Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

AI will be dead in five years

erikgahner.dk

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

11–20 of 41 posts

Re: AI will be dead in five years

#13

Post by baal80spam »

TLDR version:

This is not to say that we will not talk about AI at all in five years, in the same way that we still talk about big data today, only that we will not talk about AI in five years because of its success.

Re: AI will be dead in five years

#14

Post by alephnerd »

rkozik1989 wrote: post #9

Ah the classic make a bold prediction to grab headlines because it doesn't matter if you're right or wrong, memory's are short.

Read the article.

It's talking about how what we can "AI" today will be treated as bog standard - the same way this happened with Recommender systems 3-4 years ago, Neural networks 4-7 years ago, statistical learning (eg. SVM) 7-10 years ago, etc.

The title is a reference to a fairly prominent article about "Big Data" that was based on the same premise.

Re: AI will be dead in five years

#16

Post by Cthulhu_ »

DebtDeflation wrote: post #3

>I doubt we will talk a lot about AI in five years because AI will be an integral part of how people search for and interact with information. Or, if we talk about AI in five years, it will most likely refer to different technologies and solutions than what we denote as AI in 2024. It's the latter. In 5 years, what we consider to be AI today will just be standard product features and the AI being discussed will be so…

AI as it's called today is an improvement over an existing thing, e.g. image generators, conversational interfaces, customer support automation, that kinda thing; that aspect of it won't go away, especially not if "good enough" becomes/stays affordable.

But whatever we have in five years will probably take over the "AI" moniker, like how ML had it ~10 years ago.

Re: AI will be dead in five years

#17

Post by IshKebab »

brookst wrote: post #4

Yep. We rarely talk about “the internet” because everything is the internet. We even more rarely talk about transistors, outside of tech enthusiast circles. And electrons get even less attention. AI is an ingredient that will power products and experiences, and we will talk about those.

I doubt it. A recommender system is not "obviously" AI - it could easily be just static lists, or based on viewing counts (wouldn't be surprised given how bad Netflix's algorithm is).

LLMs and gen AI are totally different. They are very clearly AI. You're literally having a conversation with a computer! I don't think people will stop calling it AI.

Re: AI will be dead in five years

#18

Post by asdev »

AI right now reminds me exactly of the blockchain/crypto hype. People trying to apply blockchain to everything, calling something a "blockchain" based solution. However, blockchain based solutions never panned out, as it was an attempt to apply technologies to use cases rather than solving actual problems. Now when you say "blockchain based X", people will scoff at you. AI will follow the same path I believe, as LLMs are less applicable to solve meaningful problems than expected.
Post reply on HN