Generously, Musk has never been serious about making predictions. When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it.
> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…
$10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025
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Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025
#12For at least 80 years that has changed weekly and continues to do so.
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Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025
#13Earlier quoted context omitted.
> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…
ima guess most billionaires are narcissists. and this media oxygen stuff i mean it works right. to do able to get attention of the press and that many people is a only reserved for a very small amount of people on this earth.
Re: $10M says we won't see human-superior AGI by the end of 2025
#14Earlier quoted context omitted.
> When he says stuff like this he just means he's excited about it. That's an overly charitable interpretation of what he's doing. The pattern that I've observed is: 1) he's a narcissist who always wants to be in the news and/or 2) he's trying to distract from something. He can't stand it when the press moves on from him. His MO is to wait for a week or two and then throw out something outlandish to suck up the media…
ima guess most billionaires are narcissists. and this media oxygen stuff i mean it works right. to do able to get attention of the press and that many people is a only reserved for a very small amount of people on this earth.