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A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

cia.gov

11–20 of 49 posts

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#11
post #9
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It says in the PDF: 2009

Thank you! Added. Next question: should we link directly to the pdf?

I think it's fine like this as it facilitates people finding other docs in their collections.

Without understanding OPs reason to share this link it's hard to make a call on that.

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#12
post #4

> 2003 Iraq’s WMD Programs > Saddam failed to cooperate with UN inspectors because he was continuing to develop weapons of mass destruction. Apparently this "analysis" was written in 2009, a good 6 years after the start of the Second Iraq War, and still the CIA followed the political manoeuvre of not challenging their leaders' lies about Iraq's WMD. This is one of the most vulnerable points of any "intelligence" agen…

I love the explanation as to what 'really' happened.

>If Iraqi authorities had destroyed their WMD stocks and abandoned their programs, they might refuse to fully acknowledge this to the UN to maintain Iraq’s regional status, deterrence, and internal regime stability.

How about

> If the current US Administration needs to invade Iraq for their domestic political agenda and requires a narrative of existing WMD stockpiles. They will ignore any evidence that counters this, and even create a completely fictional narrative to justify the invasion.

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#13
post #3

I understand this document is from 2009, not secret, and probably contains information known elsewhere. Still, what is the intent of the CIA in publishing this on the open web? I assume they would be able to distribute this to US nationals even in other orgs through internal networks.

Recruitment, they need to be cool to attract the people they want as employees

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#14
post #10
post #3

I understand this document is from 2009, not secret, and probably contains information known elsewhere. Still, what is the intent of the CIA in publishing this on the open web? I assume they would be able to distribute this to US nationals even in other orgs through internal networks.

Maybe it’s bad advice that ne’er-do-wells will try to employ, leaving them susceptible to the CIA.

Wouldn't that be too obvious, wouldn't it be better to plan bogus info elsewhere, especially for and org capable of doing so?

Wouldn't it be dangerous to publish bogus info that can be picked up by nationals and allies, especially since it is branded?

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#15
post #4

> 2003 Iraq’s WMD Programs > Saddam failed to cooperate with UN inspectors because he was continuing to develop weapons of mass destruction. Apparently this "analysis" was written in 2009, a good 6 years after the start of the Second Iraq War, and still the CIA followed the political manoeuvre of not challenging their leaders' lies about Iraq's WMD. This is one of the most vulnerable points of any "intelligence" agen…

Sadam tried to be ambiguous about having WMDs so he could used them as a deterrent without the problems with actually deploying them (kind of like Israel does, but less credible). Sadam was violating UN orders in regards to WMDs, but there was no automaticity so the US was not actually supposed to go in. I think it's plausible the UN would have gone in anyway if the US had waited.

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#16
Personally I prefer the bureaucratic sabotage manual the OSS (the predecessor of the CIA) published during WWII, to advise Nazi-occupied workers on how to slow business to a crawl. Which, funny enough, sometimes reads like a description of bad management practices in general!

https://www.hsdl.org/c/abstract/?docid=750070

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#18
post #4

> 2003 Iraq’s WMD Programs > Saddam failed to cooperate with UN inspectors because he was continuing to develop weapons of mass destruction. Apparently this "analysis" was written in 2009, a good 6 years after the start of the Second Iraq War, and still the CIA followed the political manoeuvre of not challenging their leaders' lies about Iraq's WMD. This is one of the most vulnerable points of any "intelligence" agen…

[dead]

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#19
post #5

I think fundamentally, if you have incomplete information and have to make some actions or judgements, either you are: 1. doing things to reason about or uncover more useful datapoints to increase certainty 2. you are accepting the probability that you are right/wrong at face value The direction in which you decide to uncover datapoints is the "bias" that they are talking about. This process if further influenced by…

[dead]

Re: A Tradecraft Primer (2009)

#20
post #4

> 2003 Iraq’s WMD Programs > Saddam failed to cooperate with UN inspectors because he was continuing to develop weapons of mass destruction. Apparently this "analysis" was written in 2009, a good 6 years after the start of the Second Iraq War, and still the CIA followed the political manoeuvre of not challenging their leaders' lies about Iraq's WMD. This is one of the most vulnerable points of any "intelligence" agen…

Probably for the best.

Don’t really want your various 3 letter agencies operating apart from elected leaders.

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