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Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

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Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#101
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Forget money, I would like to know of one legit ICO. One single ICO that has a product. One.

I think the RNDR token is the only one I've seen that really makes sense. https://rendertoken.com/ . And the people behind it (Otoy) are very reputable.

There's no product though, just a roadmap. The first item of which is "raise ICO money"

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#102
post #95
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right, but at that point, what's the difference between an ICO and a security? If I was an investor, why would I want to go into an ICO vs traditional means?

A non-security ICO coin is not a share, it's a pre-order for a product that may or may not ever exist. It's like a Kickstarter project[1], except most of the backers don't actually want the backed product, they want to resell their pre-order to someone who does. At least, that's how it's supposed to work, in theory. In practice, it's a hotbed for scams. Most of the re-sales happen from one speculator to another, unti…

> it's a pre-order for a product that may or may not ever exist

I'm not even sure it's this. Pre-orders come with rules. ICOs do not. (Or more accurately, they make them difficult and unrewarding to enforce.)

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#103
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A non-security ICO coin is not a share, it's a pre-order for a product that may or may not ever exist. It's like a Kickstarter project[1], except most of the backers don't actually want the backed product, they want to resell their pre-order to someone who does. At least, that's how it's supposed to work, in theory. In practice, it's a hotbed for scams. Most of the re-sales happen from one speculator to another, unti…

> it's a pre-order for a product that may or may not ever exist I'm not even sure it's this. Pre-orders come with rules. ICOs do not. (Or more accurately, they make them difficult and unrewarding to enforce.)

Do they? I was under the impression that I could sell as many pre-orders for my anti-gravity skateboards, and my marks would have very little recourse, as long as I had the right disclaimers, and I don't sell to Europeans. [1] [2] [3] [4]

[1] Product might not perform as advertised.

[2] Product might not be delivered in the promised timeline.

[3] Product might not be completed at all, due to unfortunate circumstances, such as exhaustion of funds, acts of God, or the laws of physics.

[4] All pre-orders are final, no refunds.

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#104
post #98
post #23

You can see the state (volume, # daily users) of some of these promised "dapps" here: https://dappradar.com . It is indeed a barren wasteland. And when a new popular ICO comes along, the Ethereum network struggles and fees skyrocket. It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning: you could at least send messages and files across the netw…

> It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning That really depends on where you put 'beginning'. But more to the point, blockchains are useful now, just like the internet was. They're just not useful for all the things that are being promised (yet). Also, just like the internet wasn't. > Now, all we see is rampant fraud and a complete d…

[deleted]

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#105
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One promising example is SpankChain. It's a cryptocurrency specifically designed for the porn market. Traditionally, it's hard to make money in porn due to fraud and chargebacks. Most payment processors also won't touch you. But crypto has no chargebacks, so it's a natural fit. One could argue that if you have to dip down to the level of porn just to find some value, ICOs are worth dismissing. But I would say that it…

>One could argue that if you have to dip down to the level of porn just to find some value, ICOs are worth dismissing One could also argue that when porn starts adopting a technology, you should adopt it too because that tech is what is going to win. Porn has consistently chosen the winners and any tech that discourages or disallows porn's involvement loses.

Contrary to popular belief, porn was available on Betamax...

More to the point is there any evidence of the mainstream porn user actually adopting SpankChain (or any of the other supposed "blockchains for porn") as opposed to ICO profiteers adopting pornography as a relatively plausible potential future business model to sell unnecessary tokens at an implausibly high value?

Just had a look at the company page of the service. The CEO is a "decentralization laser gun" who boasts about how much money he raised in other ICOs (hmmm...) as well as his favourite computer games. In lieu of an actual testimonial, we get him in blockquote saying "we've honestly got the best team ever". Apparently this is one of the more promising ICOs and yet it's making me feel the SEC parody ICO site was a bit mild...

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#106
post #98
post #23

You can see the state (volume, # daily users) of some of these promised "dapps" here: https://dappradar.com . It is indeed a barren wasteland. And when a new popular ICO comes along, the Ethereum network struggles and fees skyrocket. It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning: you could at least send messages and files across the netw…

> It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning That really depends on where you put 'beginning'. But more to the point, blockchains are useful now, just like the internet was. They're just not useful for all the things that are being promised (yet). Also, just like the internet wasn't. > Now, all we see is rampant fraud and a complete d…

> They're just not useful for all the things that are being promised (yet). Also, just like the internet wasn't.

Exactly. The early internet was full of promises of taking over retail. None of that worked, at first. Instead the internet was useful for messaging and putting up personal websites. All the responsible people at the time kept whining -- how is it going to make money??

Well, people kept working on it. For years. Business cycles came and went. Eventually the promise worked out.

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#107
post #23

You can see the state (volume, # daily users) of some of these promised "dapps" here: https://dappradar.com . It is indeed a barren wasteland. And when a new popular ICO comes along, the Ethereum network struggles and fees skyrocket. It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning: you could at least send messages and files across the netw…

The early internet I used was just as barely usable as the Ethereum network is now. I remember being in the college computer lab and begging on simple things like a page to load. Just a few years later and I was able to watch videos on the computers streaming from the internet. Technology rapidly advances. I still realized back in those computer labs how revolutionary the internet was going to be, I feel the same way…

What attributes about crypto, makes you feel the same way? i.e. that it is going to be revolutionary

Because the example you said about the internet (from loading webpage to video streaming) does sound amazing. What's the "parallel" for crypto that you see?

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#108
post #98
post #23

You can see the state (volume, # daily users) of some of these promised "dapps" here: https://dappradar.com . It is indeed a barren wasteland. And when a new popular ICO comes along, the Ethereum network struggles and fees skyrocket. It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning: you could at least send messages and files across the netw…

> It's weird because people compare it to the early days of the Internet... but the early Internet was useful from its beginning That really depends on where you put 'beginning'. But more to the point, blockchains are useful now, just like the internet was. They're just not useful for all the things that are being promised (yet). Also, just like the internet wasn't. > Now, all we see is rampant fraud and a complete d…

10 years in and still nothing to show but vague promises about "things" being worked on. Ideas men all around and some fools are still giving away money for those ideas that will never see the light of day.

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#109
Like it or not blockhains are here to stay. Nobody is going to run behind VCs looking for elite money in 20 years from now. Isnt it obvious? Blockhains are going to redistribute the wealth from the wealthy elite few to the masses. More and more wealth is being generated from nowhere. Just because there are some spammy ICOs now doesn't mean it's the end of the blockhain and ICO. This is going to be another rare instance in which hacker news is going to be wrong like Dropbox incident. Mark my words.

Re: Half of ICOs Die Within Four Months After Token Sales Finalized

#110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a serious question as I want to make sure I'm reading this right: CryptoKitties really had only 274 users in the past 24 hours? The USV/Andreessen company?

Yes... and as someone mentioned, the amount is very low compared to it's peak - https://dappradar.com/app/3/cryptokitties (you can see all time history) - on 09/12/2017 it had around 14k daily users...

Even if the user counts are low it's pretty cool you can see a history of this stuff.
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