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How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

dealbook.nytimes.com

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Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#11
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TL;DR 300m + 700m in Facebook shares in April (much less today) was careless and very very very very veryvery shitty deal, for a service with no revenue, albeit hot. So learn from this.

Instagram will go down as being a shitty deal for both sides. An arranged marriage, as it were.

Even if FB goes bust tomorrow, $300M seems like a pretty damn good deal for Instagram on its own.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#12
The 30/70 split is a nice structure that takes into account the uncertainty of the values involved. Seems like a good deal for Instagram and a sane way for Facebook to do it. Imagine if the stock had shot up to 70, or if it falls to 10. Seems like a great structure to me.

It's hard to imagine that the two sides weren't fully aware of the uncertainties involved during the discussion. These are smart folks. This article seems like it's just an opportunity for the author to show off his knowledge of alternative structures.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#13
post #4
post #2

TL;DR 300m + 700m in Facebook shares in April (much less today) was careless and very very very very veryvery shitty deal, for a service with no revenue, albeit hot. So learn from this.

Instagram will go down as being a shitty deal for both sides. An arranged marriage, as it were.

Arranged marriages are equally happy as marriages "for love". http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncg/f/J_Myers_Marriage_2005.pdf

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#14
post #6
post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Instagram will go down as being a shitty deal for both sides. An arranged marriage, as it were.

Why do you think this will end up being a shitty deal for Instagram?

I guess it really depends. I, personally, would never see a 300 million plus exit as a shitty deal, however they could have been the next $n billion dollar IPO.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#16
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My guess would be the ever-declining value of FB stock.

I assume they sold it right away, though I guess there's no way to know.

My guess is that they haven't acquired it yet since the deal isn't closed. The deal was also pre-IPO, so I believe they'd be subject to the same freeze.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#17
post #10

This article was definitely interesting reading for someone that knows nothing about acquisitions, not so much for the particular fate of Instagram but for the details of how stock/cash deals can work and the stock collar possibilities...

During the first bubble, one of the companies I worked for used just about all of their IPO money to buy another company.

The buzz was that the owner of the company being bought refused to take any stock and only took cash (smart move), and within a month or two of the purchase, most of the acquired people had already left. The company I had worked for ended up selling the remaining assets for something like 1/40th of what they paid a year later.

Considering my company's stock price tanked on day one of the IPO and continued to go down, the only winner in that deal was the guy who took cash for his company.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#18

The 30/70 split is a nice structure that takes into account the uncertainty of the values involved. Seems like a good deal for Instagram and a sane way for Facebook to do it. Imagine if the stock had shot up to 70, or if it falls to 10. Seems like a great structure to me. It's hard to imagine that the two sides weren't fully aware of the uncertainties involved during the discussion. These are smart folks. This articl…

I agree. However, I definitely did not know about those alternative structures.

Re: How Instagram Could Have Cut a Better Deal

#19
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My guess would be the ever-declining value of FB stock.

I assume they sold it right away, though I guess there's no way to know.

I'd sell right away, even only 300 million is better than the nothing instagram has made since it was created.
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