Earlier quoted context omitted.
Because software has bugs, filesystem software has data corruption bugs, and two years of development with only a couple of months of serious real-world testing is tiny for something like that. What other filesystems have gone from zero to being the only supported option on their platform in such a short time? ZFS took almost five years. HFS+ was supported in parallel with HFS for a long time. "And why they'd be more…
> Once again I have to wonder: have you written software before? Yes, for several decades -- though not filesystems. And I trivially know that software can always have bugs. I also know software has to ship at some point, and that is a different point than the "we're 100% sure it has 0 bugs" point -- which is not possible anyway. I also don't believe in some cargo cult "optimal necessary period of testing" to make su…
Why should you believe me instead of the people writing APFS? You shouldn't. I'm stating my opinion on the matter. I'm allowed to disagree with them, and you're allowed to disagree with me, but "Apple thinks it's OK" is not going to convince me. If it was, then I wouldn't have formed a contrary opinion in the first place, since it's so obvious.
Further, we don't even know if the experts are confident. It's entirely possible this decision was made above them and forced on them. It's also entirely possible it wasn't, we just don't know.
In any case, if everything goes smoothly (and I hope it will), that doesn't disprove me. It could mean that you're right, or it could mean that I'm right and they got lucky. It could also mean that some people are losing data, but not visibly enough and not in large enough number to make the news.
You say "except, at worse, for some edge cases affecting tiny minorities/uncommon setups" as if that would justify Apple's approach. That's exactly the kind of thing I'm worried about here. I have no doubt it'll work for the common case. 99.9% of users will not suffer any problems. But I don't see why pushing APFS now as opposed to in a few years is worth the risk of that 0.1%.