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AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

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11–20 of 41 posts

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#11

Does it mean the number of companies newly adopting AI is dropping? That could mean that its just saturated so of course it would drop? Unless I am reading this graph wrong and it's actually the same companies that are now no longer adopting AI?

No I think the measure is "are using". I am actually quite flabbergasted that what seem like such a useful tool is not nearly as useful as you would believe.

"one question is whether a business has used AI tools such as machine learning, natural language processing, virtual agents or voice recognition to help produce goods or services in the past two weeks."

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#12
post #2

Almost all of the Enterprise/Corporate AI offerings are a significant step in cost that needs to bear actual fruit in order to be worthwhile, not to mention the compliance and security requirements most places have in order to get these things approved. We know there are use cases where AI makes sense, but we also know that there are many things that it can't do (at least right now). It makes sense that people aren't…

> that needs to bear actual fruit

It may be sufficient to obscure reality enough, so that it is difficult to disprove it bearing significant fruits.

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#13
post #5
post #3

That chart looks like the peak of inflated expectations leading into the trough of disillusionment to me, timing feels right too. https://share.google/images/9qsYWadQDDDlXHNQ2

The bigger question is whether it's going to disappear completely for the next 30 years, or if it's going to limp along, simmering on the back burner, just trying to optimize mattress sales.

Or more likely it’ll look like the e-commerce adoption plots with a giant pop in the late 90s and then a 20 year slog of consistent growth [1]

Pretty much exactly what the S-curve looks like.

[1]: https://www.marketplacepulse.com/stats/us-e-commerce-growth-...

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#15
post #2

Almost all of the Enterprise/Corporate AI offerings are a significant step in cost that needs to bear actual fruit in order to be worthwhile, not to mention the compliance and security requirements most places have in order to get these things approved. We know there are use cases where AI makes sense, but we also know that there are many things that it can't do (at least right now). It makes sense that people aren't…

Yeah. I worked in places where using LLMs actually made sense but in very limited scenarios (the results were then checked by humans anyway). But there are many places when using LLMs is actually hurting the business, especially if this is a business-to-customer offering and end users are seeing GenAI content. After the initial fascination, I guess many businesses realized that.

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#16
post #2

Almost all of the Enterprise/Corporate AI offerings are a significant step in cost that needs to bear actual fruit in order to be worthwhile, not to mention the compliance and security requirements most places have in order to get these things approved. We know there are use cases where AI makes sense, but we also know that there are many things that it can't do (at least right now). It makes sense that people aren't…

And they also try to minimize your use. Why do I need to stick "ultrathink" into my queries? That should just be the default and only mode!

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#17
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The bigger question is whether it's going to disappear completely for the next 30 years, or if it's going to limp along, simmering on the back burner, just trying to optimize mattress sales.

Personally i believe it will stay with us, for a long time. The benefit is real.

The benefit is real, but the profits are not. Companies ability to eventually make money off of this is what will decide if it stays around or not.

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#18
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The bigger question is whether it's going to disappear completely for the next 30 years, or if it's going to limp along, simmering on the back burner, just trying to optimize mattress sales.

Personally i believe it will stay with us, for a long time. The benefit is real.

Just as a decent working life improvement, not a new industrial revolution.

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#19
post #5
post #3

That chart looks like the peak of inflated expectations leading into the trough of disillusionment to me, timing feels right too. https://share.google/images/9qsYWadQDDDlXHNQ2

The bigger question is whether it's going to disappear completely for the next 30 years, or if it's going to limp along, simmering on the back burner, just trying to optimize mattress sales.

The truth is we have no idea. Personally I'm 100% sure the future will look nothing like what Altman is saying, but I'm a logical person so I have to admit there exist a minuscule probability these GenAI CEO's vision will come true. More rationally, I'd expect something like Meta with Metaverse - enormously missing the mark but still useful for many people. The actual usage will be a function of utility and price.

Re: AI Adoption Rate Trending Down for Large Companies

#20
Very anecdotally after recently having gone through the interview loop for the last 3 months (and finally landing something last week, yay), there was barely any talk about AI in any of my interviews, both from startups and from larger companies. There was 1 or 2 startups that had some trite things like "AI Native Engineer" for the role, but when I asked my interviewers what that even meant, they basically told me they had no idea and it was something management was pushing to attract people interested in building AI features.

I've done somewhere around 60 or 70 interviews the last 3 months and in every single one I asked "What role do you see LLMs serving in the day-to-day work at $COMPANY, and in the products you're building? And what are your personal thoughts on LLMs and how useful you've found them?". I was pleasantly surprised that nearly everyone had pretty level-headed views about the topic, mostly along the lines of "There's definite potential, it's very useful in some specific tasks, but it's not an all-intelligent panacea like it's being sold to everyone". This included the VP of Engineering at a very large, influential and successful company in the Netherlands who was extremely wary of LLMs. If I had to put a very non-scientific number on the views I encountered, I'd say roughly 80% of companies/teams I talked to were very neutral and balanced on AI, around 10% were fanatics about AI, and the remaining 10% were extremely anti-AI and didn't want anyone on their teams touching them for any of the work.

Caveats of course that this was entirely anecdotal to my experience in recent interviews, and this was all for companies in the Netherlands (both remote roles & local), but I think the tide is starting to turn slowly and people are sobering up a bit from all the incessant, endless hype regarding LLMs (AI is too broad a word with too many actually useful things and it's a shame it's been conquered by the recent LLM hype). You wouldn't think so reading through HN, but then again if you look through recent YC batches like 99% of them mention AI/LLMs in some capacity even when it makes no sense.

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