Live data from Hacker News

$10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025

garymarcus.substack.com

11–14 of 14 posts

Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025

#11
post #7
post #2

Generously, Musk has never been serious about making predictions. When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it.

> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…

ima guess most billionaires are narcissists. and this media oxygen stuff i mean it works right. to do able to get attention of the press and that many people is a only reserved for a very small amount of people on this earth.

Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025

#13
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…

ima guess most billionaires are narcissists. and this media oxygen stuff i mean it works right. to do able to get attention of the press and that many people is a only reserved for a very small amount of people on this earth.

You mean the most well known billionaire are more likely to be narcissists.

Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025

#14
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…

ima guess most billionaires are narcissists. and this media oxygen stuff i mean it works right. to do able to get attention of the press and that many people is a only reserved for a very small amount of people on this earth.

I guess one way to get data on that would be to ask people “Outside of tech and Buffet crew, how many billionaires can you name?”
Post reply on HN