Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your first point would be a contributor to a surge coincident with lockdowns, although even for that cohort some/many of those would not have occurred straight away but may have occurred outside that time window (though accelerated). None of your other points, regrettable, discomforting and painful though they were, could have caused that surge in excess deaths. I get that you hated the lockdowns. I’d argue most peop…
Well. All animal studies on captivity show negative health effects. All human studies show that stress has negative health effects, and that exercise and time spent outdoors have positive health effects. To the extent that being sedentary and stressed contributed to obesity and/or high blood pressure, there is certainly a plausible causal mechanism worth further study. Additionally, there is evidence of increases in…
If anything, what this would imply is that we haven't seen yet the completion of excess deaths related to this era. But proving it will become increasingly more difficult as the long-tail blends into the noise.