Live data from Hacker News

Why are there so many methane satellites?

heatmap.news

11–20 of 78 posts

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#12
post #3

I get that methane has a strong greenhouse effect, and that climate models need to account for its concentration to make accurate predictions. But in terms of climate activism, isn't worrying about methane mostly a red herring? My understanding is that it only stays in the atmosphere for 12 years or so. It doesn't accumulate over centuries the way CO2 does. This means even if we manage to permanently reduce the amoun…

That’s exactly why it’s also worth targeting. Its short residence time means that addressing methane emissions could make a meaningful impact. It’s not zero sum - we should address the low hanging fruit of methane emissions while also decarbonizing.

You can also repurpose oil and gas industry people and equipment as part of this work (the Inflation Reduction Act appropriated funds for this). This provides a graceful rolloff for these folks and the industry as oil for energy is sunset.

https://www.doi.gov/pressreleases/through-president-bidens-b...

https://www.energy.gov/fecm/funding-notice-ira-mitigating-em...

https://www.propublica.org/article/the-rising-cost-of-the-oi...

(US centric, but the model transfers)

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#13
post #9

Because these are either spy sats or even weapons in space disguised as "methane detectors".

“Many” seems to mean only a dozen-odd. Which seems like an awfully small number to image the entire earth at meaningful levels of resolution or frequency.

Which also seems to be the article’s lesson.

FWIW, it looks like Starlink alone is up to 5,942 satellites in orbit [0] these days

[0] https://planet4589.org/space/con/star/stats.html

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#14
With permafrost thawing and arctic warming releasing methane clathrates, methane has been on my mind for a while. I wonder if these satellites will also be useful in detecting dispersed wide-area releases like these?

The current publicly available tools like https://methane.jpl.nasa.gov/ seem to focus on showing methane plumes. Which is good & something we are better positioned to do something about. But I wonder if these tools might help us see both impact of the already underway colossally fast climate change we are undergoing, which will only speed up all the faster as these trapped sources make their way out to the atmosphere.

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#16
Putting aside the climate aspects and just concentrating on companies that are trying to identify methane leaks: If I have a device that can accurately see methane leaks, I am very surprised it's really more economical to put them on satellites than to operate them locally. Yes, I get that you can have one device in orbit that can do the job for multiple companies, but satellites are just fantastically expensive. Unlike photography, where the alternative is to use an also-expensive airplane, why can't companies just survey from the ground?

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#17
post #3

I get that methane has a strong greenhouse effect, and that climate models need to account for its concentration to make accurate predictions. But in terms of climate activism, isn't worrying about methane mostly a red herring? My understanding is that it only stays in the atmosphere for 12 years or so. It doesn't accumulate over centuries the way CO2 does. This means even if we manage to permanently reduce the amoun…

That's a misunderstanding. The methane stays in the atmosphere a few years until it reacts with oxygen to CO2. So first you have the multiple times worse effect of CH4 and then you're left with CO2, which is still a greenhouse gas. You're left with CO2 either way, even when you burn the methane. That's why it's so bad. And that's why actually when companies or politicians tell you about "clean" gas, it's very mislead…

Sure, but the question is still whether that carbon came from a fossil source or was part of the cycle to begin with.

Let's say a cow eats grass, produces methane, the methane gets converted into CO2, the grass grows back. No net increase in CO2.

If, on the other hand, the methane came from natural gas, you have permanently added carbon to the cycle.

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#18
post #8
post #3

I get that methane has a strong greenhouse effect, and that climate models need to account for its concentration to make accurate predictions. But in terms of climate activism, isn't worrying about methane mostly a red herring? My understanding is that it only stays in the atmosphere for 12 years or so. It doesn't accumulate over centuries the way CO2 does. This means even if we manage to permanently reduce the amoun…

I think the idea is even in those 12 years, it's way more damaging than CO2 will be. Over 100 years, it is 28 times more damaging than C02, despite not being in the atmosphere for most of that time. Plus doesn't it just break down into CO2 anyway, meaning that methane does its direct damage, plus creates more CO2.

It only creates "more CO2" if the carbon atom wasn't part of the carbon cycle to begin with. That's the case for natural gas, but not for biological sources.

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#19
post #3

I get that methane has a strong greenhouse effect, and that climate models need to account for its concentration to make accurate predictions. But in terms of climate activism, isn't worrying about methane mostly a red herring? My understanding is that it only stays in the atmosphere for 12 years or so. It doesn't accumulate over centuries the way CO2 does. This means even if we manage to permanently reduce the amoun…

That’s exactly why it’s also worth targeting. Its short residence time means that addressing methane emissions could make a meaningful impact. It’s not zero sum - we should address the low hanging fruit of methane emissions while also decarbonizing.

Wouldn’t that just embolden folks to emit more co2?

Re: Why are there so many methane satellites?

#20

Putting aside the climate aspects and just concentrating on companies that are trying to identify methane leaks: If I have a device that can accurately see methane leaks, I am very surprised it's really more economical to put them on satellites than to operate them locally. Yes, I get that you can have one device in orbit that can do the job for multiple companies, but satellites are just fantastically expensive. Unl…

It's probably simply efficiency. You can check an entire pipeline faster from space than from the air, and from the air vs. the ground. Those efficiencies save a fair bit of money, and probably also lead to earlier detection.

And while they are expensive, we're talking about low single-digit millions of dollars for a satellite which has a lifespan of 5+ years. Relatively inexpensive for the companies who would want to use them.

Post reply on HN