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Khamenei Dead

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Re: Khamenei Dead

#12

Post by rvz »

Iranian media is very quiet today (due to the blackout), but until they confirms this, then this is complete speculation and unconfirmed. We just don't know.

I'd take the Israeli media with a grain of salt and they can still fake this, just like the Iranian media can do as well given that AI exists, it's very easy to fake.

One side is not telling the truth. Only time will tell.

Re: Khamenei Dead

#13

Post by pinewurst »

mrtksn wrote: post #9

So, what does that mean? Is Iran one of those regimes that fall when the leader is killed or is it one of those regimes that they just choose/install someone else and keep going? If it falls, will the democracy kick in or a civil war?

Excellent question - my understanding is that previous decapitation attacks were avoided due to the probability that the IRGC would take over as a simple dictatorship. Unclear what's changed now though.

Re: Khamenei Dead

#14

Post by cebert »

mrtksn wrote: post #9

So, what does that mean? Is Iran one of those regimes that fall when the leader is killed or is it one of those regimes that they just choose/install someone else and keep going? If it falls, will the democracy kick in or a civil war?

They assuredly have a succession plan. This won’t cause them to back down.

Re: Khamenei Dead

#16

Post by paganel »

Funny how the Americans/Israelis are still so enamoured with the Big-Bad-Boss military view of the world, they've killed so many Taliban leaders in the past that they (the Americans) ended up giving control of Afghanistan to the same Taliban.

The same goes for their (both the Americans' and the Israelis') obsession about Douhet and his Air Power thing, a long-running mistake on Americans' part. So much so that their (the Americans') bases in places like Manama (Bahrain) are now getting pounded by lousy Shaheed drones, with no AD to speak of, none at all. This is a huge fuck-up for the Americans/Israelis, I wonder when will their MSM start to write that reality down.

Re: Khamenei Dead

#17

Post by 7e »

helaoban wrote: post #8

So now heads of state are fair game for unilateral elimination without a declaration of war This should be fun.

Israel does not need a declaration of war to kill heads of state. Their targeted killing policy has been upheld by their own Supreme Court. Whether international law agrees is another matter.

The US has also done this since 1945 (at least) although executive orders have, at times, placed some restraint on the practice.

Re: Khamenei Dead

#19

Post by Bender »

mrtksn wrote: post #9

So, what does that mean? Is Iran one of those regimes that fall when the leader is killed or is it one of those regimes that they just choose/install someone else and keep going? If it falls, will the democracy kick in or a civil war?

So, what does that mean?

Their government is structured to resist this. There are another 20K Mullah's that succeed in their place. I have no idea how much experience they have or how that works in detail. Most of them at the moment AFAIK are in underground bunkers. I'm waiting for news on those.

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