Also, "model innovation" strikes me as missing the point these days. The models are really good already. The majority of applications is capturing only a tiny bit of their value. Improving the models is not that important because model capability is not the bottleneck anymore, what matters is how the model is used. We just don't have enough tools to use them fully, and what we have is not even close to penetrating the market, while all the dominant tools are garbage. Of course application innovation is the place to be!
Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
11–20 of 45 posts
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#12I read the article and while it doesn’t say this nor imply it, this is my takeaway, though correct me if I’m wrong: Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSee…
Businesses are definitely rearranging themselves structurally around AI - at least to try and get the AI valuation multiplier and Executives have levels of FOMO I've never seen before. I report to a CTO and the combination of 100,000 foot hype combined with down in the weeds focus on the "protocol de jour" (with nothing in between that looks like a strategy) is astounding. I just find it exhausting.
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#13I read the article and while it doesn’t say this nor imply it, this is my takeaway, though correct me if I’m wrong: Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSee…
You're just showing how disconnected from the progress of the field you are. o3/o4 aren't even in the same universe as anything from open source. Deepseek R1, LLama 4? Are you joking?
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#14One thing this article gets wrong is how OpenAI isn’t an application layer company, they built the original ChatGPT “app” with model innovation to power it. They’re good at UX and actually have the strongest shot at owning the most common apps (like codegen).
It's also janky as hell and crashes regularly.
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#15Frankly it's bordering on irresponsible to not be targeting acquisition in this climate.
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#16Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#17One thing this article gets wrong is how OpenAI isn’t an application layer company, they built the original ChatGPT “app” with model innovation to power it. They’re good at UX and actually have the strongest shot at owning the most common apps (like codegen).
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#18I read the article and while it doesn’t say this nor imply it, this is my takeaway, though correct me if I’m wrong: Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSee…
I agree with this but I think it's still an open question if anyone can build a successful product on top of the tech. There will likely be some but it feels eerily similar to the dot com boom (and then bust) when the vast majority of new products built on top of this (internet) technology didn't produce and didn't survive. Most AI products so far are fun toys or interesting proofs, and mediocre when evaluated agains…
It is still simply too early to tell exactly what the new steady state is, but I can tell you that where we're at _today_ is already a massive paradigm shift from what my day-to-day looked like 3 years ago, at least as a SWE.
There will be lots of things thrown at the wall and the things that stick will have a big impact.
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#19I read the article and while it doesn’t say this nor imply it, this is my takeaway, though correct me if I’m wrong: Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSee…
>Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSeek or LLAMA) hence why it’s becoming a commodity. You're just showing how disconnected from the progress of the fiel…
While certainly newer models are more capable on the whole, it doesn't mean I need all that capability to accomplish the business goal.
Re: Acquisitions, consolidation, and innovation in AI
#20I read the article and while it doesn’t say this nor imply it, this is my takeaway, though correct me if I’m wrong: Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSee…
>Model innovation is effectively converging and slowing down considerably. The big companies in this space doing the research are not making leap over leap with each release, and the downstream open source projects are coming closer to the same quality or in fact can produce the same quality (e.g DeepSeek or LLAMA) hence why it’s becoming a commodity. You're just showing how disconnected from the progress of the fiel…