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AI is going to kill app subscriptions

nichehunt.app

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Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#11
I wrote an article about this a few days ago that has been gaining a lot of traction: https://finbarr.site/2026/02/12/in-defense-of-saas.html

Point solutions are going to be free. Complex systems with support, integrations, switching costs, customer data, etc., are not going to be free.

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#12
I hadn't heard the app store submission stats. Does this answer Mike Judge's question of where the shovelware is [0,1]? Did we just need to wait a few months?

[0] https://mikelovesrobots.substack.com/p/wheres-the-shovelware...

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46262545

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#13
> People have been complaining about app subscription costs for years. There's that old complaint: "Why do I have to keep paying for software after I already paid $1000 for my iPhone?" That might actually become reality now.

I'm seriously wondering if this blog is just some rage bait or if that guy is really that dumb? I can't tell anymore.

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#14
post #11

I wrote an article about this a few days ago that has been gaining a lot of traction: https://finbarr.site/2026/02/12/in-defense-of-saas.html Point solutions are going to be free. Complex systems with support, integrations, switching costs, customer data, etc., are not going to be free.

Those platforms with a moat have some breathing room but it's only a matter of time. Remember Lotus Notes?

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#16

I wonder if this will wind up being true. Yes it’s cheaper to produce an app but most normies I know don’t really want to produce an app. No instead they want to consume a curated app. If anything we’ve moved the value proposition from “it exists” to “it exists and is good, especially compared to the competition.” App creators will be competing and copying each other. The software that can support change will probabl…

What the OP says someone else will do it cheaper not the normies will do themselves. We already have tons of free and cheap software for the sake of it without making any commercial sense, now we will have way more it.

It’s inevitable at this point.

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#17

Counterpoint, why do current state of the art generative AI companies, with the ability to use models that the public can't even access, and the ability to burn tokens at cost, still pay for very expensive Saas software?

their costs are bound to compute anyway, they don't mind huge compensations also - it's not much of a cost saving to re-build, even cheaply, inhouse Slack or whatever?

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#18
i don’t agree.

most apps i use are not AI clone-able yet with AI’s current faculties. i’m not going to switch to an ai vibe code of Google Photos, Tailscale/Mulvadd VPN, or YouTube. For those three apps, i pay for cloud infrastructure. sure, you can say with enough AI i could vibe code a Tailscale backend system, but it sounds like it would take more tokens than my $20/mo ChatGPT plan PLUS a mountain of cloud provider bills and such to host my backend.

i do pay for some premium apps that run entirely on device, like Halide Camera. But there again, is my $20/mo tokens enough to clone a high quality image processing app, to such a degree i will trust it to capture precious memories effectively? ehh.

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#19
post #5

People will still pay for convenience or functionality. If there is a feature that cannot be done on-device, and that on-Internet feature can be effectively moated and duplication-resisted, then if it’s a feature that people think they need they will absolutely open their wallets to pay for. The trick is finding that feature or attribute that cannot be done on-device, and then moating it against AI duplication. Do th…

Yes but they will pay less because there will 50 competitors who provide similar enough software for fraction of prices. Having a moar that’s not replicable for cheaper is rare

Re: AI is going to kill app subscriptions

#20
I fundamentally disagree with the premise:

"The math is simple: if it costs almost nothing to build an app, it costs almost nothing to clone an app. And if cloning is free, subscription pricing dies. We're already seeing this play out in the numbers. Apple's App Store got 557K new submissions in 2025, up 24% from 2024 (source: Appfigures). That's not because people suddenly got more creative. It's because building an app went from a $50K project to a weekend with Claude."

No. It's because people got more creative. There are tens of thousands of us who are absolutely on fire creating new products, better versions of old products, new product categories etc. Many of us are burnt out OG programmers who have rediscovered our love for programming. Now we can create without the drudgery.

You're about to see the most tech innovation our species has ever experienced. Hold on to your seat.

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