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If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

steveblank.com

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Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#12
post #9
post #4

> the bottleneck is no longer engineering, it’s ____ 90% of blog articles created in the last two years are probably dead on arrival

Made me wonder if there's a live-streaming equivalent for blogging... some platform that both ensures the reader knows the blogger is a person, and promotes a parasocial relationship. There's live-coding, so it's not totally a crazy idea.

Radio host

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#13

Not if you’re launching a startup based in the real world. Tell me how AI will make a laundromat business DoA? If your business is selling services at 40% margin that are entirely digitally based, then maybe you’ll need to cut some margin, sure.

A laundromat isn't a startup in that sense. There's no potential for exponential growth. A VC would never give you money to open a laundromat, you'd go to a bank and get a business loan for that.

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#14

I find the story of a startup founder who entirely missed the developments of the last two years and did absolutely nothing with AI difficult to believe. If that actually happened it's the exception, not the rule. Most startup founders are way more in-tune with AI developments. This makes it sound like Chris (the mentioned founder) is behind marketing people who use LLM bots to post slop on LinkedIn. In that case, ye…

Look around, you're most definitely in a bubble. LLMs are bleeding edge by themselves. Using agentic anything is mega bleeding edge. Having something actually working reliably is a tiny sliver of the bleeding edge audience. We have barely entered early adoption phase. Most AI users out there are Q&A'ing it and they have no idea what agents, tool calling or context compaction are.

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#15

Not if you’re launching a startup based in the real world. Tell me how AI will make a laundromat business DoA? If your business is selling services at 40% margin that are entirely digitally based, then maybe you’ll need to cut some margin, sure.

A laundromat isn't a startup in that sense. There's no potential for exponential growth. A VC would never give you money to open a laundromat, you'd go to a bank and get a business loan for that.

Doordash for laundry.

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#16
post #9
post #4

> the bottleneck is no longer engineering, it’s ____ 90% of blog articles created in the last two years are probably dead on arrival

Made me wonder if there's a live-streaming equivalent for blogging... some platform that both ensures the reader knows the blogger is a person, and promotes a parasocial relationship. There's live-coding, so it's not totally a crazy idea.

Isn't it just podcast but text

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#18
post #9
post #4

> the bottleneck is no longer engineering, it’s ____ 90% of blog articles created in the last two years are probably dead on arrival

Made me wonder if there's a live-streaming equivalent for blogging... some platform that both ensures the reader knows the blogger is a person, and promotes a parasocial relationship. There's live-coding, so it's not totally a crazy idea.

Your comment immediately made me think about the extreme opposite: a Davy Force-like, Infochammel-style livestream of a never-ending AI generated Ted Talk, offering delectable morsels of tech startup wisdom, but is ultimately zero calorie.

Re: If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

#20
The post reads like written by someone who read too much about AI rather than tried to build a startup with the help of AI that they advocate so much. I'm still bounded by system design, UX, pricing and feature decisions, if not by the speed of code output, by the review time for sure. Yes, iterating is faster, but we're nowhere near agentic AI loops spitting out working products. Technically it's possible, but then you just spent that time planning and writing the spec up front, which you'd interleave with dev time otherwise. If the product is a simple CRUD database skin, then yeah, chances of success are lower I think, but this is not the type of startups the post seems to write about.
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