But not by enough. This epidemic has a growth rate (R) of at least 2. The article claims "One degree Celsius increase in temperature and one percent increase in relative humidity lower R by 0.0383 and 0.0224, respectively." The March to July difference for New York City is only 19C. San Francisco, 9C. For both cities, humidity is relatively uniform year round. Even assuming this result is meaningful, it still leaves…
> For both cities, humidity is relatively uniform year round. There is no way humidity is relatively uniform year round in NYC. It gets very humid during the summer and very dry during the winter.
That's indoors. Outdoors, both cities are next to oceans, which tends to stabilize humidity.
I think that's likely, but it's understandably difficult to convince anyone to spend a few hundred million dollars to develop vaccine that might never be used.
Seems like a pretty good deal right now. Our economic system has structural pathologies that make it extremely difficult to meaningfully organize whole populations.
Yeah, ok, I think I agree with this. I have to believe that a sustained effort to develop coronavirus vaccines would bear fruit, whether actual vaccines or merely processes and knowledge, even if the particular motivating disease was no longer in circulation.
I am eagerly awaiting more studies into this subject. Something doesn't feel right about the relative lack of local transmission in e.g. Vietnam (temperatures over 30C at least in the south right now) compared to e.g. Italy (temperatures, what, 15C or lower in the north right now?). Cambodia's extremely low case count can easily be explained away by them not testing anyone, but Vietnam appears to be quite proactive w…
Vietnam has taken this epidemics 10x more seriously than Italy, that could just be the difference. They are testing as much as they can, everybody who had contact with infected people are tracked down and quarantined, streets where you had infected people are closed down and disinfected, almost everybody wear masks, you have temperature checks & hydroalcoholic gel available in public areas, schools are fully closed s…
I live in Vietnam, maybe you too. It is true that Government here is being very restrictive, controlling flights, quarantine people, etc... But its true that during early January, still many people coming from China came to Vietnam, also people comng from other south east asians. During second half of february there were no restrictions for visa exemption for tourists, thousands came from Spain, Italy, Germany, UK... What I mean if this was Italy, Austria, Norway, the virus would have been unstoppable. We would have case everywhere , thousadns, same should be Singapore, Thailanda, laos, etc... Its very clear that the virus can be transmited here? YES, of course but only thorugh very direct contact, what is that is happening. I am sure the weather played a big role and virus is not stable for long time when exposed. I am sure also, that all this here is creating a huge oportunity of propaganda for the socialist government, they make popultaion feel fear all the time, all the people here think they will die if they catch the virus so they see like sheeps the government as an angel. They are taking too strict measurements and the damage here economically speaking is already HUGE. An example how to manage this is Singapore. They always had imported cases, and few direct contact cases from this imported cases. But they still run the country as normal as possible with not too strict measures. Here they are literally crazy. Of course, personal opinion, cheers
Weather in Spain in the en of february is cold most fo the times. March is a changeable weather, can have very cold weeks, some few days with 25C and very sunny. But cold also. May will be a hot month.