dent to global warming.

No single tech is gonna be the solution here. It’s going to a mix of lowered consumption, more efficient tech, time shifting of demand (EVs selectively charging based on the sun), and a wide variety of energy storage tech. Carbon capture is attractive because it can be used in places where energy density is a critical factor.

yes lower consumption plus stuff. where does space tourism fits in the lower consumption scheme? i just don't get it.

what is critical? for instance is food production (that will sharply decrease due to climate change) more critical than individual cars, for instance?

you also still don't answer the primary question i have as an engineer and physicist: which CC tech is gonna work/can be scaled?

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#106
post #99

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Generating rocket fuels with renewables will only be carbon neutral when we have an excess of renewable energy Absolutely wrong. It is not a zero sum game. In terms of raw money and capability, we could have gone carbon neutral in the developed world at least decades ago. We could be aiming for that universally right now, the US alone has dumped trillions and trillions into war and pandemic response over just the l…

can you explain me how spacex/tesla are carbone neutral? i agree they had plans to develop solar panels, but AFAIK, the company just collapsed and musk is being presently trialed for bailing out solarcity in an illegal way. silly morality? can you further explain the morality of sending rich tourists in orbit when people are dying now out of climate change?

>can you explain me how spacex/tesla are carbone neutral?

This is dishonest goalpost shifting. The original post by avian was engaging in forward looking discussion about future plans (which is necessary in any discussion about Starship since it isn't actually even in full operation yet, and even once it is there will be a host of Mars-related further systems to develop over the rest of the 2020s at least). The post said:

>avian: However Starship runs on methane and that should in theory be easy to produce from atmospheric CO2 and electricity from renewable sources.

You then responded with a nonsensical post on thermodynamics (and also incidentally were completely wrong about the rocket engine bit, the FFSC Raptor engines Starship uses have much better ISP then Merlin, but that isn't relevant either) which can only be read to imply that because of thermodynamic losses making methane somehow can't be green? But thermodynamics have absolutely nothing to do with it. We have non-greenhouse energy sources with highly positive power factors, and indeed there isn't any thermodynamic difference in harvesting incoming solar gain to useful ends before converting it back into heat vs... just letting it all become heat. In either case the net energy is the same and what determines the balance on Earth is how much is trapped vs how much is radiated.

>i agree they had plans to develop solar panels, but AFAIK, the company just collapsed and musk is being presently trialed for bailing out solarcity in an illegal way.

????? Are you somehow implying that it's impossible for SpaceX to just, you know, buy solar panels from one of the bajillion providers on the market? WTF does SolarCity/Tesla Energy have to do with any of this? They're entirely separate companies. And the trial is essentially a nothingburger at this point anyway. The absolute worst case for Tesla (not SpaceX) would be having to pay the couple of billion back in damages which with their stock and now income would be annoying but also trivial. But I doubt they get remotely 100% because it's very hard to argue a negative in shareholder suits. The civil court system in America operates primarily on the concept of damages, that you can be shown to have lost something. But Tesla stock is at an all time high, none of them can directly show any harm. Instead they have to argue that the lack of information was material (~85% of shareholders voted for it IIRC) and that if not for the purchase of SolarCity Tesla would be higher. But the defense will argue that Tesla Energy was indeed an important purchase strategically and for various reasons of direct value, some of which are definitely true (even diverting its workforce to work on Model 3, held up as an example of it not being worth as much, absolutely offered value to Tesla in the form of, well, faster Model 3 production). Courts don't generally like to get into positing alternate universes and operational details. The stuff that wasn't disclosed does seem potentially impactful enough that Elon/Tesla may face at least some damages, but I don't think it'd be the full purchase price.

None of which, again, has anything whatsoever to do with SpaceX.

>can you further explain the morality of sending rich tourists in orbit when people are dying now out of climate change?

LOL. Why the fuck are you here then posting on Hacker News? Why aren't you spending these precious minutes out saving the world? Working even a little bit more to earn a few extra dollars which could help starving families in Africa adapt to climate change or whatever? Have any hobbies? Ever buy any food beyond the most basic gruel necessary for continued bodily function? Etc etc.

That is all literally the 100% exact same thing: discussion about how to use one's luxury energy/mass budget. A core part of our entire effort as humans and human civilization has been to increase that, to get beyond the level of absolute subsistence and then be able to spend some of that on activities to our own goals for the future. If those activities don't cause harm to other people then it is absolutely bullshit moralizing to put your own subjective luxury goals above anyone else's. Morality should be about both making sure all costs are internalized and large scale actions to direct effort towards lifting up people, safety nets, protecting individual and group rights, dealing with extreme inequality, etc etc, just in general aiming to help every human maintain a reasonable level of life and have the opportunity to achieve some portion of their potential. And do it in a systemic fashion beyond individual choices.

Frankly you're a huge hypocrite to even bring it up, which is how these things typically go. You claimed in a previous post to have a PhD, which represents an enormous expenditure of resources that could have gone towards mitigating AGW or feeding the starving or whatever instead. You are a highly privileged person. And that's fine. You've no doubt worked very very hard even beyond your luck. But it should mean you think twice before turning right around and judging others. By world standards you are a rich person. Have you ever gone on a single vacation in your life? Why do you think the label "rich tourist" doesn't apply to you too?

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#107
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When we're drooling over these accomplishments, we should direct more of our praise to the thousands of really, really good engineers who did the work, built on the accumulated experience of millions, over decades. People seem to be very eager to ascribe success to heroic individuals, and while leadership is certainly something remarkable, I think that there is a severe imbalance in who we're thanking for these achie…

Or if you are going to pick an individual it should be Gwynne Shotwell at least.

Surely it should be the person who founded the company, put his money into it and whose vision drives it?

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#108

He had to wave his, had he not. Having said that, anybody got data on the pollution footprint of spaceflight. Since we are rapidly making the planet unlivable. Now the people in Louisiana want to move north unable to bear the heat.

Deep dive into the topic.

How Much Do Rockets Pollute? Are They Bad For Our Air? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C4VHfmiwuv4&t=3s

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#109

Tying it to a donation of USD 100mm to charity is a very good PR move. It's much harder to be upset about private space being a billionaire's club when society stands to gain from the ride.

Well, Blue Origin donated to Blue Origins' Club for the Future [1]. This was probably for the first flight only though.

I haven't found a public financial or integrated report about it though, so I can't vouch how these funds are spent and if this is a charity as in what most of us consider a charity.

[1]: https://www.blueorigin.com/news/club-for-the-future-selects-...

Re: SpaceX cleared for historic civilian launch next week

#110

3 days in space means that there must be facilities for eating, and toilet facilities. Are these detailed anywhere?

My main thought since they first announced this trip was, what are they going to do for 3 entire days? That's a lot of time for people who haven't been trained up the way astronauts have to potentially experience some extreme mental states. Being stuck in a tiny, tiny space with strangers and absolutely no way out seems like it could potentially cause issues even for people who have been psychologically screened. Hop…

I understand they will also be performing some science experiments. Also for this maiden flight, I bet they get plenty of attention from earth too.
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