I suspect that this will drive the folks who insist LLM productivity gains are the real hallucinations truly bonkers.
IMO a productivity gain of about x2 seems about right!
Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
11–20 of 52 posts
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#12I suspect that this will drive the folks who insist LLM productivity gains are the real hallucinations truly bonkers.
No, the fact that Show HN is spammed with LLM-generated garbage is what drives me bonkers. The Show HNs are in fact living proof of how illusory LLM productivity gains are, because we are overwhelmed with trivial proof-of-concepts that have no merit, not even the merit of a human having put effort into creating something neat, rather than actually interesting software anybody would try or discuss.
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#13Probably the same happening for websites being built or apps being published.
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#14Would be nice to see some qualitative analyis to know if it's just slop, or actually more interesting projects. Not sure how to do that though. I think just looking at votes wouldn't work. I would guess more posts causes lower average visibility per post which should cause upvotes to slump naturally regardless of quality. Edit: maybe you could: - remove outliers (anything that made the front page) - normalise vote co…
a weighted sampling method is probably the best. Segment by time period and vote count or vote rate, then human evaluate. This could be done in a couple of hours and it gives a higher degree of confidence than any automated analysis.
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#15This is very similar to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46702099 posted 4 days ago.
And there is also this https://dewmal.medium.com/hacker-news-is-a-living-time-capsu...
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#16Do you have any numbers on the number that get some number of upvotes? What about a chart of upvotes on Show HN? I assume the vast, vast majority never get any upvotes.
I have a little bit of data on that from my post last summer. It's pretty easy to query the data: ryanfarley.co/ai-show-hn-data/
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#17I suspect that this will drive the folks who insist LLM productivity gains are the real hallucinations truly bonkers.
I feel like HN is quite divided about that actually, A couple of days I started a survey which I plan to run monthly to see how the community feels about "LLM productivity etc". Now I have ~250 answers, need a couple more to make it significant but as of now it looks like >90% report productivity gains from AI tools - happy if you participate, only takes a minute: https://agentic-coding-survey.pages.dev/
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#18This is very similar to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46702099 posted 4 days ago. And there is also this https://dewmal.medium.com/hacker-news-is-a-living-time-capsu...
And link to that analysis from the linked discussion https://snubi.net/posts/Show-HN/
which also includes the average voting scores, which actually fall at the same time the quantity increases (while the average story scores remain the same), which is interesting.
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#19I think I read some days ago another stat, that the average rating of “Show HN” posts is going down. So the pessimistic take is that people feel the bar to present their product in a “Show HN” is lowering. (edit: striked) Is it deliberate that this post appears as “Show HN” itself? I hope not to be too negative, but to qualify as such I would expect much more that a page with two graphs.
No, it wasn’t deliberate to be a Show HN itself, it seemed to be auto updated to that based on the prefix. I’ve tried updating it back.
Re: Show HN posts p/month more than doubled in the last year
#20I suspect that this will drive the folks who insist LLM productivity gains are the real hallucinations truly bonkers.
It's slop disguised as productivity.