Except it might not be a bubble if companies are using it in production.
> Except it might not be a bubble if companies are using it in production.
"Being a bubble" and "companies are using it in production" are not mutually exclusive.
It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
11–20 of 36 posts
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#12Not going to happen, this bubble knows what it’s doing.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#13The author misses the forest for the trees. He's accurately articulating the current state of tools he's using but isn't acknowledging or extrapolating the next derivative I.e the rate of improvement of these tools.
That being said, everything is overvalued and a lot of this is ridiculous.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#14>> a legitimate, if incremental, step forward in developer productivity It’s not incremental it’s revolutionary. Nothing has come before that has such power and capability.
So where is the product? Why haven't the vibecoders built a browser or a kernel or anything remotely ambitious? They have had years at this point. With their fabled productivity increase, making a better kernel than Linux in that time should be child's play. So where is it?
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#15The author misses the forest for the trees. He's accurately articulating the current state of tools he's using but isn't acknowledging or extrapolating the next derivative I.e the rate of improvement of these tools. That being said, everything is overvalued and a lot of this is ridiculous.
> He's accurately articulating the current state of tools he's using but isn't acknowledging or extrapolating the next derivative
Extrapolation would reasonably show that they're reaching an asymptote, graph cost vs improvement on a chart; you'll see that they are not proportional.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#16Except it might not be a bubble if companies are using it in production.
People were buying houses in 2006.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#17>> a legitimate, if incremental, step forward in developer productivity It’s not incremental it’s revolutionary. Nothing has come before that has such power and capability.
Then why are AI-based contributions in the open source space generally so low quality that they get rejected, while the biggest observable effect of big tech investments is the addition of AI buttons everywhere that sometimes don't even do anything other than annoy users? Aside from AI-powered tech support leading to loss of customers and reputation, see Cursor AI.
If it's revolutionary as you say, why are companies laying off people when higher productivity per employee should mean that more employees increase the advantage from AI? Why aren't early adopters running circles around competitors and producing larger, more frequent and/or higher quality updates and products in a measurable way?
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#18>> a legitimate, if incremental, step forward in developer productivity It’s not incremental it’s revolutionary. Nothing has come before that has such power and capability.
So where is the product? Why haven't the vibecoders built a browser or a kernel or anything remotely ambitious? They have had years at this point. With their fabled productivity increase, making a better kernel than Linux in that time should be child's play. So where is it?
AI is an assistant not a magician.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#19The AI "bubble" if you call it a bubble, it currently provides most of the oxygen for transistor improvements. Had it not been AI, Smartphone and PC alone would not be able to scale the 2 - 2.5 years improvement cycle alone.
And as someone who have seen the PC, Internet and Smartphone cycle. I will say ChartGPT ( or AI ) adoption cycle is way faster than anything I have seen.
Re: It Would Be Good If the AI Bubble Burst
#20A bubble assumes there is a bell curve to the system. So far, all graphs show it is going up, either linear or curving upwards. This shows there hasn't been a hint (yet) at slowing down. Until there is some sign, don't assume a bubble.
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