AI is turning us into glue
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Re: AI is turning us into glue
#12Re: AI is turning us into glue
#13Re: AI is turning us into glue
#14Really enjoyed this post. > Putting aside existential risks, I don't see a future where a lot of jobs don't cease to exist. I'm personally betting on the plateau effect with LLMs. There are two plateaus I see coming that will require humans to fix no matter what we do: 1. The LLMs themselves plateau. We're already seeing new models get worse, not better at writing code (e.g., Sonnet 3.5 seems to be better than 3.7 at…
I see it a bit like the creator economy, where you have these maker vs consumer tranches of people.
Re: AI is turning us into glue
#15Really enjoyed this post. > Putting aside existential risks, I don't see a future where a lot of jobs don't cease to exist. I'm personally betting on the plateau effect with LLMs. There are two plateaus I see coming that will require humans to fix no matter what we do: 1. The LLMs themselves plateau. We're already seeing new models get worse, not better at writing code (e.g., Sonnet 3.5 seems to be better than 3.7 at…
- "Profession", by Isaac Asimov: http://employees.oneonta.edu/blechmjb/JBpages/m360/Professio...
- "Pump Six" by Paolo Bacigalupi (the story of that title)
Re: AI is turning us into glue
#16"I like fixing thorny bugs". Not me. Any tool that can get me to the solution faster is always welcome. IME, AI does well handling the boring parts.
Re: AI is turning us into glue
#17AI is unlikely to take away jobs from software engineers. There’s no natural upper bound on the amount of software people can consume - unlike cars, food or houses. Software engineers ultimately are people with “will to build”. Just as hedge fund people have a “will to trade”. The code or tooling is just a means to an end.
Huh, I have the opposite feeling- that people already have most of the software they want a this point.
Your car has way more code than a decade ago and so does your TV.
These things might make you miserable but it’s still “demand” in the economic sense of the term. It keeps developers employed.
Re: AI is turning us into glue
#18Power looms were probably the first devices like this. Somebody has to thread the loom, but then it mostly runs by itself.[1] Production lines with lots of stations will have shutdowns, where a drill bit broke or there's dirt on a lens or some consumable ran out. Exceptions are hard to automate, and factory design focuses on minimizing exceptions and bypassing stuck cells.
It's helpful to understand how a factory works when watching how software development is changing. There's commonality.
So the phrase "vibe coding" is only two months old.[2] How widespread will it be in two years?
Re: AI is turning us into glue
#19Re: AI is turning us into glue
#20The only difference in a “vibe coding” world is that now these “instructions” that we pass to the computer are in English, not Java.