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Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

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Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#11
post #3

It's a likely theory. But economics teaches us when a player overcharges, others will step in to undercut and take all the market share. So, we're at a point where we need to admit that mantra isn't true in the modern age, or admit that we've done a terrible job at preventing effective monopolies/duopolies from forming.

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Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#12

[flagged]

Good, they are following Argentina's politicians' recipe to the letter.

Here in Argentina we even have politicians that affirm "Saying that printing money causes inflation it totally false" https://www.pagina12.com.ar/diario/economia/2-190369-2012-03...

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#13
post #9
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That is what the first two weeks of economics teaches. The rest of the curriculum is about how wrong that is.

Perhaps you went to a better school than I did. I only did 101 and 102, but even then the professor always spoke in terms like we were some old village, probably to make things easier to understand. But obviously those analogies don't apply to the world today, mostly.

The problem is that people aren't rational, and they don't have perfect information.

So the history of finance and commerce has been a cat-and-mouse game where the cats find new ways to cheat people, and the mice try to recognize and prevent those schemes.

One example: cartels. If an industry is dominated by a small number of large players, they can collude to set prices and stifle competition through regulatory capture, acquisitions, cornering supply chains, etc. It works like a monopoly, but no individual member is large enough to pursue as a monopoly. It falls apart with too many members, because the rewards for defecting are high.

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#14
post #3

It's a likely theory. But economics teaches us when a player overcharges, others will step in to undercut and take all the market share. So, we're at a point where we need to admit that mantra isn't true in the modern age, or admit that we've done a terrible job at preventing effective monopolies/duopolies from forming.

I’d say it’s roughly still true it just looks different than a very traditional sense. “Undercutting” happens in different ways now - while some entrepreneurs don’t care to compete in commodity markets and compete in tech since it’s not as messy and scales more easily. In tech people can be sold products for “free” and it’s all about their data. But for commodities for example to start an egg/dairy farm you need land and lots of physical resources. So these days a lot of times instead of competing with the egg farmers or dairy directly, entrepreneurs are making faux eggs/dairy. So instead of a new farm they’ve invented a “new” egg/dairy and so instead of undercutting they’re actually charging more for it since it’s a premium product now and “healthier” or is saving the planet/backed by an expensive mission.

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#15
post #3

It's a likely theory. But economics teaches us when a player overcharges, others will step in to undercut and take all the market share. So, we're at a point where we need to admit that mantra isn't true in the modern age, or admit that we've done a terrible job at preventing effective monopolies/duopolies from forming.

If this were true, wouldn’t all corporate profits be next to zero as companies compete on the slimmest possible margins?

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#16
post #5
post #3

It's a likely theory. But economics teaches us when a player overcharges, others will step in to undercut and take all the market share. So, we're at a point where we need to admit that mantra isn't true in the modern age, or admit that we've done a terrible job at preventing effective monopolies/duopolies from forming.

That is what the first two weeks of economics teaches. The rest of the curriculum is about how wrong that is.

Thats not really accurate. The rest of the curriculum is about how that is still correct but how people attempt to gain market power so they can stop others undercutting them, bringing market back to efficiency.

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#17
Our income are worth less and our food stuffs are being shipped abroad because there are certain countries willing to pay more than we are for it (cough china cough). An export ban would do wonders at lowering food prices but that would worsen the already bad trade deficiet.

Don't expect any help from any one in this regard .

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#19
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps you went to a better school than I did. I only did 101 and 102, but even then the professor always spoke in terms like we were some old village, probably to make things easier to understand. But obviously those analogies don't apply to the world today, mostly.

The problem is that people aren't rational, and they don't have perfect information. So the history of finance and commerce has been a cat-and-mouse game where the cats find new ways to cheat people, and the mice try to recognize and prevent those schemes. One example: cartels. If an industry is dominated by a small number of large players, they can collude to set prices and stifle competition through regulatory capt…

I didn’t take tooooo many econ classes but it sure seems like there are a lot of monopolies, oligopolies, and potential cartels these days.

Re: Why is inflation so sticky? It could be corporate profits

#20

> “We do have to think about pricing differently,” said Ms. Weber. “A cost shock, or bottlenecks can create an implicit agreement among firms that raise their prices, so they can expect others to act likewise.” Interesting theory. I've definitely seen some restaurant surcharges from COVID stick around even as they have fully opened.

This only works in an environment that's flush with cash. E.g. a decade long bull market with artificially low interest rates, 2018 tax cuts, and stimulus from covid. Was a perfect storm.

It works fine as long as the money you lose from the people you price out amounts to less than the money you gain by overcharging others who can afford it.

You don't need an environment flush with cash for that to happen, you just need enough people who are well off enough to pay, or (as we saw in the pandemic) desperate enough to go into debit in order to get what they want.

There's likely a rather large segment of the population who can be pushed out of certain goods and services entirely while companies make record amounts of profit exploiting a smaller pool of wealthier folks.

It's not as bad when it's limited to luxury goods, but it's shitty when the goods people have always been able to afford are suddenly out of their reach and it's a real problem when increasing segments of the population are priced out of things like healthy foods, PFAS free cookware, healthcare, or housing.

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