I think AI compute is one of the biggest grifts of century. A capital that is being redistributed from talented people to this compute when we can clearly see it is not making a huge difference (oai vs deepseek) feels like a grift.
Abundant Intelligence
11–20 of 136 posts
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#12> If AI stays on the trajectory that we think it will, then amazing things will be possible. Maybe with 10 gigawatts of compute, AI can figure out how to cure cancer. At least the statement starts with a conditional, even if it is a silly one. If you know your growth curve is ultimately going to be a sigmoid, fitting a model with only data points before the inflection point is underdetermined. > If AI stays on the tr…
I think if you're critiquing AI, you should use harsher words. AI boosters are going to spam the replies to your comment in attempts to muddy the waters.
I'm an AI booster, but he's right, these models are in the sigmoid elbow and we're being hard-headed trying to push frontier models, it's not sustainable. We need to take a step back and work on the engineering of the systems around the frontier models while trying to find a new architecture that scales better.
That being said the current models are transformative on their own, once the systems catch up to the models that will be glaringly obvious to everyone.
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#13Earlier quoted context omitted.
years of consistent disappointment with the user experience, along with years of misleading internet propaganda dramatically overselling the quality and power of the underlying technology. it's a fucking dud.
It surprises me that people still believe this! I've seen AI deliver incredible value over the past year. I believe the application level is utilizing <.5% (probably less) of the total value that can be derived from current foundation models.
Based on your gung ho attitude I suspect that you are personally invested in "AI products" or otherwise work for a firm that creates "AI products"
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#14"As AI gets smarter, access to AI will be a fundamental driver of the economy, and maybe eventually something we consider a fundamental human right. Almost everyone will want more AI working on their behalf." I don't buy it at all. This sounds like complete and total bullshit to me.
Why do you feel that way?
ELIZA is that way ->.
Try asking "what evidence supports your conclusions?".
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#15Earlier quoted context omitted.
years of consistent disappointment with the user experience, along with years of misleading internet propaganda dramatically overselling the quality and power of the underlying technology. it's a fucking dud.
It surprises me that people still believe this! I've seen AI deliver incredible value over the past year. I believe the application level is utilizing <.5% (probably less) of the total value that can be derived from current foundation models.
What evidence supports your conclusions?
What evidence are you aware of that counters it?
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#16fix'd: Abundant Money
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#17> Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week.
The moat will be how efficiently you convert electricity into useful behavior. Whoever industrializes evaluation and feedback loops wins the next decade.
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#18Y2K errors in old COBOL code kick-started Indian IT sector, which then lead to immense economic progress and mass scale reduction in poverty. I hope LLMs pepper every thing they touch with many such errors, so that nations of Africa and poorer parts of Latin America (that can't do cheap manufacturing due to a lack of infrastructure and capital) can also begin their upwards economic journey by providing services to fix these mistakes.
In order to help reduce global poverty (much of which was caused by colonialism), it is the moral and ethical duty of the Global North to adopt LLMs on a mass scale and use them in every field imaginable, and then give jobs to the global poor to fix the resulting mess.
I am only 10% joking.
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#19AI will become "something we consider a fundamental human right", according to the guy that wants to sell you access to it
Re: Abundant Intelligence
#20My intelligence dropped a few points by reading anything from this charlatan.
It's intelligent to separate intelligence from power. At the macro level, intelligence is often overvalued.