"Vibe coding" is only a few months old. ChatGPT was released less than three years ago. The singularity is just getting started.
History of computer chess:
- 1957 - early programs that played chess very badly. Excessive optimism
- 1967 - programs that play amateur chess
- 1976 - first tournament win
- 1980s - top programs not much stronger, but now running on PCs.
- 1996 - first win against grandmaster
- 2005 - last lose by top program against grandmaster
- 2025 - all the good programs can trounce any human.
LLMs are probably at the 1996 level now.