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Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

nytimes.com

101–110 of 119 posts

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#101
post #89
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The bond indenture kinda disagrees with your whole premise here.

Suppose, I buy a bond at 5% interest over 1 year and it defaults after making most of the payments. If I effectively only get 1% interest the IRS says I still owe taxes on that 1% as profit.

I don't understand what that has to do with your original premise.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#102
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Most legal systems disagree. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Default_(finance) Society does not exist to serve contracts - it is the other way around.

I'm sorry, what? Most legal system recognize default as a breach of contract. Also, contracts are between at least two parties. Which of these parties don't you consider being a part of society?

Most legal systems have procedures in place for when debt cannot be repaid. That is why I take issue with the statement that it 'must' be repaid.

"Which of these parties don't you consider being a part of society?" - This is a strawman. Both are part of society, but the contract between them may do more harm than good in total. And blindly holding contracts sacred quickly leads to bad outcomes (non-competes, EULAs, some NDAs, etc.)

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#103
post #101
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Suppose, I buy a bond at 5% interest over 1 year and it defaults after making most of the payments. If I effectively only get 1% interest the IRS says I still owe taxes on that 1% as profit.

I don't understand what that has to do with your original premise.

Profit and loss should be calculated from the actual investment not what you should get on paper.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#104
post #96
post #90

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It doesn't generate free money. On the contrary, it generates very expensive money. For this operation, the central bank received about $840 million in cash from GS, and PDVSA must now pay back $2.8 billion plus interest to GS. Whereas before this operation, PDVSA (owned by the Venezuelan state) had to pay back $2.8 billion plus interest to the central bank (also owned by the Venezuelan state).

But where did the central bank get the 2.8 billion USD? Venezuelan central bank can't print USD. So, net the country owes 2.8 billion USD + interest either way. It's just that the ultimate creditors have changed.

The 2.8 billion are PDVSA-issued bonds not USD, they only exist on paper and aren't worth a cent unless Venezuela can pay. Afaik Venezuela can print as many of those as it wants.

> So, net the country owes 2.8 billion USD + interest either way.

Venezuelas right hand owes money to Venezuelas left hand, both are Venezuela so Venezuela owes nobody. Now we have Goldman buying that dept from Venezuelas left hand and some more ( it can print as much as it wants of that ) for $5, Venezuela now owes 2.8 billion to someone else it has to pay back in the future in exchange for having $5 now. Those $5 benefit the current government and will affect any future government negatively.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#105
post #104
post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But where did the central bank get the 2.8 billion USD? Venezuelan central bank can't print USD. So, net the country owes 2.8 billion USD + interest either way. It's just that the ultimate creditors have changed.

The 2.8 billion are PDVSA-issued bonds not USD, they only exist on paper and aren't worth a cent unless Venezuela can pay. Afaik Venezuela can print as many of those as it wants. > So, net the country owes 2.8 billion USD + interest either way. Venezuelas right hand owes money to Venezuelas left hand, both are Venezuela so Venezuela owes nobody. Now we have Goldman buying that dept from Venezuelas left hand and some…

Venezuela cannot print USD and needs USD to pay coupons/principal.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#106
post #103
post #101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't understand what that has to do with your original premise.

Profit and loss should be calculated from the actual investment not what you should get on paper.

Just because Goldman Sachs would make an amazing profit if Venezuela actually made good on their debt doesn't mean they don't own Venezuela debt, right? "Goldman Sachs has not and is not lending Venezuela any money" is patently false.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#107
post #52

goldman's asset management arm bought the bonds for client portfolios- not goldman itself. I don't see any controversy here.

I agree with you, but also your comment made me think about the absurdity of how most people perceive banking. I.e. "if a bank does it to be profitable, it's bad; but if somebody else does it, it's OK".

if it reads that way, then know also that the bonds already existed. the IOU shifted from one entity to another.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#108
post #105
post #104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The 2.8 billion are PDVSA-issued bonds not USD, they only exist on paper and aren't worth a cent unless Venezuela can pay. Afaik Venezuela can print as many of those as it wants. > So, net the country owes 2.8 billion USD + interest either way. Venezuelas right hand owes money to Venezuelas left hand, both are Venezuela so Venezuela owes nobody. Now we have Goldman buying that dept from Venezuelas left hand and some…

Venezuela cannot print USD and needs USD to pay coupons/principal.

I may be missing something. They make USD by selling bonds, as long as they make more USD then the scheme has running cost they can increase the amount of USD they have right now by selling more bonds below value, leaving any future government in dept.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#109
post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Profit and loss should be calculated from the actual investment not what you should get on paper.

Just because Goldman Sachs would make an amazing profit if Venezuela actually made good on their debt doesn't mean they don't own Venezuela debt, right? "Goldman Sachs has not and is not lending Venezuela any money" is patently false.

GS is buying debt that someone else had. That other group loaned Venezuela money and is now selling the debt at a discount.

Critically if GS did not buy the debt Venezuela would have exactly the same money and exactly the same obligations so the fact GS 'owns' the debt or bob the accountant owns the debt is only important in so far as GS can apply more pressure.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#110
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Goldman Sachs has not and is not lending Venezuela any money. So, if they buy a bond from someone else at less than face value they have zero room to complain about an agreement that was not made with them. At best they are trying to make a quick buck off the person that sold them the bond and again have no room to talk with the issuer.

That's not really accurate. Goldman bought the bond from the original owner and is now a creditor. They can and will talk to the issuer about payment and have every right to demand full payment -- the obligation to pay is not diminished by the secondary market value. In my personal case, I had an opportunity to buy tax exempt New York General Obligation bonds at a discount during the 2008 financial crisis. I did so,…

The idea that debt is transferable like this is a specific rule under a specific system. You can also loan debt so the recipient has right of first refusal on all transfers and then they could have simply bought that debt at that same discount.

I am not saying the second system is universally better, but there is a reasonable argument for and against it.

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