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Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

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11–20 of 51 posts

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#11
post #8

[deleted]

If you think project managers are useless then I'd never want to work on a project with you.

Poor project managers are useless, but so is a poor developer, technician or any other specialty.

Great project managers are gold. Just as is a great dev.

Don't be so myopic.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#12

Every futurist claim I've ever heard has overestimated human capability and underestimated the impact of other things they possibly should have seen coming.

mmhm, for one thing, I wonder why there's no mention of what's going to replace/augment the relatively cheap fossil fuels of today. And point at some massive current developments in that area.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#13
Here is the actual report instead of just a summary, in case any one else was looking for it. To be honest i found the technical projections/forecasts to be quite spare on details (at least compared to the geopolitical ones; but I suppose that is to be expected)

http://www.acus.org/files/global-trends-2030-nic-lo.pdf

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#14
post #8

[deleted]

If you think project managers are useless then I'd never want to work on a project with you. Poor project managers are useless, but so is a poor developer, technician or any other specialty. Great project managers are gold. Just as is a great dev. Don't be so myopic.

[deleted]

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#15
post #5

Am I the only one who is pessimistic about a superhuman-capability future? Regardless of the accuracy of the predictions.

I can travel to almost any point on the planet in less than a day for the cost of a few days work. I can converse with billions of people instantly at almost zero cost. I have access to medical tech that makes it trivial for me to survive ailments that would have killed anyone in the last several million years. We can "see" hundreds of planets around other stars, and are finding more every day. These are just the first few that popped into my head.

Compared to all of human history, we are already superhuman.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#16
post #8

[deleted]

"As with the NIC’s previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future—which would be an impossible feat—but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications." Consideration of possible futures seems like a difficult but important task. You disparage PM, but in reality is this speculative task so different from the work that product designers/inventors do when they attempt to predict the behavior patterns and wants of future users?

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#17

I have the Washington Post from Jan 1, 2000. Below the fold is an article on what the future would hold tech-wise for a child born that day. By 2010, we were all supposed to be wearing wristbands with all of our medical information on it, so doctors would simply have to scan them to gain our history. We also wouldn't have cheap (meaning not thousands upon thousands of dollars) mobile computers with the ability to acc…

You really sucked the fun out of that.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#18
post #8

[deleted]

If you think project managers are useless then I'd never want to work on a project with you. Poor project managers are useless, but so is a poor developer, technician or any other specialty. Great project managers are gold. Just as is a great dev. Don't be so myopic.

> Great project managers are gold.

Don't know what the deleted comment said, but I second that. A good PM protects you from the nonsense that kills focus.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#19

What did forecast 2010 look like from 1990?

Honestly, not that far off... granted it seems to have more of a political perspective then technological: this is paragraph one from the section on Europe.

"First, European governments will be absorbed by the need to renegotiate the social contract, i.e., the entitlement programs of the social welfare state hammered out in the post-1945 period. This is not a choice but a necessity: a large, aging population sits atop a shrinking labor pool and declining birth rates, unemployment remains chronic, and growth rates are projected at 2-3 percent per year at best--acceptable by historical standards (as well as the standards of other countries) but short of public expectations. Labor market rigidities and lack of productivity growth will strengthen protectionist tendencies."

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#20
post #17

I have the Washington Post from Jan 1, 2000. Below the fold is an article on what the future would hold tech-wise for a child born that day. By 2010, we were all supposed to be wearing wristbands with all of our medical information on it, so doctors would simply have to scan them to gain our history. We also wouldn't have cheap (meaning not thousands upon thousands of dollars) mobile computers with the ability to acc…

You really sucked the fun out of that.

There are so many awesome and fascinating things being made and discovered now. I don't see why you need to go and make some ridiculous predictions about the future to be inspired as to where technology is leading us.
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